Shiller a long-term semi bull ?

[(former)FormerSanDiegan]

I don’t disagree completely with peterb either. If one has been out of the market I think this is a great time to start dollar-cost-averaging back in over the next 1-2 years to get back to whatever portion of your retirement (long-term money) portfolio you plan to have in stocks for the next 10-20 years.

Still, a hefty cash allocation (for me it’s 40%) is important for stability and to play a little defense.
Also, if you want to use the money within the next 5 years or less (e.g. to buy a home, start a business, etc) I would not put it in stocks.

[NotCranky]

Maybe it will be good timing to get serious about college funds for those of us with young children?

[NotCranky]

Maybe it will be good timing to get serious about college funds for those of us with young children?

[NotCranky]

Maybe it will be good timing to get serious about college funds for those of us with young children?

[NotCranky]

Maybe it will be good timing to get serious about college funds for those of us with young children?

[NotCranky]

Maybe it will be good timing to get serious about college funds for those of us with young children?

[peterb]

Just look at the volitility of the market lately. This is not my idea of stability. Dip a toe back into the market after it’s shown a couple months of solid behavior. And even then, just a taste. And in another month, if it’s behaving, get some more….etc… at least this way, you’re not over exposed if it crashes. The odds of a lot more bad news coming in 2009 is about 90%, IMO. So be careful out there. The US$ is a great place to be right now despite how it may feel.

[peterb]

Just look at the volitility of the market lately. This is not my idea of stability. Dip a toe back into the market after it’s shown a couple months of solid behavior. And even then, just a taste. And in another month, if it’s behaving, get some more….etc… at least this way, you’re not over exposed if it crashes. The odds of a lot more bad news coming in 2009 is about 90%, IMO. So be careful out there. The US$ is a great place to be right now despite how it may feel.

[peterb]

Just look at the volitility of the market lately. This is not my idea of stability. Dip a toe back into the market after it’s shown a couple months of solid behavior. And even then, just a taste. And in another month, if it’s behaving, get some more….etc… at least this way, you’re not over exposed if it crashes. The odds of a lot more bad news coming in 2009 is about 90%, IMO. So be careful out there. The US$ is a great place to be right now despite how it may feel.

[peterb]

Just look at the volitility of the market lately. This is not my idea of stability. Dip a toe back into the market after it’s shown a couple months of solid behavior. And even then, just a taste. And in another month, if it’s behaving, get some more….etc… at least this way, you’re not over exposed if it crashes. The odds of a lot more bad news coming in 2009 is about 90%, IMO. So be careful out there. The US$ is a great place to be right now despite how it may feel.

[peterb]

Just look at the volitility of the market lately. This is not my idea of stability. Dip a toe back into the market after it’s shown a couple months of solid behavior. And even then, just a taste. And in another month, if it’s behaving, get some more….etc… at least this way, you’re not over exposed if it crashes. The odds of a lot more bad news coming in 2009 is about 90%, IMO. So be careful out there. The US$ is a great place to be right now despite how it may feel.

[Author]

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