Dow flirting with 12,000 – the market has everyone’s attention…

[cr]

Yeah, but they won’t all retire and cash out simulatneously. Once that equity is gone, they’ll have to keep working to pay for their (fill in ubiquitous symbol of over consumption here).

My 401k and meager international funds are getting hit, but I’m hoping for a long run gain. We’ll see though. Our 401k stuffed suit said our 401k manager expected 14,500 by end of ’07, and this was I think back before it hit 14,100. I laughed then, and I knew at 14,100 it wouldn’t hit 14,500, but I must admit I don’t think I would have 11,000 here we come…

It’ll turn around, but in a month or year? Who knows.

[scaredyclassic]

people in short funds are happy. dxrsx. bearx.

it may not turn around ina month or a year. the stock market could go flat for a very very very very long time. most people i talk to assume any downturn is a month or a year. that makes me think, when there is a real downturn, which many investors haven’t seen in their middle-aged lifespan, it’s be more like 10-15 years. but probably this time around it be more like a month or a year.

kinda like housing everyone assumes ya gotta make money if ya hang in there.

maybe.

but maybe not. maybe it’s only if ya live long enough.

Drink Heavily.

[scaredyclassic]

people in short funds are happy. dxrsx. bearx.

it may not turn around ina month or a year. the stock market could go flat for a very very very very long time. most people i talk to assume any downturn is a month or a year. that makes me think, when there is a real downturn, which many investors haven’t seen in their middle-aged lifespan, it’s be more like 10-15 years. but probably this time around it be more like a month or a year.

kinda like housing everyone assumes ya gotta make money if ya hang in there.

maybe.

but maybe not. maybe it’s only if ya live long enough.

Drink Heavily.

[scaredyclassic]

people in short funds are happy. dxrsx. bearx.

it may not turn around ina month or a year. the stock market could go flat for a very very very very long time. most people i talk to assume any downturn is a month or a year. that makes me think, when there is a real downturn, which many investors haven’t seen in their middle-aged lifespan, it’s be more like 10-15 years. but probably this time around it be more like a month or a year.

kinda like housing everyone assumes ya gotta make money if ya hang in there.

maybe.

but maybe not. maybe it’s only if ya live long enough.

Drink Heavily.

[scaredyclassic]

people in short funds are happy. dxrsx. bearx.

it may not turn around ina month or a year. the stock market could go flat for a very very very very long time. most people i talk to assume any downturn is a month or a year. that makes me think, when there is a real downturn, which many investors haven’t seen in their middle-aged lifespan, it’s be more like 10-15 years. but probably this time around it be more like a month or a year.

kinda like housing everyone assumes ya gotta make money if ya hang in there.

maybe.

but maybe not. maybe it’s only if ya live long enough.

Drink Heavily.

[scaredyclassic]

people in short funds are happy. dxrsx. bearx.

it may not turn around ina month or a year. the stock market could go flat for a very very very very long time. most people i talk to assume any downturn is a month or a year. that makes me think, when there is a real downturn, which many investors haven’t seen in their middle-aged lifespan, it’s be more like 10-15 years. but probably this time around it be more like a month or a year.

kinda like housing everyone assumes ya gotta make money if ya hang in there.

maybe.

but maybe not. maybe it’s only if ya live long enough.

Drink Heavily.

[Raybyrnes]

I would say that over the next 3 to 5 years would present someone wiht good skill sets to begin buying not depreciating stocks and begin writing options contracts to improve yield.

Pretty professional skill set but for those that can do it effectively they probably will eke out market beating retunrs in a flat market.

[Raybyrnes]

I would say that over the next 3 to 5 years would present someone wiht good skill sets to begin buying not depreciating stocks and begin writing options contracts to improve yield.

Pretty professional skill set but for those that can do it effectively they probably will eke out market beating retunrs in a flat market.

[Raybyrnes]

I would say that over the next 3 to 5 years would present someone wiht good skill sets to begin buying not depreciating stocks and begin writing options contracts to improve yield.

Pretty professional skill set but for those that can do it effectively they probably will eke out market beating retunrs in a flat market.

[Raybyrnes]

I would say that over the next 3 to 5 years would present someone wiht good skill sets to begin buying not depreciating stocks and begin writing options contracts to improve yield.

Pretty professional skill set but for those that can do it effectively they probably will eke out market beating retunrs in a flat market.

[Raybyrnes]

I would say that over the next 3 to 5 years would present someone wiht good skill sets to begin buying not depreciating stocks and begin writing options contracts to improve yield.

Pretty professional skill set but for those that can do it effectively they probably will eke out market beating retunrs in a flat market.

[LA_Renter]

I did the same thing as Raybyrnes, I moved the majority of my 401K into cash and bond funds to lock in gains. My asset allocation is going right back into the market S&P type index funds, energy and natural resources, company stock and International. I played the SDS last year and got my hat handed to me, bucked up and went back in Dec, glad I did I guess I was year too early last year.

What are people’s thoughts on a big scale capitulation in the near future. IMO if one were to happen it would be triggered by the current turmoil in the monolines. MBI and ABK are basically being priced for BK (why didn’t I get those puts??). This counterparty risk thing is pretty significant. My gut is telling me we haven’t seen the real fireworks here.

[LA_Renter]

I did the same thing as Raybyrnes, I moved the majority of my 401K into cash and bond funds to lock in gains. My asset allocation is going right back into the market S&P type index funds, energy and natural resources, company stock and International. I played the SDS last year and got my hat handed to me, bucked up and went back in Dec, glad I did I guess I was year too early last year.

What are people’s thoughts on a big scale capitulation in the near future. IMO if one were to happen it would be triggered by the current turmoil in the monolines. MBI and ABK are basically being priced for BK (why didn’t I get those puts??). This counterparty risk thing is pretty significant. My gut is telling me we haven’t seen the real fireworks here.

[LA_Renter]

I did the same thing as Raybyrnes, I moved the majority of my 401K into cash and bond funds to lock in gains. My asset allocation is going right back into the market S&P type index funds, energy and natural resources, company stock and International. I played the SDS last year and got my hat handed to me, bucked up and went back in Dec, glad I did I guess I was year too early last year.

What are people’s thoughts on a big scale capitulation in the near future. IMO if one were to happen it would be triggered by the current turmoil in the monolines. MBI and ABK are basically being priced for BK (why didn’t I get those puts??). This counterparty risk thing is pretty significant. My gut is telling me we haven’t seen the real fireworks here.

[LA_Renter]

I did the same thing as Raybyrnes, I moved the majority of my 401K into cash and bond funds to lock in gains. My asset allocation is going right back into the market S&P type index funds, energy and natural resources, company stock and International. I played the SDS last year and got my hat handed to me, bucked up and went back in Dec, glad I did I guess I was year too early last year.

What are people’s thoughts on a big scale capitulation in the near future. IMO if one were to happen it would be triggered by the current turmoil in the monolines. MBI and ABK are basically being priced for BK (why didn’t I get those puts??). This counterparty risk thing is pretty significant. My gut is telling me we haven’t seen the real fireworks here.

[Author]

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