plunging birthrate

[Arraya]

Yeah, though, that won’t happen. Actually, you should get people in the west losing cars while other gain them in China and India. We will kind of have a balancing out of resource/energy per capita. As the west falls deeper into debt collapse it will push more people to lower resource consumption ratios while people increase theirs in the east – which really they can’t without the west dropping their consumption ratios given physical limitations in extraction rates.

Interestingly, it was the multiple decade debt orgy propelled the emerging economies to where they are. The question is will the east continue it’s development in the face of a general contraction in the west or will it stall as the whole world goes into a depression and just general state of disfunction.

Population wise we should see fertility rates continue to drop in the west, probably at a quicker rate not, which is good from a long term species survival and societal health stand-point. Bad from a short-term economic standpoint.

[briansd1]

[quote=walterwhite]if everyone int he world gets a car, we’re screwed. if everyone gets a nice bicycle, we can continue a bit longer. I think the plan is for everyone in the world to try to get a car.[/quote]

I love your comments. Short but very insightful.

New building technology allow us to build roomy, airy apartment and townhouses.

Are we better off to have cities like Amsterdam or Paris where every house is within 500 meters to a subway station? In those cities, you an easily bike around.

Or are we better off to have cities like Houston or San Diego that spread out 30 miles and are surrounded by suburbs that spread out even more?

So in America, eveyone needs a backyard, because it’s not safe for kids to go to the neighborhood park.

[briansd1]

[quote=walterwhite]if everyone int he world gets a car, we’re screwed. if everyone gets a nice bicycle, we can continue a bit longer. I think the plan is for everyone in the world to try to get a car.[/quote]

I love your comments. Short but very insightful.

New building technology allow us to build roomy, airy apartment and townhouses.

Are we better off to have cities like Amsterdam or Paris where every house is within 500 meters to a subway station? In those cities, you an easily bike around.

Or are we better off to have cities like Houston or San Diego that spread out 30 miles and are surrounded by suburbs that spread out even more?

So in America, eveyone needs a backyard, because it’s not safe for kids to go to the neighborhood park.

[briansd1]

[quote=walterwhite]if everyone int he world gets a car, we’re screwed. if everyone gets a nice bicycle, we can continue a bit longer. I think the plan is for everyone in the world to try to get a car.[/quote]

I love your comments. Short but very insightful.

New building technology allow us to build roomy, airy apartment and townhouses.

Are we better off to have cities like Amsterdam or Paris where every house is within 500 meters to a subway station? In those cities, you an easily bike around.

Or are we better off to have cities like Houston or San Diego that spread out 30 miles and are surrounded by suburbs that spread out even more?

So in America, eveyone needs a backyard, because it’s not safe for kids to go to the neighborhood park.

[briansd1]

[quote=walterwhite]if everyone int he world gets a car, we’re screwed. if everyone gets a nice bicycle, we can continue a bit longer. I think the plan is for everyone in the world to try to get a car.[/quote]

I love your comments. Short but very insightful.

New building technology allow us to build roomy, airy apartment and townhouses.

Are we better off to have cities like Amsterdam or Paris where every house is within 500 meters to a subway station? In those cities, you an easily bike around.

Or are we better off to have cities like Houston or San Diego that spread out 30 miles and are surrounded by suburbs that spread out even more?

So in America, eveyone needs a backyard, because it’s not safe for kids to go to the neighborhood park.

[briansd1]

[quote=walterwhite]if everyone int he world gets a car, we’re screwed. if everyone gets a nice bicycle, we can continue a bit longer. I think the plan is for everyone in the world to try to get a car.[/quote]

I love your comments. Short but very insightful.

New building technology allow us to build roomy, airy apartment and townhouses.

Are we better off to have cities like Amsterdam or Paris where every house is within 500 meters to a subway station? In those cities, you an easily bike around.

Or are we better off to have cities like Houston or San Diego that spread out 30 miles and are surrounded by suburbs that spread out even more?

So in America, eveyone needs a backyard, because it’s not safe for kids to go to the neighborhood park.

