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temeculaguy
ParticipantNow that I’ve had a day or two to mull it over, perhaps I overlooked the airport noise at liberty. Like sdrealtor, my visits to winesteals made me think that being able to walk home would be awesome and it looked nice.
But the North Park/South Park thing is probably best for your situation. I liked the areas closer to the park and I like South park. I was there last year drinking at some really cool outdoorish casual restaraunt that had a sand lot, playground kinda thing and there was a little league team having it’s after game party. I was on a date with a woman who had never had children and who would never live anywhere that wasn’t considered urban and she had stars in her eyes seeing families dominating a fairly urban area (of course I was seeing more red flags than than a moscow parade spectator, it’s a good thing I love my dogs and got spayed and nutuered with them). But now that I can put in perspective, that would be a good compromise for what the Op is looking for.
For clarification, my name says temecula, but I would never reccomend it to you based on what you were looking for and walter is or king of tangents, he wasn’t serious. You wont find it all, youll find acceptable amounts of what you want and what you need, but I think you might find something close in that area, you just need to be picky and do your research, a few streets one way or another can make a huge difference.
You will be giving up one thing though, all the really hot single dads are out in the burbs, at least that what I have posted on my ads.
February 1, 2012 at 11:40 PM in reply to: Redfin shows San Diego Inventory at 31% below the two year low… WHY? #737219ParticipantI think sduude is right with respect to that micro market, certain areas that saw very little turnover and very little distress have more pent up supply/possibly some pent up demand, but the smaller group wins. I also think in my micro market I’m right too, because it has a different history. Wasn’t it the modern day poet, David Lereah, who said “all real estate is local.”
ParticipantOn the stereo discussion, my sled didn’t come with the upgraded stereo, it’s decent but not great. I see that as a needed upgrade. The cnet reviewer says my particular year and model has too many speakers and too little power. As soon as I figure out what I am going to do with the headlights, I’m going to address the sound system.
can any of you guys help me with my headlight dillema. Seems the previous owner didn;t want to spend the 1k for the xenons (can’t blame them) but they put aftermarket ones in. The ballast and wiring takes up so much space that they got rid of the rear cover to the light housing. Well, that is there for a reason, it keeps water out. I ordered new back covers and plan on drilling a hole and running the wires through, then waterproofing the igniter and wires that need to live outside the cover because of space restrictions. But something is wonky about it, every time I move it, I get one of the angel lights going out, I reposition it and it comes back on, I’m assuming the connection is bad and I need to cut and reattach clean ends. The dealer of course says that I should remove the whole thing and go back to halogens. The technician said that using anything other than oem electronics is bad for bmw’s. I know damn well that even oem electronics are bad for bmw’s, but aftermarket electronics are bad for bmw dealers. I was going to do that but after driving twice at night with the xenons, I’m in love. Has anyone ever dealt with aftermarket xenons? I can’t even find a brand name on them. It will be cheap to switch back to halogens, but now I don’t want to, yet I’m tired of having to switch the lights on and off or jiggle the wires to make the angels work. It’s a good thing I don’t have a lot of hobbies and can take apart my headlights and read bimmerfest blogs to fill my empty life. I was warned, these things are like women, they are beautiful, you will love them and they are a pain in the ass all at the same time.
ParticipantIt’s not the economy, at least not on the 15. Up until they opened up the new lanes it seemed almost as bad as it had ever been. I never noticed any reduction in traffic regardless of the unemployment rate. I don’t drive it with the same regularity that paramount does. But over the last 20 years I’ve had chunks of time where I went six months to a year of doing it, my guess is a total of about 5 or 6 years combined in that 20. I’ve been doing it for a few months now and the before/after of the express lane was more than dramatic. I don’t even go on the express lane, just its existence makes the normal lanes brake-light free. I’m about to rotate my location in a month or two to something closer, so it may be a few years before I have to make that drive regularly, but I won’t fear it like I have in the past.
I’m not sure the spread between 6% and 10% unemployment affects arterial commute routes by taking 4% of the drivers off the freeways. That 4% demographically is not entirely made up of cummuters. A lot of it is young people, construction trades and lower paid people who likely use public transit or live close to work. I’m sure some of that 4% are bread winning professionals commuting to the suburbs, but not the majority.
Here are some numbers I found regarding unemployment broken down by education, race, age, etc.
http://www.deptofnumbers.com/unemployment/demographics/Then look at the demographics of where you live and connect the dots
and that site only looks at people over 25, and is not regional, but it’s enough data to suggest the demogrpahics would probably ring true regionally and under 25 would be even more dramatic. Bedroom communities would be the least affected, thus commuting would be less affected by unemployment rates. It’s a stretch, but it makes sense to me based on what I see on the road.
