Now start Predictions for 2009

[Ex-SD]

Carnac says: This is going to be one hell of a rough year for the USA. Over 14,000 businesses that operate in malls and strip centers are expected to fail this year. Many major brands are in a cash crunch and the government can only hand out welfare to a limited number before they run totally out of cash. It’s going to be a year where those who are the strongest and smartest will survive. I will anxiously await the arrival of 2010 to see what happened in 2009. Cut out all your unnecessary expenses, save your cash and watch those who are laden with debt, lose their homes and cars and jobs. It ain’t gonna be pretty.

Housing :
San Diego: Down another 15-20% by the end of the year. I don’t care how much your wife nags…………… you will regret it if you buy in San Diego or Orange County this year.

Nationwide: Down the same as San Diego in all of the big, bubble markets but down only 8-10% in the others

Jobs :
San Diego: Unemployment will hit 12-14% % by year end

Nationwide: Unemployment will hit 10-12%

Oil : Fluctuating between $30-$40 a barrel the entire year

Strength of $ towards Euro:
The Euro will drop substantially this year. The Dollar and the Euro will be trading at a one for one basis by year end. Europe is just now starting to crumble.

The Dollar will also gain strongly against the Yen.

Gold: Who knows? I’m not buying any. It’s too volatile.

Good luck to all.

[HLS]

Will SEARS be in business in a year ??

The stock is currently $41+
You can sell JAN 2010 $5 Puts for $1.00

The stock would need to be below $4.00 to lose money, a drop of 90%

Many other interesting options going 6 to 12 months out….

[HLS]

Will SEARS be in business in a year ??

The stock is currently $41+
You can sell JAN 2010 $5 Puts for $1.00

The stock would need to be below $4.00 to lose money, a drop of 90%

Many other interesting options going 6 to 12 months out….

[HLS]

Will SEARS be in business in a year ??

The stock is currently $41+
You can sell JAN 2010 $5 Puts for $1.00

The stock would need to be below $4.00 to lose money, a drop of 90%

Many other interesting options going 6 to 12 months out….

[HLS]

Will SEARS be in business in a year ??

The stock is currently $41+
You can sell JAN 2010 $5 Puts for $1.00

The stock would need to be below $4.00 to lose money, a drop of 90%

Many other interesting options going 6 to 12 months out….

[HLS]

Will SEARS be in business in a year ??

The stock is currently $41+
You can sell JAN 2010 $5 Puts for $1.00

The stock would need to be below $4.00 to lose money, a drop of 90%

Many other interesting options going 6 to 12 months out….

[sdrealtor]

Interst rates at or below 5% all year. Low interest rates for refinanciers as well as home purchasers.

Coastal North County down another 7 to 10% this year with most of that coming after May. I made the same prediction last year and it held pretty well.

Home sales numbers rising throughout the year due to increased affordability on a year over year basis.

A good Spring season followed by an anemic Fall/Winter whichbrings the next leg down upon us.

More Piggs cross over to the dark side and get great homes well within their affordability and soon become ex-piggs never to be heard from again.

Our most pessimistic Piggs continue grumbling, get laid off and say see I was right.

[sdrealtor]

Interst rates at or below 5% all year. Low interest rates for refinanciers as well as home purchasers.

Coastal North County down another 7 to 10% this year with most of that coming after May. I made the same prediction last year and it held pretty well.

Home sales numbers rising throughout the year due to increased affordability on a year over year basis.

A good Spring season followed by an anemic Fall/Winter whichbrings the next leg down upon us.

More Piggs cross over to the dark side and get great homes well within their affordability and soon become ex-piggs never to be heard from again.

Our most pessimistic Piggs continue grumbling, get laid off and say see I was right.

[sdrealtor]

Interst rates at or below 5% all year. Low interest rates for refinanciers as well as home purchasers.

Coastal North County down another 7 to 10% this year with most of that coming after May. I made the same prediction last year and it held pretty well.

Home sales numbers rising throughout the year due to increased affordability on a year over year basis.

A good Spring season followed by an anemic Fall/Winter whichbrings the next leg down upon us.

More Piggs cross over to the dark side and get great homes well within their affordability and soon become ex-piggs never to be heard from again.

Our most pessimistic Piggs continue grumbling, get laid off and say see I was right.

[sdrealtor]

Interst rates at or below 5% all year. Low interest rates for refinanciers as well as home purchasers.

Coastal North County down another 7 to 10% this year with most of that coming after May. I made the same prediction last year and it held pretty well.

Home sales numbers rising throughout the year due to increased affordability on a year over year basis.

A good Spring season followed by an anemic Fall/Winter whichbrings the next leg down upon us.

More Piggs cross over to the dark side and get great homes well within their affordability and soon become ex-piggs never to be heard from again.

Our most pessimistic Piggs continue grumbling, get laid off and say see I was right.

[sdrealtor]

Interst rates at or below 5% all year. Low interest rates for refinanciers as well as home purchasers.

Coastal North County down another 7 to 10% this year with most of that coming after May. I made the same prediction last year and it held pretty well.

Home sales numbers rising throughout the year due to increased affordability on a year over year basis.

A good Spring season followed by an anemic Fall/Winter whichbrings the next leg down upon us.

More Piggs cross over to the dark side and get great homes well within their affordability and soon become ex-piggs never to be heard from again.

Our most pessimistic Piggs continue grumbling, get laid off and say see I was right.

[Scarlett]

I think the housing is going down another 25-30%, due to all the foreclosures in the pipeline, plus the ones to come due to rise in unemployment. North Coastal will see “only” 12-15% down (from the 2008 prices).

Oh, and I, too, believe the rates will go and stay at below 5% all year… and much good will that do…

I am afraid 2009 is going to be much, much worse than 2008 economcal overall. I am VERY afraid.

[Scarlett]

I think the housing is going down another 25-30%, due to all the foreclosures in the pipeline, plus the ones to come due to rise in unemployment. North Coastal will see “only” 12-15% down (from the 2008 prices).

Oh, and I, too, believe the rates will go and stay at below 5% all year… and much good will that do…

I am afraid 2009 is going to be much, much worse than 2008 economcal overall. I am VERY afraid.

[Scarlett]

I think the housing is going down another 25-30%, due to all the foreclosures in the pipeline, plus the ones to come due to rise in unemployment. North Coastal will see “only” 12-15% down (from the 2008 prices).

Oh, and I, too, believe the rates will go and stay at below 5% all year… and much good will that do…

I am afraid 2009 is going to be much, much worse than 2008 economcal overall. I am VERY afraid.

[Scarlett]

I think the housing is going down another 25-30%, due to all the foreclosures in the pipeline, plus the ones to come due to rise in unemployment. North Coastal will see “only” 12-15% down (from the 2008 prices).

Oh, and I, too, believe the rates will go and stay at below 5% all year… and much good will that do…

I am afraid 2009 is going to be much, much worse than 2008 economcal overall. I am VERY afraid.

[Author]

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