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Viewing 15 posts - 16 through 30 (of 56 total)
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  • May 6, 2009 at 8:34 PM #394808
    sdduuuude
    Participant

    As time goes on, I’m starting to believe more and more in the double (triple ?) recession. We may be out of this one sooner than the bearish Pigg-types (me included) expect, but back into another one much faster than the mainstream believes possible.

    With that said, this may be the time to get out, but look for another chance to get in.

    May 6, 2009 at 8:48 PM #394142
    carlsbadworker
    Participant

    I agree with sdduuuude. The treasury bubble is the next one to burst and its impact on the economy is much more profound. I think this site will be more valuable if we start to track the treasury bubble rather than the hidden inventory in Temecula. Just my thoughts.

    May 6, 2009 at 8:48 PM #394404
    carlsbadworker
    Participant

    I agree with sdduuuude. The treasury bubble is the next one to burst and its impact on the economy is much more profound. I think this site will be more valuable if we start to track the treasury bubble rather than the hidden inventory in Temecula. Just my thoughts.

    May 6, 2009 at 8:48 PM #394619
    carlsbadworker
    Participant

    I agree with sdduuuude. The treasury bubble is the next one to burst and its impact on the economy is much more profound. I think this site will be more valuable if we start to track the treasury bubble rather than the hidden inventory in Temecula. Just my thoughts.

    May 6, 2009 at 8:48 PM #394672
    carlsbadworker
    Participant

    I agree with sdduuuude. The treasury bubble is the next one to burst and its impact on the economy is much more profound. I think this site will be more valuable if we start to track the treasury bubble rather than the hidden inventory in Temecula. Just my thoughts.

    May 6, 2009 at 8:48 PM #394812
    carlsbadworker
    Participant

    I agree with sdduuuude. The treasury bubble is the next one to burst and its impact on the economy is much more profound. I think this site will be more valuable if we start to track the treasury bubble rather than the hidden inventory in Temecula. Just my thoughts.

    May 7, 2009 at 9:09 AM #394324
    (former)FormerSanDiegan
    Participant

    flu – Good advice. One that would probably be good to incorporate generally into my short-term trading bucket of $.

    sdduuuude – Would that be a backward N-shaped recovery ? I could see rate jumps in say late ’09 or early 2010 that might trigger the scenario you describe.

    carlsbadworker – I agree. I have been avoiding any kind of bond or bond funds and opting for short-term cash for the better part of the past 3 years. I missed out on a significant bond rally, but don’t want to be holding the bag when rates start moving up again.

    May 7, 2009 at 9:09 AM #394581
    (former)FormerSanDiegan
    Participant

    flu – Good advice. One that would probably be good to incorporate generally into my short-term trading bucket of $.

    sdduuuude – Would that be a backward N-shaped recovery ? I could see rate jumps in say late ’09 or early 2010 that might trigger the scenario you describe.

    carlsbadworker – I agree. I have been avoiding any kind of bond or bond funds and opting for short-term cash for the better part of the past 3 years. I missed out on a significant bond rally, but don’t want to be holding the bag when rates start moving up again.

    May 7, 2009 at 9:09 AM #394798
    (former)FormerSanDiegan
    Participant

    flu – Good advice. One that would probably be good to incorporate generally into my short-term trading bucket of $.

    sdduuuude – Would that be a backward N-shaped recovery ? I could see rate jumps in say late ’09 or early 2010 that might trigger the scenario you describe.

    carlsbadworker – I agree. I have been avoiding any kind of bond or bond funds and opting for short-term cash for the better part of the past 3 years. I missed out on a significant bond rally, but don’t want to be holding the bag when rates start moving up again.

    May 7, 2009 at 9:09 AM #394851
    (former)FormerSanDiegan
    Participant

    flu – Good advice. One that would probably be good to incorporate generally into my short-term trading bucket of $.

    sdduuuude – Would that be a backward N-shaped recovery ? I could see rate jumps in say late ’09 or early 2010 that might trigger the scenario you describe.

    carlsbadworker – I agree. I have been avoiding any kind of bond or bond funds and opting for short-term cash for the better part of the past 3 years. I missed out on a significant bond rally, but don’t want to be holding the bag when rates start moving up again.