[briansd1]

[quote=CognitiveDissonance]Interestingly, it was the multiple decade debt orgy propelled the emerging economies to where they are. The question is will the east continue it’s development in the face of a general contraction in the west or will it stall as the whole world goes into a depression and just general state of disfunction.
[/quote]

Fareed Zakaria has been talking about the rise of the rest.
http://onpoint.wbur.org/2011/06/01/fareed-zakaria-2

[quote=CognitiveDissonance]
Population wise we should see fertility rates continue to drop in the west, probably at a quicker rate not, which is good from a long term species survival and societal health stand-point. Bad from a short-term economic standpoint.[/quote]

Population stagnation is economically bad. We can see that playing out in Europe. They will have to live with economic stagnation or open their doors to waves of immigration that will cause social disruption.

In America, we are better off to integrate immigrants into our economy year, after year. We need a good mix of high-skill and low-skill immigrants to keep economic growth on track.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/fernando-espuelas/want-economic-growth-lega_b_756198.html

[briansd1]

[quote=CognitiveDissonance]Interestingly, it was the multiple decade debt orgy propelled the emerging economies to where they are. The question is will the east continue it’s development in the face of a general contraction in the west or will it stall as the whole world goes into a depression and just general state of disfunction.
[/quote]

Fareed Zakaria has been talking about the rise of the rest.
http://onpoint.wbur.org/2011/06/01/fareed-zakaria-2

[quote=CognitiveDissonance]
Population wise we should see fertility rates continue to drop in the west, probably at a quicker rate not, which is good from a long term species survival and societal health stand-point. Bad from a short-term economic standpoint.[/quote]

Population stagnation is economically bad. We can see that playing out in Europe. They will have to live with economic stagnation or open their doors to waves of immigration that will cause social disruption.

In America, we are better off to integrate immigrants into our economy year, after year. We need a good mix of high-skill and low-skill immigrants to keep economic growth on track.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/fernando-espuelas/want-economic-growth-lega_b_756198.html

[briansd1]

[quote=CognitiveDissonance]Interestingly, it was the multiple decade debt orgy propelled the emerging economies to where they are. The question is will the east continue it’s development in the face of a general contraction in the west or will it stall as the whole world goes into a depression and just general state of disfunction.
[/quote]

Fareed Zakaria has been talking about the rise of the rest.
http://onpoint.wbur.org/2011/06/01/fareed-zakaria-2

[quote=CognitiveDissonance]
Population wise we should see fertility rates continue to drop in the west, probably at a quicker rate not, which is good from a long term species survival and societal health stand-point. Bad from a short-term economic standpoint.[/quote]

Population stagnation is economically bad. We can see that playing out in Europe. They will have to live with economic stagnation or open their doors to waves of immigration that will cause social disruption.

In America, we are better off to integrate immigrants into our economy year, after year. We need a good mix of high-skill and low-skill immigrants to keep economic growth on track.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/fernando-espuelas/want-economic-growth-lega_b_756198.html

[briansd1]

[quote=CognitiveDissonance]Interestingly, it was the multiple decade debt orgy propelled the emerging economies to where they are. The question is will the east continue it’s development in the face of a general contraction in the west or will it stall as the whole world goes into a depression and just general state of disfunction.
[/quote]

Fareed Zakaria has been talking about the rise of the rest.
http://onpoint.wbur.org/2011/06/01/fareed-zakaria-2

[quote=CognitiveDissonance]
Population wise we should see fertility rates continue to drop in the west, probably at a quicker rate not, which is good from a long term species survival and societal health stand-point. Bad from a short-term economic standpoint.[/quote]

Population stagnation is economically bad. We can see that playing out in Europe. They will have to live with economic stagnation or open their doors to waves of immigration that will cause social disruption.

