Opinions : Stay greedy or take my gains ?

[(former)FormerSanDiegan]

Over the past 3 years I have been basing my investment strategy partially on the deflating asset bubble. My assumption was that the deflation triggered by the housing decline would result in destruction of capital and therefore a general decline in commodities.

I am sensing that the time for this strategy may be ending.

Below is an index I have composed to help me track the strategy. It is essentially based on the inverse of commodities I have selected to be important to my strategy. Based on this and the fact that the Fed, other central governments have the money printing presses going full bore I am thinking it is time to get out.

Thoughts ?

(Click on thumbnail to see full size)

[img_assist|nid=10991|title=Inverse commodity tracker|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=100|height=75]

[Coronita]

Sell half (50%) of your gain.

If the remaining half falls more than 20% from here, sell the remaining half. IF the remaining half appreciates 20% from here, sell half that half…

Repeat unit you sell everything.

[Coronita]

Sell half (50%) of your gain.

If the remaining half falls more than 20% from here, sell the remaining half. IF the remaining half appreciates 20% from here, sell half that half…

Repeat unit you sell everything.

[Coronita]

Sell half (50%) of your gain.

If the remaining half falls more than 20% from here, sell the remaining half. IF the remaining half appreciates 20% from here, sell half that half…

Repeat unit you sell everything.

[Coronita]

Sell half (50%) of your gain.

If the remaining half falls more than 20% from here, sell the remaining half. IF the remaining half appreciates 20% from here, sell half that half…

Repeat unit you sell everything.

[Coronita]

Sell half (50%) of your gain.

If the remaining half falls more than 20% from here, sell the remaining half. IF the remaining half appreciates 20% from here, sell half that half…

Repeat unit you sell everything.

[DoJC]

Your instincts got you this far, why not trust them again? How many people here did what you did, and why trust their advice? Was it Buffet who said it’s one thing to predict rain, it’s another to build an ark?

Plus, what flu says makes a LOT of sense. Cash out a portion and realize your gains, and let some percentage you can afford to gamble with further ride for a while.

[DoJC]

Your instincts got you this far, why not trust them again? How many people here did what you did, and why trust their advice? Was it Buffet who said it’s one thing to predict rain, it’s another to build an ark?

Plus, what flu says makes a LOT of sense. Cash out a portion and realize your gains, and let some percentage you can afford to gamble with further ride for a while.

[DoJC]

Your instincts got you this far, why not trust them again? How many people here did what you did, and why trust their advice? Was it Buffet who said it’s one thing to predict rain, it’s another to build an ark?

Plus, what flu says makes a LOT of sense. Cash out a portion and realize your gains, and let some percentage you can afford to gamble with further ride for a while.

[DoJC]

Your instincts got you this far, why not trust them again? How many people here did what you did, and why trust their advice? Was it Buffet who said it’s one thing to predict rain, it’s another to build an ark?

Plus, what flu says makes a LOT of sense. Cash out a portion and realize your gains, and let some percentage you can afford to gamble with further ride for a while.

[DoJC]

Your instincts got you this far, why not trust them again? How many people here did what you did, and why trust their advice? Was it Buffet who said it’s one thing to predict rain, it’s another to build an ark?

Plus, what flu says makes a LOT of sense. Cash out a portion and realize your gains, and let some percentage you can afford to gamble with further ride for a while.

[sdduuuude]

As time goes on, I’m starting to believe more and more in the double (triple ?) recession. We may be out of this one sooner than the bearish Pigg-types (me included) expect, but back into another one much faster than the mainstream believes possible.

With that said, this may be the time to get out, but look for another chance to get in.

[sdduuuude]

As time goes on, I’m starting to believe more and more in the double (triple ?) recession. We may be out of this one sooner than the bearish Pigg-types (me included) expect, but back into another one much faster than the mainstream believes possible.

With that said, this may be the time to get out, but look for another chance to get in.

[sdduuuude]

As time goes on, I’m starting to believe more and more in the double (triple ?) recession. We may be out of this one sooner than the bearish Pigg-types (me included) expect, but back into another one much faster than the mainstream believes possible.

With that said, this may be the time to get out, but look for another chance to get in.

[sdduuuude]

As time goes on, I’m starting to believe more and more in the double (triple ?) recession. We may be out of this one sooner than the bearish Pigg-types (me included) expect, but back into another one much faster than the mainstream believes possible.

With that said, this may be the time to get out, but look for another chance to get in.

[Author]

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