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peterb
ParticipantSome things worth considering:
1)The Japanse have a much stronger economy from a fundemental perspective…they produce many things the world buys.
2)Inflation has been huge since 2002. So if you took that into consideration, the DOW is probably way down with a lot more to go. P/E of 10 to 12 AFTER adusting for the crap earnings were about to see!
3)Unemployment, as measured by the BLS, is highly inaccurate. I would guesstimate that it’s about 10% in CA right now.
4)The NASD topped in 2001 at about 5200, and in 2001 US$. Do the math on that one!
I think we’ll be lucky to see an “L” shape play out.
ParticipantSome things worth considering:
1)The Japanse have a much stronger economy from a fundemental perspective…they produce many things the world buys.
2)Inflation has been huge since 2002. So if you took that into consideration, the DOW is probably way down with a lot more to go. P/E of 10 to 12 AFTER adusting for the crap earnings were about to see!
3)Unemployment, as measured by the BLS, is highly inaccurate. I would guesstimate that it’s about 10% in CA right now.
4)The NASD topped in 2001 at about 5200, and in 2001 US$. Do the math on that one!
I think we’ll be lucky to see an “L” shape play out.
ParticipantSome things worth considering:
1)The Japanse have a much stronger economy from a fundemental perspective…they produce many things the world buys.
2)Inflation has been huge since 2002. So if you took that into consideration, the DOW is probably way down with a lot more to go. P/E of 10 to 12 AFTER adusting for the crap earnings were about to see!
3)Unemployment, as measured by the BLS, is highly inaccurate. I would guesstimate that it’s about 10% in CA right now.
4)The NASD topped in 2001 at about 5200, and in 2001 US$. Do the math on that one!
I think we’ll be lucky to see an “L” shape play out.
Participant“I still very much doubt that we’ll see widespread large price drops in 4S. High end above 1 mil may suffer. Unless we go through a second Great Depression, there’s enough pent-up demand for 4S Ranch to absorb all REOs.”–
Do you know all the foreclosures coming to this area? Do you know all the people who want to buy in this area? Having some kind of numbers for these assumptions would probably help your analysis.
As well as some lay-offs that may be coming.Pretty critical data to guess about it.
Participant“I still very much doubt that we’ll see widespread large price drops in 4S. High end above 1 mil may suffer. Unless we go through a second Great Depression, there’s enough pent-up demand for 4S Ranch to absorb all REOs.”–
Do you know all the foreclosures coming to this area? Do you know all the people who want to buy in this area? Having some kind of numbers for these assumptions would probably help your analysis.
As well as some lay-offs that may be coming.Pretty critical data to guess about it.
Participant“I still very much doubt that we’ll see widespread large price drops in 4S. High end above 1 mil may suffer. Unless we go through a second Great Depression, there’s enough pent-up demand for 4S Ranch to absorb all REOs.”–
Do you know all the foreclosures coming to this area? Do you know all the people who want to buy in this area? Having some kind of numbers for these assumptions would probably help your analysis.
As well as some lay-offs that may be coming.Pretty critical data to guess about it.
Participant“I still very much doubt that we’ll see widespread large price drops in 4S. High end above 1 mil may suffer. Unless we go through a second Great Depression, there’s enough pent-up demand for 4S Ranch to absorb all REOs.”–
Do you know all the foreclosures coming to this area? Do you know all the people who want to buy in this area? Having some kind of numbers for these assumptions would probably help your analysis.
As well as some lay-offs that may be coming.Pretty critical data to guess about it.
Participant“I still very much doubt that we’ll see widespread large price drops in 4S. High end above 1 mil may suffer. Unless we go through a second Great Depression, there’s enough pent-up demand for 4S Ranch to absorb all REOs.”–
Do you know all the foreclosures coming to this area? Do you know all the people who want to buy in this area? Having some kind of numbers for these assumptions would probably help your analysis.
As well as some lay-offs that may be coming.Pretty critical data to guess about it.
ParticipantTalk from many analysts is that tomorrow could be another hard day down. Well, we gotta get to 11 P/E ratios anyway. And of course, these are with the new lower sales figure headed at the end of this fiscal year. Ouch. Look out below.
Be very careful here. Total gamble, IMO. Might wanna try Secuan instead. At least they get you drunk..I’ve heard.
ParticipantTalk from many analysts is that tomorrow could be another hard day down. Well, we gotta get to 11 P/E ratios anyway. And of course, these are with the new lower sales figure headed at the end of this fiscal year. Ouch. Look out below.
Be very careful here. Total gamble, IMO. Might wanna try Secuan instead. At least they get you drunk..I’ve heard.
ParticipantTalk from many analysts is that tomorrow could be another hard day down. Well, we gotta get to 11 P/E ratios anyway. And of course, these are with the new lower sales figure headed at the end of this fiscal year. Ouch. Look out below.
Be very careful here. Total gamble, IMO. Might wanna try Secuan instead. At least they get you drunk..I’ve heard.
ParticipantTalk from many analysts is that tomorrow could be another hard day down. Well, we gotta get to 11 P/E ratios anyway. And of course, these are with the new lower sales figure headed at the end of this fiscal year. Ouch. Look out below.
Be very careful here. Total gamble, IMO. Might wanna try Secuan instead. At least they get you drunk..I’ve heard.
ParticipantTalk from many analysts is that tomorrow could be another hard day down. Well, we gotta get to 11 P/E ratios anyway. And of course, these are with the new lower sales figure headed at the end of this fiscal year. Ouch. Look out below.
Be very careful here. Total gamble, IMO. Might wanna try Secuan instead. At least they get you drunk..I’ve heard.
ParticipantI keep a couple grand hidden just in case. But I’ve always leaned towards the tin-foil-hat at times like these. Sometimes, only the paranoid survive.
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