The “bottom” for various neighborhoods in SD

[gn]

I’d like to hear your opinions as to when you think each neighborhood in San Diego will “effectively” reach the bottom (i.e. will NOT further decrease by more than 10%).

Here’s mine:

2008 – Q4: Murrieta, Temecula
2009 – Q1:
2009 – Q2: Vista, San Marcos
2009 – Q3:
2009 – Q4: Escondido
2010 – Q1:
2010 – Q2:
2010 – Q3:
2010 – Q4: Rancho Bernardo (including 4S)
2011 – Q1:
2011 – Q2:
2011 – Q3:
2011 – Q4: Carmel Valley
2012 – Q1:
2012 – Q2:
2012 – Q3:
2012 – Q4: RSF, Delmar, Solana Beach …

[gn]

An update:

2008 – Q4: Murrieta, Temecula
2009 – Q1:
2009 – Q2: Vista, San Marcos, Chula Vista
2009 – Q3:
2009 – Q4: Escondido
2010 – Q1: Mira Mesa
2010 – Q2: Rancho Penasquitos, Sorrento Valley
2010 – Q3:
2010 – Q4: Rancho Bernardo (including 4S)
2011 – Q1:
2011 – Q2: Scripps Ranch, Poway
2011 – Q3:
2011 – Q4: Carmel Valley
2012 – Q1:
2012 – Q2:
2012 – Q3:
2012 – Q4: RSF, Delmar, La Jolla, Solana Beach …

[gn]

An update:

2008 – Q4: Murrieta, Temecula
2009 – Q1:
2009 – Q2: Vista, San Marcos, Chula Vista
2009 – Q3:
2009 – Q4: Escondido
2010 – Q1: Mira Mesa
2010 – Q2: Rancho Penasquitos, Sorrento Valley
2010 – Q3:
2010 – Q4: Rancho Bernardo (including 4S)
2011 – Q1:
2011 – Q2: Scripps Ranch, Poway
2011 – Q3:
2011 – Q4: Carmel Valley
2012 – Q1:
2012 – Q2:
2012 – Q3:
2012 – Q4: RSF, Delmar, La Jolla, Solana Beach …

[gn]

An update:

2008 – Q4: Murrieta, Temecula
2009 – Q1:
2009 – Q2: Vista, San Marcos, Chula Vista
2009 – Q3:
2009 – Q4: Escondido
2010 – Q1: Mira Mesa
2010 – Q2: Rancho Penasquitos, Sorrento Valley
2010 – Q3:
2010 – Q4: Rancho Bernardo (including 4S)
2011 – Q1:
2011 – Q2: Scripps Ranch, Poway
2011 – Q3:
2011 – Q4: Carmel Valley
2012 – Q1:
2012 – Q2:
2012 – Q3:
2012 – Q4: RSF, Delmar, La Jolla, Solana Beach …

[gn]

An update:

2008 – Q4: Murrieta, Temecula
2009 – Q1:
2009 – Q2: Vista, San Marcos, Chula Vista
2009 – Q3:
2009 – Q4: Escondido
2010 – Q1: Mira Mesa
2010 – Q2: Rancho Penasquitos, Sorrento Valley
2010 – Q3:
2010 – Q4: Rancho Bernardo (including 4S)
2011 – Q1:
2011 – Q2: Scripps Ranch, Poway
2011 – Q3:
2011 – Q4: Carmel Valley
2012 – Q1:
2012 – Q2:
2012 – Q3:
2012 – Q4: RSF, Delmar, La Jolla, Solana Beach …

[gn]

An update:

2008 – Q4: Murrieta, Temecula
2009 – Q1:
2009 – Q2: Vista, San Marcos, Chula Vista
2009 – Q3:
2009 – Q4: Escondido
2010 – Q1: Mira Mesa
2010 – Q2: Rancho Penasquitos, Sorrento Valley
2010 – Q3:
2010 – Q4: Rancho Bernardo (including 4S)
2011 – Q1:
2011 – Q2: Scripps Ranch, Poway
2011 – Q3:
2011 – Q4: Carmel Valley
2012 – Q1:
2012 – Q2:
2012 – Q3:
2012 – Q4: RSF, Delmar, La Jolla, Solana Beach …

[sdrealtor]

looks pretty reasonable but I’d put Escondido with CV in Q2 09 and drop San marcos/Vista into escondido’s spot.

[sdrealtor]

looks pretty reasonable but I’d put Escondido with CV in Q2 09 and drop San marcos/Vista into escondido’s spot.

[sdrealtor]

looks pretty reasonable but I’d put Escondido with CV in Q2 09 and drop San marcos/Vista into escondido’s spot.

[sdrealtor]

looks pretty reasonable but I’d put Escondido with CV in Q2 09 and drop San marcos/Vista into escondido’s spot.

[sdrealtor]

looks pretty reasonable but I’d put Escondido with CV in Q2 09 and drop San marcos/Vista into escondido’s spot.

[nostradamus]

This is a crap shoot. IMO it won’t be so linear. Temecula goes low, later on La Jolla goes low. Then Temecula goes even lower, and the cycle repeats… The less desired hoods will start the descent first and will end last. I think the question should be: when will the last of the last of the less-desired areas bottom out? That is the true bottom.

[nostradamus]

This is a crap shoot. IMO it won’t be so linear. Temecula goes low, later on La Jolla goes low. Then Temecula goes even lower, and the cycle repeats… The less desired hoods will start the descent first and will end last. I think the question should be: when will the last of the last of the less-desired areas bottom out? That is the true bottom.

[nostradamus]

This is a crap shoot. IMO it won’t be so linear. Temecula goes low, later on La Jolla goes low. Then Temecula goes even lower, and the cycle repeats… The less desired hoods will start the descent first and will end last. I think the question should be: when will the last of the last of the less-desired areas bottom out? That is the true bottom.

[nostradamus]

This is a crap shoot. IMO it won’t be so linear. Temecula goes low, later on La Jolla goes low. Then Temecula goes even lower, and the cycle repeats… The less desired hoods will start the descent first and will end last. I think the question should be: when will the last of the last of the less-desired areas bottom out? That is the true bottom.

[Author]

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