OT: McCain Victory No Longer Unikely

[cr]

Good write up partypup, but what you’re saying means the media is biased towards Obama, is not accurately or fairly representing both sides, and not picking which stories they cover or ignore.

That’s just crazy.

/sarcasm

[jficquette]

Partypup,

Have you been to these sites???

http://hillbuzz.wordpress.com/
http://hillbuzz.wordpress.com/ten-reasons-democrats-should-support-john-mccain/
http://www.puma08.com/

Somewhere in the pages are comments by Hillary supporters who claim that McCain will win huge in the caucus states because of the “dirty campaign tricks” that Obama used.

Also all should remember how they screwed Hillary by not seating the Florida and Michigan delegates at the convention and there are comments in their somewhere about how the PUMA’s in Florida are going to get revenge by voting for McCain.

Also it is discussed in those sites about how the pollsters were in the tank for Obama and skewed the numbers on purpose to hurt Hillary. For instance, the polls had Obama up by 11% in Penn the day before the election and Hillary won by 200k votes. Those Hillary voters are going to vote for McCain.

Partypup, you are so right about things.

John

[jficquette]

Partypup,

Have you been to these sites???

http://hillbuzz.wordpress.com/
http://hillbuzz.wordpress.com/ten-reasons-democrats-should-support-john-mccain/
http://www.puma08.com/

Somewhere in the pages are comments by Hillary supporters who claim that McCain will win huge in the caucus states because of the “dirty campaign tricks” that Obama used.

Also all should remember how they screwed Hillary by not seating the Florida and Michigan delegates at the convention and there are comments in their somewhere about how the PUMA’s in Florida are going to get revenge by voting for McCain.

Also it is discussed in those sites about how the pollsters were in the tank for Obama and skewed the numbers on purpose to hurt Hillary. For instance, the polls had Obama up by 11% in Penn the day before the election and Hillary won by 200k votes. Those Hillary voters are going to vote for McCain.

Partypup, you are so right about things.

John

[jficquette]

Partypup,

Have you been to these sites???

http://hillbuzz.wordpress.com/
http://hillbuzz.wordpress.com/ten-reasons-democrats-should-support-john-mccain/
http://www.puma08.com/

Somewhere in the pages are comments by Hillary supporters who claim that McCain will win huge in the caucus states because of the “dirty campaign tricks” that Obama used.

Also all should remember how they screwed Hillary by not seating the Florida and Michigan delegates at the convention and there are comments in their somewhere about how the PUMA’s in Florida are going to get revenge by voting for McCain.

Also it is discussed in those sites about how the pollsters were in the tank for Obama and skewed the numbers on purpose to hurt Hillary. For instance, the polls had Obama up by 11% in Penn the day before the election and Hillary won by 200k votes. Those Hillary voters are going to vote for McCain.

Partypup, you are so right about things.

John

[jficquette]

Partypup,

Have you been to these sites???

http://hillbuzz.wordpress.com/
http://hillbuzz.wordpress.com/ten-reasons-democrats-should-support-john-mccain/
http://www.puma08.com/

Somewhere in the pages are comments by Hillary supporters who claim that McCain will win huge in the caucus states because of the “dirty campaign tricks” that Obama used.

Also all should remember how they screwed Hillary by not seating the Florida and Michigan delegates at the convention and there are comments in their somewhere about how the PUMA’s in Florida are going to get revenge by voting for McCain.

Also it is discussed in those sites about how the pollsters were in the tank for Obama and skewed the numbers on purpose to hurt Hillary. For instance, the polls had Obama up by 11% in Penn the day before the election and Hillary won by 200k votes. Those Hillary voters are going to vote for McCain.

Partypup, you are so right about things.

John

[jficquette]

Partypup,

Have you been to these sites???

http://hillbuzz.wordpress.com/
http://hillbuzz.wordpress.com/ten-reasons-democrats-should-support-john-mccain/
http://www.puma08.com/

Somewhere in the pages are comments by Hillary supporters who claim that McCain will win huge in the caucus states because of the “dirty campaign tricks” that Obama used.

Also all should remember how they screwed Hillary by not seating the Florida and Michigan delegates at the convention and there are comments in their somewhere about how the PUMA’s in Florida are going to get revenge by voting for McCain.

Also it is discussed in those sites about how the pollsters were in the tank for Obama and skewed the numbers on purpose to hurt Hillary. For instance, the polls had Obama up by 11% in Penn the day before the election and Hillary won by 200k votes. Those Hillary voters are going to vote for McCain.

Partypup, you are so right about things.