In America, we are better off to integrate immigrants into our economy year, after year. We need a good mix of high-skill and low-skill immigrants to keep economic growth on track.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/fernando-espuelas/want-economic-growth-lega_b_756198.html

[briansd1]

[quote=CognitiveDissonance]Interestingly, it was the multiple decade debt orgy propelled the emerging economies to where they are. The question is will the east continue it’s development in the face of a general contraction in the west or will it stall as the whole world goes into a depression and just general state of disfunction.
[/quote]

Fareed Zakaria has been talking about the rise of the rest.
http://onpoint.wbur.org/2011/06/01/fareed-zakaria-2

[quote=CognitiveDissonance]
Population wise we should see fertility rates continue to drop in the west, probably at a quicker rate not, which is good from a long term species survival and societal health stand-point. Bad from a short-term economic standpoint.[/quote]

Population stagnation is economically bad. We can see that playing out in Europe. They will have to live with economic stagnation or open their doors to waves of immigration that will cause social disruption.

In America, we are better off to integrate immigrants into our economy year, after year. We need a good mix of high-skill and low-skill immigrants to keep economic growth on track.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/fernando-espuelas/want-economic-growth-lega_b_756198.html

[briansd1]

[quote=Eugene] we can’t possibly expect to build 10,000 new detached houses every year in San Diego area, we simply don’t have room, not unless we annex Baja. (For perspective, 10,000 new detached houses are the equivalent of building one Otay Ranch/Eastlake every year for the foreseeable future. And 10,000 is what we need to add, given natural population growth.)
[/quote]

I believe that we can easily put 2 million more residents in San Diego city in the space that we have. We just need to build denser neighborhoods and build up.

For example, the Asian area on Convoy would be mid-rises and high-rises with shops down at the bottom — perhaps a better version of Little Tokyo or Koreatown in LA.

I’m confident that the City will find ways to expand the tax base. It’s necessary for survival, unless city employees are content to get small pay increases at the rate of inflation only. If the tax base shrinks, layoffs and paycuts will ensue.

[briansd1]

[quote=Eugene] we can’t possibly expect to build 10,000 new detached houses every year in San Diego area, we simply don’t have room, not unless we annex Baja. (For perspective, 10,000 new detached houses are the equivalent of building one Otay Ranch/Eastlake every year for the foreseeable future. And 10,000 is what we need to add, given natural population growth.)
[/quote]

I believe that we can easily put 2 million more residents in San Diego city in the space that we have. We just need to build denser neighborhoods and build up.

For example, the Asian area on Convoy would be mid-rises and high-rises with shops down at the bottom — perhaps a better version of Little Tokyo or Koreatown in LA.

I’m confident that the City will find ways to expand the tax base. It’s necessary for survival, unless city employees are content to get small pay increases at the rate of inflation only. If the tax base shrinks, layoffs and paycuts will ensue.

[briansd1]

[quote=Eugene] we can’t possibly expect to build 10,000 new detached houses every year in San Diego area, we simply don’t have room, not unless we annex Baja. (For perspective, 10,000 new detached houses are the equivalent of building one Otay Ranch/Eastlake every year for the foreseeable future. And 10,000 is what we need to add, given natural population growth.)
[/quote]

I believe that we can easily put 2 million more residents in San Diego city in the space that we have. We just need to build denser neighborhoods and build up.

For example, the Asian area on Convoy would be mid-rises and high-rises with shops down at the bottom — perhaps a better version of Little Tokyo or Koreatown in LA.

I’m confident that the City will find ways to expand the tax base. It’s necessary for survival, unless city employees are content to get small pay increases at the rate of inflation only. If the tax base shrinks, layoffs and paycuts will ensue.

[briansd1]

[quote=Eugene] we can’t possibly expect to build 10,000 new detached houses every year in San Diego area, we simply don’t have room, not unless we annex Baja. (For perspective, 10,000 new detached houses are the equivalent of building one Otay Ranch/Eastlake every year for the foreseeable future. And 10,000 is what we need to add, given natural population growth.)
[/quote]

I believe that we can easily put 2 million more residents in San Diego city in the space that we have. We just need to build denser neighborhoods and build up.

For example, the Asian area on Convoy would be mid-rises and high-rises with shops down at the bottom — perhaps a better version of Little Tokyo or Koreatown in LA.

I’m confident that the City will find ways to expand the tax base. It’s necessary for survival, unless city employees are content to get small pay increases at the rate of inflation only. If the tax base shrinks, layoffs and paycuts will ensue.

[Author]

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