February 1, 2012 at 4:03 PM in reply to: Redfin shows San Diego Inventory at 31% below the two year low… WHY? #737175ParticipantOut of curiosity I ran my own zip code, similar results, inventory is incredibly low. I have a theory. When I broke down the numbers there were about 160 normal listings and 100 shorts. These don’t count those already in escrow/pending. 2 or 3 years ago, these totals were at least double, but mostly they were shorts. From 07-09 shorts took forever, foreclosures took forever. Shorts sat on the market for 6 months listed as active when in fact there were a dozen offers, it skewed the stats. Now shorts seem to happen faster and are more likely to be accurate about pending or not.
The total number combined, shorts, active and pending is at 300 today, it was 500 at it’s two year peak and this week last year and the year before it was at 450ish, so it’s down by a third, so it’s not the seasonal variation mentioned above.
I unchecked everything except for sales records and picked the largest span available of 3 years. That number was 4,800. The zip code has 40k people and just under 15k housing units. So in the last three years, 1/3 of all of housing units turned over, at lower prices and rates. This doesn’t include 2008, it doesn’t include when I bought, and doesn’t include this particular zip code’s bottom. It’s probably closer to half because Temecula was experiencing tsuinami like conditions in 2008. So with half of all the houses having new owners, not underwater and not having exotic financing, they are running out of people who want to move, most people just did.
That’s my theory, it only applies to my zip code, but it’s not a case of manipulation here, just a market dynamic. There will always be divorce, death and relocations, but they will not be huge spikes, rather slow, small and steady. The spike, the reset, well, it already happened. Wait ten years, it will happen again.
I don’t want to start a riot, but there is one inevitible thing that happens when the supply begins to dip. Nah, I don’t want to upset anyone.
ParticipantBG, she is a single mom, she needs schools and streets that her kid can bike or walk to and whose playmates in the neighbrhood attend the same schools. What’s the Chula to HTH drive at 7 am, half an hour? I say more, I dated a woman in Pt. Loma, very near that school, there’s no quick way there. Every light is like 5 minutes, I bet it takes an hour. What are the odds that in a city of 1.3 million, her kid gets one of the 400 spots in one of the good schools if she doesn’t live there. That place can be harder than college to get into.
I like the liberty station suggestion, but I think it might be too pricey, it’s more of a 600k+ range, but has everything you are looking for. Tierrasanta is my suggestion, but it won’t feel urban. It’s a close in suburb. The reality is, you can’t have both and be a single parent and pay under 500k unless you make the decision to live in a suburb until the kid goes to college. Pick the relative that will lilely be the most helpful and rent near them to get a feel. Where’s the grandma? They are usually most helpful. If it’s the Chula Vista resident, look at bonita, but it’s mostly bigger houses. If it’s Linda Vista, check out Tierrasanta. If it’s North Park, look at kensington or maybe San Carlos. The Mt’ Helix area is in the middle of those, but it wont feel urban either, nor does it have little houses, La Mesa is another option, but the same drawbacks, big houses, pricey. The trouble is, the safe neighborhoods where kids can ride bikes and have their neighbor friends be their classmates and walk to school, are in the suburbs. Since your kid can’t live in Poway while you live in the city, you are going to have to make compromises. You can find pockets where you can find close to what you want, but not from a computer on the East coast, you are probably going to have to live here a while to find those.
Unfortunately the good weather of the West comes with a different type of city (much to the dismay of some pigs) but most people don’t raise kids in the city. You can either walk to a store/bar/coffee shop or you can walk to a good school, rarely can you do both at the same time, and when you can, you can’t buy for 500k.
A small place at liberty may be your best bet.
January 30, 2012 at 10:53 PM in reply to: From the UT: SD real estate firm cuts ties with Trulia, Zillow #737026ParticipantThere has to be a balance and perhaps this act (and similar ones like it) will help the market find that balance. The old business model, where a realtor picks what to show you and tells you what it is worth, is dying. I initially saw the guy in the video as someone who is grasping at keeping things the same. But as I thought about it I remembered my frustration with the foreclosure sites when I was shopping. How they kept orphaned data, overstated data, listed the mailing address as a foreclosure (when a rental or vacation home was being foreclosed on, they would list the owner’s primary residence because it was where the notice was mailed) and a whole host of other things that made 9 out 10 listed foreclosures inaccurate. Hell I lived in my house for a year before I finally saw it dropped from the listings. There were some that were better than others, some cleaned up their act, but in the beginning it was anarchy and a total waste of my time. I ended up having to do it myself.
