Home › Forums › Financial Markets/Economics › OIL – 20$ – Can it happen, how to short oil
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macmichael.
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February 8, 2008 at 4:11 PM #150399February 9, 2008 at 11:10 AM #150343
Anonymous
GuestSigh.
You, sir, seem perfectly willing to put your hard-earned, after-tax dollars into an investment idea which you: A) know so little about that you cannot even be bothered to conduct a 30-second internet search upon price history (i.e., “always used to be $20 – $30”); B) have not the first clue as to how to monetize your theory (i.e., the mechanics of shorting oil); C) reach out to people whom you do not know for investment advice.
I suspect that if responders argued for you to buy real estate on the moon, you’d be imprinted with that notion, not unlike a baby duck would to a dog after it lost its mother.
Commodities prices react to changes in three areas: supply of the asset, demand for the asset, and the supply of the currency in which it is quoted (dollars in America). You have argued, by asertion only, for a change in the demand for oil. You have neglected to think about the other two areas.
You, sir, are a fool. Please park your money in a FDIC savings account. Granted, it will be eaten away over time by negative real interest rates, but at least this process will take years. Your money will last only hours in the commodities market.
February 9, 2008 at 11:10 AM #150598Anonymous
GuestSigh.
You, sir, seem perfectly willing to put your hard-earned, after-tax dollars into an investment idea which you: A) know so little about that you cannot even be bothered to conduct a 30-second internet search upon price history (i.e., “always used to be $20 – $30”); B) have not the first clue as to how to monetize your theory (i.e., the mechanics of shorting oil); C) reach out to people whom you do not know for investment advice.
I suspect that if responders argued for you to buy real estate on the moon, you’d be imprinted with that notion, not unlike a baby duck would to a dog after it lost its mother.
Commodities prices react to changes in three areas: supply of the asset, demand for the asset, and the supply of the currency in which it is quoted (dollars in America). You have argued, by asertion only, for a change in the demand for oil. You have neglected to think about the other two areas.
You, sir, are a fool. Please park your money in a FDIC savings account. Granted, it will be eaten away over time by negative real interest rates, but at least this process will take years. Your money will last only hours in the commodities market.
February 9, 2008 at 11:10 AM #150611Anonymous
GuestSigh.
You, sir, seem perfectly willing to put your hard-earned, after-tax dollars into an investment idea which you: A) know so little about that you cannot even be bothered to conduct a 30-second internet search upon price history (i.e., “always used to be $20 – $30”); B) have not the first clue as to how to monetize your theory (i.e., the mechanics of shorting oil); C) reach out to people whom you do not know for investment advice.
I suspect that if responders argued for you to buy real estate on the moon, you’d be imprinted with that notion, not unlike a baby duck would to a dog after it lost its mother.
Commodities prices react to changes in three areas: supply of the asset, demand for the asset, and the supply of the currency in which it is quoted (dollars in America). You have argued, by asertion only, for a change in the demand for oil. You have neglected to think about the other two areas.
You, sir, are a fool. Please park your money in a FDIC savings account. Granted, it will be eaten away over time by negative real interest rates, but at least this process will take years. Your money will last only hours in the commodities market.
February 9, 2008 at 11:10 AM #150627Anonymous
GuestSigh.
You, sir, seem perfectly willing to put your hard-earned, after-tax dollars into an investment idea which you: A) know so little about that you cannot even be bothered to conduct a 30-second internet search upon price history (i.e., “always used to be $20 – $30”); B) have not the first clue as to how to monetize your theory (i.e., the mechanics of shorting oil); C) reach out to people whom you do not know for investment advice.
I suspect that if responders argued for you to buy real estate on the moon, you’d be imprinted with that notion, not unlike a baby duck would to a dog after it lost its mother.
Commodities prices react to changes in three areas: supply of the asset, demand for the asset, and the supply of the currency in which it is quoted (dollars in America). You have argued, by asertion only, for a change in the demand for oil. You have neglected to think about the other two areas.
You, sir, are a fool. Please park your money in a FDIC savings account. Granted, it will be eaten away over time by negative real interest rates, but at least this process will take years. Your money will last only hours in the commodities market.
