The “bottom” for various neighborhoods in SD

[nostradamus]

This is a crap shoot. IMO it won’t be so linear. Temecula goes low, later on La Jolla goes low. Then Temecula goes even lower, and the cycle repeats… The less desired hoods will start the descent first and will end last. I think the question should be: when will the last of the last of the less-desired areas bottom out? That is the true bottom.

[raptorduck]

A slight contrarian stance, I am operating under the assumption that the bottom in RSF (and perhaps some of the surrounding communities) will bottom out by the end of Q1 2009.

[raptorduck]

A slight contrarian stance, I am operating under the assumption that the bottom in RSF (and perhaps some of the surrounding communities) will bottom out by the end of Q1 2009.

[raptorduck]

A slight contrarian stance, I am operating under the assumption that the bottom in RSF (and perhaps some of the surrounding communities) will bottom out by the end of Q1 2009.

[raptorduck]

A slight contrarian stance, I am operating under the assumption that the bottom in RSF (and perhaps some of the surrounding communities) will bottom out by the end of Q1 2009.

[raptorduck]

A slight contrarian stance, I am operating under the assumption that the bottom in RSF (and perhaps some of the surrounding communities) will bottom out by the end of Q1 2009.

[gdcox]

Graham
If you look at Rich’s three way split of the CS price index, you see a difference in scale of boom and hence speed of descent BUT a coincidence of peak.

Is it not possible that all area bottom at the same time , though the extent of fall to that date will have varied massively between area.

[gdcox]

Graham
If you look at Rich’s three way split of the CS price index, you see a difference in scale of boom and hence speed of descent BUT a coincidence of peak.

Is it not possible that all area bottom at the same time , though the extent of fall to that date will have varied massively between area.

[gdcox]

Graham
If you look at Rich’s three way split of the CS price index, you see a difference in scale of boom and hence speed of descent BUT a coincidence of peak.

Is it not possible that all area bottom at the same time , though the extent of fall to that date will have varied massively between area.

[gdcox]

Graham
If you look at Rich’s three way split of the CS price index, you see a difference in scale of boom and hence speed of descent BUT a coincidence of peak.

Is it not possible that all area bottom at the same time , though the extent of fall to that date will have varied massively between area.

[gdcox]

Graham
If you look at Rich’s three way split of the CS price index, you see a difference in scale of boom and hence speed of descent BUT a coincidence of peak.

Is it not possible that all area bottom at the same time , though the extent of fall to that date will have varied massively between area.

[sdrealtor]

I think it is possible that all areas will be sitting at the bottom around the same time but that doesnt mean they will reach that bottom at the same time.

Less desirable areas have fallen fast and hard already. They are quickly approaching a price where buy vs rent makes sense. The OP’s point was when will these areas reach a price that is within 10% of the bottom they will see. I dont believe he implied any turnaround timeframe.

[sdrealtor]

I think it is possible that all areas will be sitting at the bottom around the same time but that doesnt mean they will reach that bottom at the same time.

Less desirable areas have fallen fast and hard already. They are quickly approaching a price where buy vs rent makes sense. The OP’s point was when will these areas reach a price that is within 10% of the bottom they will see. I dont believe he implied any turnaround timeframe.

[sdrealtor]

I think it is possible that all areas will be sitting at the bottom around the same time but that doesnt mean they will reach that bottom at the same time.

Less desirable areas have fallen fast and hard already. They are quickly approaching a price where buy vs rent makes sense. The OP’s point was when will these areas reach a price that is within 10% of the bottom they will see. I dont believe he implied any turnaround timeframe.

[sdrealtor]

I think it is possible that all areas will be sitting at the bottom around the same time but that doesnt mean they will reach that bottom at the same time.

Less desirable areas have fallen fast and hard already. They are quickly approaching a price where buy vs rent makes sense. The OP’s point was when will these areas reach a price that is within 10% of the bottom they will see. I dont believe he implied any turnaround timeframe.

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