Question for the bulls

[CA renter]

[quote=jpinpb]I am not following entirely what Hanson is saying lately, but he predicted a tsunami of NODs and they did happen. They’re just not hitting the market as a tsunami. This is, of course, thanks to government intervention. Had that not occurred, I think we would be flooded w/REOs.[/quote]

Absolutely agree.

If the “shadow inventory” didn’t exist, there would be no reason for all the govt intervention (foreclosure moratoriums, HAMP program, ramped-up GSE and FHA programs, Fed buying Treasuries and mortgages, etc., etc.), right?

IMHO, it’s a fallacy to say the “shadow inventory” doesn’t exist. It DOES, in fact, exist. They are just trying mightily to hide it and prolong the correction.

For clarification: I include all houses that would be foreclosed on if not for external intervention, in addition to those that are already foreclosed but not on the market. It’s just a different stage of the same problem.

[NotCranky]

[quote=jpinpb]I am not following entirely what Hanson is saying lately, but he predicted a tsunami of NODs and they did happen. They’re just not hitting the market as a tsunami. This is, of course, thanks to government intervention. Had that not occurred, I think we would be flooded w/REOs.[/quote]
Hi JP, Who didn’t predict a tsunami of defaults? That was the easy part. Predicting a big crash and government intervention was pretty easy too. The rest not so easy, as we… and mr. mortgage, are seeing. Nice presentation by Rt.66 though.

[NotCranky]

[quote=jpinpb]I am not following entirely what Hanson is saying lately, but he predicted a tsunami of NODs and they did happen. They’re just not hitting the market as a tsunami. This is, of course, thanks to government intervention. Had that not occurred, I think we would be flooded w/REOs.[/quote]
Hi JP, Who didn’t predict a tsunami of defaults? That was the easy part. Predicting a big crash and government intervention was pretty easy too. The rest not so easy, as we… and mr. mortgage, are seeing. Nice presentation by Rt.66 though.

[NotCranky]

[quote=jpinpb]I am not following entirely what Hanson is saying lately, but he predicted a tsunami of NODs and they did happen. They’re just not hitting the market as a tsunami. This is, of course, thanks to government intervention. Had that not occurred, I think we would be flooded w/REOs.[/quote]
Hi JP, Who didn’t predict a tsunami of defaults? That was the easy part. Predicting a big crash and government intervention was pretty easy too. The rest not so easy, as we… and mr. mortgage, are seeing. Nice presentation by Rt.66 though.

[NotCranky]

[quote=jpinpb]I am not following entirely what Hanson is saying lately, but he predicted a tsunami of NODs and they did happen. They’re just not hitting the market as a tsunami. This is, of course, thanks to government intervention. Had that not occurred, I think we would be flooded w/REOs.[/quote]
Hi JP, Who didn’t predict a tsunami of defaults? That was the easy part. Predicting a big crash and government intervention was pretty easy too. The rest not so easy, as we… and mr. mortgage, are seeing. Nice presentation by Rt.66 though.

[NotCranky]

[quote=jpinpb]I am not following entirely what Hanson is saying lately, but he predicted a tsunami of NODs and they did happen. They’re just not hitting the market as a tsunami. This is, of course, thanks to government intervention. Had that not occurred, I think we would be flooded w/REOs.[/quote]
Hi JP, Who didn’t predict a tsunami of defaults? That was the easy part. Predicting a big crash and government intervention was pretty easy too. The rest not so easy, as we… and mr. mortgage, are seeing. Nice presentation by Rt.66 though.

[Author]

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