John

[jficquette]

Svelte

The exit polls show McCain leading in Florida 49-45 amongst early voters.

“A Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg poll gave McCain a 49-45 lead over Democrat Barack Obama among Floridians who have already voted.”
http://www.floridatoday.com/article/20081029/BREAKINGNEWS/81029048/1006/news01

“October 31, 2008 by PUMA Pundit
99% of Democrats support Obama right? Wrong. Take a look at this snippet coming out of Florida:

Democrats are beaming that their party is outperforming the Republicans in early voting, releasing numbers Wednesday that show registrants of their party ahead 54 percent to 30 percent among the 1.4 million voters who have gone to the polls early.

but guess what the same article goes on to state?

A Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg poll gave McCain a 49-45 lead over Democrat Barack Obama among Floridians who have already voted.

So Obama has a 6.4% advantage in turnout , yet is losing by 4%. Who could these democrats who are not voting for Obama possibly be?

Hmmm. Does the word “PUMA” ring a bell?e

If I say “PUMA” you say “Pounce”… PUMA… Pounce… PUMA… Pounce!”

John

[jficquette]

Svelte

The exit polls show McCain leading in Florida 49-45 amongst early voters.

“A Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg poll gave McCain a 49-45 lead over Democrat Barack Obama among Floridians who have already voted.”
http://www.floridatoday.com/article/20081029/BREAKINGNEWS/81029048/1006/news01

“October 31, 2008 by PUMA Pundit
99% of Democrats support Obama right? Wrong. Take a look at this snippet coming out of Florida:

Democrats are beaming that their party is outperforming the Republicans in early voting, releasing numbers Wednesday that show registrants of their party ahead 54 percent to 30 percent among the 1.4 million voters who have gone to the polls early.

but guess what the same article goes on to state?

A Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg poll gave McCain a 49-45 lead over Democrat Barack Obama among Floridians who have already voted.

So Obama has a 6.4% advantage in turnout , yet is losing by 4%. Who could these democrats who are not voting for Obama possibly be?

Hmmm. Does the word “PUMA” ring a bell?e

If I say “PUMA” you say “Pounce”… PUMA… Pounce… PUMA… Pounce!”

John

[jficquette]

Svelte

The exit polls show McCain leading in Florida 49-45 amongst early voters.

“A Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg poll gave McCain a 49-45 lead over Democrat Barack Obama among Floridians who have already voted.”
http://www.floridatoday.com/article/20081029/BREAKINGNEWS/81029048/1006/news01

“October 31, 2008 by PUMA Pundit
99% of Democrats support Obama right? Wrong. Take a look at this snippet coming out of Florida:

Democrats are beaming that their party is outperforming the Republicans in early voting, releasing numbers Wednesday that show registrants of their party ahead 54 percent to 30 percent among the 1.4 million voters who have gone to the polls early.

but guess what the same article goes on to state?

A Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg poll gave McCain a 49-45 lead over Democrat Barack Obama among Floridians who have already voted.

So Obama has a 6.4% advantage in turnout , yet is losing by 4%. Who could these democrats who are not voting for Obama possibly be?

Hmmm. Does the word “PUMA” ring a bell?e

If I say “PUMA” you say “Pounce”… PUMA… Pounce… PUMA… Pounce!”

John

[jficquette]

Svelte

The exit polls show McCain leading in Florida 49-45 amongst early voters.

“A Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg poll gave McCain a 49-45 lead over Democrat Barack Obama among Floridians who have already voted.”
http://www.floridatoday.com/article/20081029/BREAKINGNEWS/81029048/1006/news01

“October 31, 2008 by PUMA Pundit
99% of Democrats support Obama right? Wrong. Take a look at this snippet coming out of Florida:

Democrats are beaming that their party is outperforming the Republicans in early voting, releasing numbers Wednesday that show registrants of their party ahead 54 percent to 30 percent among the 1.4 million voters who have gone to the polls early.

but guess what the same article goes on to state?

A Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg poll gave McCain a 49-45 lead over Democrat Barack Obama among Floridians who have already voted.

So Obama has a 6.4% advantage in turnout , yet is losing by 4%. Who could these democrats who are not voting for Obama possibly be?

Hmmm. Does the word “PUMA” ring a bell?e

If I say “PUMA” you say “Pounce”… PUMA… Pounce… PUMA… Pounce!”

John

[jficquette]

Svelte

The exit polls show McCain leading in Florida 49-45 amongst early voters.