February 9, 2008 at 11:10 AM #150699Anonymous
GuestSigh.
You, sir, seem perfectly willing to put your hard-earned, after-tax dollars into an investment idea which you: A) know so little about that you cannot even be bothered to conduct a 30-second internet search upon price history (i.e., “always used to be $20 – $30”); B) have not the first clue as to how to monetize your theory (i.e., the mechanics of shorting oil); C) reach out to people whom you do not know for investment advice.
I suspect that if responders argued for you to buy real estate on the moon, you’d be imprinted with that notion, not unlike a baby duck would to a dog after it lost its mother.
Commodities prices react to changes in three areas: supply of the asset, demand for the asset, and the supply of the currency in which it is quoted (dollars in America). You have argued, by asertion only, for a change in the demand for oil. You have neglected to think about the other two areas.
You, sir, are a fool. Please park your money in a FDIC savings account. Granted, it will be eaten away over time by negative real interest rates, but at least this process will take years. Your money will last only hours in the commodities market.
February 25, 2008 at 6:39 PM #159836macmichael
ParticipantAlmost 2 weeks since there was much posted on this thread.
For those who have thought it through alot. Have any of your thoughts changed in that period?
February 25, 2008 at 6:39 PM #160131macmichael
ParticipantAlmost 2 weeks since there was much posted on this thread.
For those who have thought it through alot. Have any of your thoughts changed in that period?
February 25, 2008 at 6:39 PM #160149macmichael
ParticipantAlmost 2 weeks since there was much posted on this thread.
For those who have thought it through alot. Have any of your thoughts changed in that period?
February 25, 2008 at 6:39 PM #160151macmichael
ParticipantAlmost 2 weeks since there was much posted on this thread.
For those who have thought it through alot. Have any of your thoughts changed in that period?
February 25, 2008 at 6:39 PM #160230macmichael
ParticipantAlmost 2 weeks since there was much posted on this thread.
For those who have thought it through alot. Have any of your thoughts changed in that period?
February 25, 2008 at 9:55 PM #159918paramount
ParticipantPrediction on gas prices
I took about 10 years of gas price data from around Southern California (AAA So Cal) and input the data in Excel. I had quarterly surveyed data points.
Using an add-on tool called Megastat, I had Excel come up with a model so I could use it to predict future gas prices. Once I had my initial model, I back correlated the prices to check for accuracy and it was nearly dead-on.
With that in mind, using the model I determined that gas will hit (on average) $4/gallon by Spring 2009 (May specifically) in So Cal.
February 25, 2008 at 9:55 PM #160212paramount
ParticipantPrediction on gas prices
I took about 10 years of gas price data from around Southern California (AAA So Cal) and input the data in Excel. I had quarterly surveyed data points.
Using an add-on tool called Megastat, I had Excel come up with a model so I could use it to predict future gas prices. Once I had my initial model, I back correlated the prices to check for accuracy and it was nearly dead-on.
With that in mind, using the model I determined that gas will hit (on average) $4/gallon by Spring 2009 (May specifically) in So Cal.
February 25, 2008 at 9:55 PM #160229paramount
ParticipantPrediction on gas prices
I took about 10 years of gas price data from around Southern California (AAA So Cal) and input the data in Excel. I had quarterly surveyed data points.
Using an add-on tool called Megastat, I had Excel come up with a model so I could use it to predict future gas prices. Once I had my initial model, I back correlated the prices to check for accuracy and it was nearly dead-on.
With that in mind, using the model I determined that gas will hit (on average) $4/gallon by Spring 2009 (May specifically) in So Cal.
February 25, 2008 at 9:55 PM #160232paramount
ParticipantPrediction on gas prices
I took about 10 years of gas price data from around Southern California (AAA So Cal) and input the data in Excel. I had quarterly surveyed data points.
Using an add-on tool called Megastat, I had Excel come up with a model so I could use it to predict future gas prices. Once I had my initial model, I back correlated the prices to check for accuracy and it was nearly dead-on.
With that in mind, using the model I determined that gas will hit (on average) $4/gallon by Spring 2009 (May specifically) in So Cal.
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