    May 7, 2009 at 9:09 AM #394993
    (former)FormerSanDiegan
    Participant

    flu – Good advice. One that would probably be good to incorporate generally into my short-term trading bucket of $.

    sdduuuude – Would that be a backward N-shaped recovery ? I could see rate jumps in say late ’09 or early 2010 that might trigger the scenario you describe.

    carlsbadworker – I agree. I have been avoiding any kind of bond or bond funds and opting for short-term cash for the better part of the past 3 years. I missed out on a significant bond rally, but don’t want to be holding the bag when rates start moving up again.

    May 7, 2009 at 11:35 AM #394455
    NotCranky
    Participant

    Good job FSD,

    [quote=sdduuuude]As time goes on, I’m starting to believe more and more in the double (triple ?) recession. We may be out of this one sooner than the bearish Pigg-types (me included) expect, but back into another one much faster than the mainstream believes possible.

    With that said, this may be the time to get out, but look for another chance to get in.[/quote]

    Good food for thought.I have been anticipating a fairly good possibility of just what you are talking about. This hypothetical near future recession could easily include another ,perhaps 90’s size and style housing bust. Maybe it will be the day of reckoning for many true knife catchers and some percentage of loan mod recipients.Possible irony is that no one will help them if they are not a big threat to the economy, even though they helped manage the crash by being knife catchers and for buying time for the banks, in the case of loan mods.

    May 7, 2009 at 11:35 AM #394710
    NotCranky
    Participant

    Good job FSD,

    [quote=sdduuuude]As time goes on, I’m starting to believe more and more in the double (triple ?) recession. We may be out of this one sooner than the bearish Pigg-types (me included) expect, but back into another one much faster than the mainstream believes possible.

    With that said, this may be the time to get out, but look for another chance to get in.[/quote]

    Good food for thought.I have been anticipating a fairly good possibility of just what you are talking about. This hypothetical near future recession could easily include another ,perhaps 90’s size and style housing bust. Maybe it will be the day of reckoning for many true knife catchers and some percentage of loan mod recipients.Possible irony is that no one will help them if they are not a big threat to the economy, even though they helped manage the crash by being knife catchers and for buying time for the banks, in the case of loan mods.

    May 7, 2009 at 11:35 AM #394929
    NotCranky
    Participant

    Good job FSD,

    [quote=sdduuuude]As time goes on, I’m starting to believe more and more in the double (triple ?) recession. We may be out of this one sooner than the bearish Pigg-types (me included) expect, but back into another one much faster than the mainstream believes possible.

    With that said, this may be the time to get out, but look for another chance to get in.[/quote]

    Good food for thought.I have been anticipating a fairly good possibility of just what you are talking about. This hypothetical near future recession could easily include another ,perhaps 90’s size and style housing bust. Maybe it will be the day of reckoning for many true knife catchers and some percentage of loan mod recipients.Possible irony is that no one will help them if they are not a big threat to the economy, even though they helped manage the crash by being knife catchers and for buying time for the banks, in the case of loan mods.

    May 7, 2009 at 11:35 AM #394981
    NotCranky
    Participant

    Good job FSD,

    [quote=sdduuuude]As time goes on, I’m starting to believe more and more in the double (triple ?) recession. We may be out of this one sooner than the bearish Pigg-types (me included) expect, but back into another one much faster than the mainstream believes possible.

    With that said, this may be the time to get out, but look for another chance to get in.[/quote]

    Good food for thought.I have been anticipating a fairly good possibility of just what you are talking about. This hypothetical near future recession could easily include another ,perhaps 90’s size and style housing bust. Maybe it will be the day of reckoning for many true knife catchers and some percentage of loan mod recipients.Possible irony is that no one will help them if they are not a big threat to the economy, even though they helped manage the crash by being knife catchers and for buying time for the banks, in the case of loan mods.

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