Early on I noticed Zillow listings were out of date, so I ignored them. Redfin stayed on top of it, but that was mls data and if you found one you liked, the listing agent still got their comission, the buyer’s agent just took less because you did the searching, they just did the offer. It was a different model, but not like what this guy is complaining about. In fact when I was searching, redfin would not even waste their time if you wanted a short sale, it took too much of their time. They led me to a few but I had to go find my own realtor.
Like a lot of market shifts, some ideas fail, some companies fail, in the end what we get is a better system. Kaypro does not make laptops, but they were a pioneer in portable computing. Tesla may not corner the plug in car market, but we needed them to get the fusion 100mpg plug in this fall. Zillow and truila may not last because their acts of desparation may be their undoing, but their existence may shape the market. For every apple or amazon that managed to catch lightening in a bottle, there are a hundred webvans and cdnow’s by the wayside.
The real estate system has and will continue to change, but in the end there will likely be a fusion of market and transaction knowledge combined with open market data. The mls will either figure out a way to share it’s data, while preserving it’s integrity/security (like the code to the keybox, or when the seller is home), or the mls will be another story I tell my kids about a company that vanished because it failed to change. Maybe they should ask the newspaper industry for a few tips on what not to do.
ParticipantLooks like I’m going to dissapoint everyone, I ended up not going with either the 3 or the G. Like my house, I’m seduced by the deal more than the feel sometimes. An unusual opportunity came up, actually coutesy of anothr pigg. I have strange needs so it won’t make sense to everyone what I did, but it worked for me. Went with a 2010 528i, with ridiculously high miles (over 90k) for 19k incl tax and lic (didn’t buy from a dealer, fairly unconventional method but not a salvage, clean title, no collisions either). It’s freaking gorgeous. It’s the exact car I set out to buy two years go as a personal reward for a promotion that I talked myself out of, black on black, tinted, angel eyes, I envy me now. If it craps out the trade in value is near what I paid so it was low risk, especially for a 2k miles per year guy like myself. I’m a fix it guy, I’m sure I can squeeze 5 years out of it. I know, it has the same engine as the 3, with much more weight, but the relative fun was enough for me, like paramount said, there’s something about it being a BMW, 44 years of self deprivation, I splurged a little. I guess I’m “that guy” now. I guess I like my cars like I like my women, built for comfort, higher milege, higher maintainence, upscale and a little bigger and a little more ass than the next guy prefers. It’s the Christina Hendricks of automobiles. Slower, softer, more plush, curvier, but still gets the blood boiling, even more so, but for different reasons.
So I figure by summer I’ll have that idrive thing figured out, good lord, still haven’t set the date and time. Paramount, sd and An will blow my doors in on the freeway, but it won’t wipe the smile off my face and my wallet will smile back at me.
ParticipantI realize hip hop isn’t really the favored music of this demographic, but this is actually pretty good, even the ESPN writers feel it’s the best out there.
http://espn.go.com/blog/collegebasketballnation/post/_/id/44874/sdsus-aztec-motto-shockingly-good
While it took me four or five listens to decode all of the words (acute middle aged white guy listening to hip hop syndrome) the lyrics are very witty and well thought out if you follow the game, the team and the players. Lots of basketball lingo, nicknames and references to thing specific about this team. I’m here to help you get over your syndrome if you also have one.
ParticipantDarn ctr, I saw this post too late, I was in SD earlier and as it turns out, I don’t get the MTN up here so I had to listen on the radio.
Now they are ranked #12, with another victory tonight, they beat UNM in the pit already so the one game looming is at UNLV. They will be in top 10 by then but UNLV is good. Our fans travel in droves to vegas thus neutralizing their home court advantage, it’s often called Viejas East and we’ve beat them 9 out 10, but this is the best UNLV team in decades.
Glad to see some piggington support on this. And for those of you thinking you just need to get around to going, they are sold out with some nosebleeds and single seats at best to be found, you have to buy them before the season starts or pay the aftermarket premium. It’s 20% students, behind the basket, the rest is alumni, I feel like I’m at a reunion when I go and I graduated over 20 years ago. Don’t be intimidated, it is exactly like sdrealtor remembers the east coast, with the exception of the weather.