“A Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg poll gave McCain a 49-45 lead over Democrat Barack Obama among Floridians who have already voted.”
http://www.floridatoday.com/article/20081029/BREAKINGNEWS/81029048/1006/news01

“October 31, 2008 by PUMA Pundit
99% of Democrats support Obama right? Wrong. Take a look at this snippet coming out of Florida:

Democrats are beaming that their party is outperforming the Republicans in early voting, releasing numbers Wednesday that show registrants of their party ahead 54 percent to 30 percent among the 1.4 million voters who have gone to the polls early.

but guess what the same article goes on to state?

A Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg poll gave McCain a 49-45 lead over Democrat Barack Obama among Floridians who have already voted.

So Obama has a 6.4% advantage in turnout , yet is losing by 4%. Who could these democrats who are not voting for Obama possibly be?

Hmmm. Does the word “PUMA” ring a bell?e

If I say “PUMA” you say “Pounce”… PUMA… Pounce… PUMA… Pounce!”

John

[Eugene]

McCain Victory No Longer Unikely

Just checked intrade and bodog to see if they agree with that assessment.

McCain’s odds to win (Intrade): 1 to 8.7
McCain’s odds to win (Bodog): 1 to 5.75

It seems that McCain’s odds at Bodog have improved a little bit, but his win is still very unlikely.

They also have a list of bets on specific states (those are closed for betting and I don’t know how recent those odds are). Here are the expectations of the sports-betting community:

Obama has better than 5:1 chance to carry each state carried by Kerry in 2004 (252 votes), Colorado, Iowa, New Mexico), and Virginia (34 votes).

Obama has the lead in Florida (27), Missouri (11), Nevada (5), North Carolina (15), Ohio (20).

McCain has the lead in Arizona, Georgia, Indiana, Montana, North Dakota.

McCain has better than 5:1 chance to carry all the remaining red states.

The likely outcome is 364 electoral votes for Obama to 174 for McCain.

[Eugene]

McCain Victory No Longer Unikely

Just checked intrade and bodog to see if they agree with that assessment.

McCain’s odds to win (Intrade): 1 to 8.7
McCain’s odds to win (Bodog): 1 to 5.75

It seems that McCain’s odds at Bodog have improved a little bit, but his win is still very unlikely.

They also have a list of bets on specific states (those are closed for betting and I don’t know how recent those odds are). Here are the expectations of the sports-betting community:

Obama has better than 5:1 chance to carry each state carried by Kerry in 2004 (252 votes), Colorado, Iowa, New Mexico), and Virginia (34 votes).

Obama has the lead in Florida (27), Missouri (11), Nevada (5), North Carolina (15), Ohio (20).

McCain has the lead in Arizona, Georgia, Indiana, Montana, North Dakota.

McCain has better than 5:1 chance to carry all the remaining red states.

The likely outcome is 364 electoral votes for Obama to 174 for McCain.

[Eugene]

McCain Victory No Longer Unikely

Just checked intrade and bodog to see if they agree with that assessment.

McCain’s odds to win (Intrade): 1 to 8.7
McCain’s odds to win (Bodog): 1 to 5.75

It seems that McCain’s odds at Bodog have improved a little bit, but his win is still very unlikely.

They also have a list of bets on specific states (those are closed for betting and I don’t know how recent those odds are). Here are the expectations of the sports-betting community:

Obama has better than 5:1 chance to carry each state carried by Kerry in 2004 (252 votes), Colorado, Iowa, New Mexico), and Virginia (34 votes).

Obama has the lead in Florida (27), Missouri (11), Nevada (5), North Carolina (15), Ohio (20).

McCain has the lead in Arizona, Georgia, Indiana, Montana, North Dakota.

McCain has better than 5:1 chance to carry all the remaining red states.

The likely outcome is 364 electoral votes for Obama to 174 for McCain.

[Eugene]

McCain Victory No Longer Unikely

Just checked intrade and bodog to see if they agree with that assessment.

McCain’s odds to win (Intrade): 1 to 8.7
McCain’s odds to win (Bodog): 1 to 5.75

It seems that McCain’s odds at Bodog have improved a little bit, but his win is still very unlikely.

They also have a list of bets on specific states (those are closed for betting and I don’t know how recent those odds are). Here are the expectations of the sports-betting community:

Obama has better than 5:1 chance to carry each state carried by Kerry in 2004 (252 votes), Colorado, Iowa, New Mexico), and Virginia (34 votes).

Obama has the lead in Florida (27), Missouri (11), Nevada (5), North Carolina (15), Ohio (20).

McCain has the lead in Arizona, Georgia, Indiana, Montana, North Dakota.

McCain has better than 5:1 chance to carry all the remaining red states.

The likely outcome is 364 electoral votes for Obama to 174 for McCain.

[Author]

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