ParticipantThanks AN, I’ve owned infiniti’s, I like them a lot. There’s one in my driveway that my kid drives and I’ve had a G in the past as my daily. I’m not freaked out about repairs, it’s just that my latest love (mecedes cls or 6 series) have prohibitive repair costs. Most repairs, like a transmission or breaks or struts are about three times that of their entry level models or the two cars we’ve been discussing.
http://consumerguideauto.howstuffworks.com/2006-to-2010-mercedes-benz-cls-class-2.htm
http://consumerguideauto.howstuffworks.com/2006-to-2010-bmw-3-series-2.htm
notice the cost of each thing is double, 2300 for brakes or 1k for an alternator on a cls is a little worrisome.
dont hate on the 328, right now 2011’s are about 27k with 5 years of cpo (3 reamining +2) and a 2008 is 23k, with two years. There is value there, there is better handling and hp than 90% of the offerings on the road at a fairly reasonable price. I’ll go drive my final 3 or 4, look at the price, weigh my options and just pick one, like you said, you cant go wrong.
I literally drive the most boring car in the world 5 days a week, any of these are going to be “fun” for me. But my count is 3 votes for the 335, so I guess that’s where I’ll start.
ParticipantWe’re splitting hairs, the 3 and the G are always the two finalists in magazines for a reason, they are the best and the only 300hp reasonably priced offerings.
I checked the prices today and flu is right, the new 3 series is killing the resale value so a 2008 335 is now priced the same as a 2008 g37 coupe. A 328 is priced the same as a G sedan. It’s funny, but the pricing of the G coupe is 5k more used and the 335 is about 5k more than the 328. I’m a cheapskate, I’ll probably wait another 45 days till the new 3 hits the dealer lots and then just see what deal I can get. I do love the cls, the 6 series, the carrera, but the cheapskate in me makes me fear the repairs as those will be out of warranty, while the g or 3 at the same price will likely be cpo. The G has a nice touch screen, music hard drive, back up camera, no idrive and a host of amenities. The 3 is fairly spartan in the cabin, but from all I read and hear, is the drive and handling is sublime.
There is one more issue only for me, being in temecula, if I end up with a cpo or one still under warranty, the infiniti dealer is 30 miles away, there is a bmw dealer in town. That’s only a factor for me, but it is a factor.
The G’s hold their value better, so as a used car (maybe because of the new 3 model) the cost saving between 3 and G goes away after 3-4 years. A 2008 335 or a g coupe are the same price right now, both between 25 and 30k. Looks like it test drive time, thus far all am i going on is looks. The 3 just looks to small for my 6ft, 205 lb body, but based on what paramount and sd have said, I’m wrong about that.
ParticipantI think I am paramount’s stage of intending on buy a 5 series but I’m open to a 328 or 335. Like AN says the G37 prices out with the 328, the 335 is about 5k more.
My fear is my knees in the 3 series, how tall are you 3 series guys, how are your knees?
the guy loves the car but at 1:45 he shows his knees and talks about how crampt it is.
and in this video he goes over the g37
granted its the 4 door, i dislike the looks compared to the coupe, but the 3 series 4 door is a looker even with the 4 doors.
But I will take the advice and drive the 335, that is if Im not seduced by a carrera or 6 series or cls on the way.
Participant[quote=UCGal]They can’t legally park boats/rv’s/cars on the street for more than 3 days – so that’s not an issue.
As far as the trash cans – you are legally limited to 24 hours before/after trash pick up… so again, that’s covered without an HOA.[/quote]That is not a state or federal law, that is a municipal code. Municipal codes only exist in municipalities (cities). Lot’s of new construction is in unicorporated areas as many of the cites are too built out to start a new development. Most people are unaware they live in an unincorporated area (4S ranch, RSF, etc.) without their hoa, total anarchy would prevail. In unicorporated communites (which is a lot more places than you think, fallbrook, valley center, ramona, the aforementioned 4S and RSF) you can legally shoot your guns in the backyard, have whatever animal you want and ride your dirtbikes in the yard. The County is far less restrictive than the cities, many people think any town with a name is a municipality but it’s not true. And this was never a problem because this was ranch land, now it’s tract homes with ranch land laws and no city council to complain to.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/San_Diego_County,_California
scroll down to the list of unincorporated cities, more than most people think. So in the absence of a munipal body to create and enforce regulations, the HOA is your only hope. If you already live in a city, yes, your hoa is not neccesarily needed. I’ve had two homes in unicorporated areas, I was glad I had an hoa.
There’s another weird thing when you live in one of the few places that allow almost anything, your neighbors friends all come from their restrictive neighborhoods to engage in whatever they can’t do in their town. So instead of being next door to one family who rides their dirtbikes or shoots their gun on weekends (which would probably be fine, you get ther fifty friends too, yipee!!!
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