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  • August 10, 2009 at 11:39 PM #444288
    temeculaguy
    Participant

    I need to sit this one out, it’s all greek to me, my area of experise is confined to a single zip code, you guys know the hood, I don’t. My only point is the chronological price point is valid to me, as soon as that is settled, I’ll vote on weather bottom has arrived. However, I may have to retract some predictions if current trends hold, the low end has bounced off it’s February lows for six straight months, NCC may dodge the bullet if it holds out a little longer since the low end is looking at the bottom in the rear view mirror, 2001 pricing may not last much longer in those areas and may already be gone, if true, it wont get to some places.

    August 10, 2009 at 11:41 PM #443502
    an
    Participant

    [quote=ocrenter]AN, Palomino Valley is in a different league compared to Avaron.[/quote]
    If my math is wrong, please disprove it. Saying it’s a different league compare to Avaron doesn’t help, especially when I just proved that Avaron does have a premium over Palomino Valley. Which is 5% based on 2007 sold price. Even giving it a generous 10% premium, it would still only put it around $660k 2000 price. Which is much closer to my $670k 2000 price estimate using 9446 Tea Tree Ln and 17235 Tallow Tree Ln as data points.

    BTW, Avaron as a whole is better than the area Palomino Valley is in. HOWEVER, 15595 S Rising River Pl is right next to the gate and backs to Camino del Sur, which is very busy (i.e. loud). Palomino Valley house does not have the same issue. That might explain the small premium I calculated based on past sale prices.

    August 10, 2009 at 11:41 PM #443698
    an
    Participant

    [quote=ocrenter]AN, Palomino Valley is in a different league compared to Avaron.[/quote]
    If my math is wrong, please disprove it. Saying it’s a different league compare to Avaron doesn’t help, especially when I just proved that Avaron does have a premium over Palomino Valley. Which is 5% based on 2007 sold price. Even giving it a generous 10% premium, it would still only put it around $660k 2000 price. Which is much closer to my $670k 2000 price estimate using 9446 Tea Tree Ln and 17235 Tallow Tree Ln as data points.

    BTW, Avaron as a whole is better than the area Palomino Valley is in. HOWEVER, 15595 S Rising River Pl is right next to the gate and backs to Camino del Sur, which is very busy (i.e. loud). Palomino Valley house does not have the same issue. That might explain the small premium I calculated based on past sale prices.

    August 10, 2009 at 11:41 PM #444036
    an
    Participant

    [quote=ocrenter]AN, Palomino Valley is in a different league compared to Avaron.[/quote]
    If my math is wrong, please disprove it. Saying it’s a different league compare to Avaron doesn’t help, especially when I just proved that Avaron does have a premium over Palomino Valley. Which is 5% based on 2007 sold price. Even giving it a generous 10% premium, it would still only put it around $660k 2000 price. Which is much closer to my $670k 2000 price estimate using 9446 Tea Tree Ln and 17235 Tallow Tree Ln as data points.

    BTW, Avaron as a whole is better than the area Palomino Valley is in. HOWEVER, 15595 S Rising River Pl is right next to the gate and backs to Camino del Sur, which is very busy (i.e. loud). Palomino Valley house does not have the same issue. That might explain the small premium I calculated based on past sale prices.

    August 10, 2009 at 11:41 PM #444105
    an
    Participant

    [quote=ocrenter]AN, Palomino Valley is in a different league compared to Avaron.[/quote]
    If my math is wrong, please disprove it. Saying it’s a different league compare to Avaron doesn’t help, especially when I just proved that Avaron does have a premium over Palomino Valley. Which is 5% based on 2007 sold price. Even giving it a generous 10% premium, it would still only put it around $660k 2000 price. Which is much closer to my $670k 2000 price estimate using 9446 Tea Tree Ln and 17235 Tallow Tree Ln as data points.

    BTW, Avaron as a whole is better than the area Palomino Valley is in. HOWEVER, 15595 S Rising River Pl is right next to the gate and backs to Camino del Sur, which is very busy (i.e. loud). Palomino Valley house does not have the same issue. That might explain the small premium I calculated based on past sale prices.

    August 10, 2009 at 11:41 PM #444283
    an
    Participant

    [quote=ocrenter]AN, Palomino Valley is in a different league compared to Avaron.[/quote]
    If my math is wrong, please disprove it. Saying it’s a different league compare to Avaron doesn’t help, especially when I just proved that Avaron does have a premium over Palomino Valley. Which is 5% based on 2007 sold price. Even giving it a generous 10% premium, it would still only put it around $660k 2000 price. Which is much closer to my $670k 2000 price estimate using 9446 Tea Tree Ln and 17235 Tallow Tree Ln as data points.

    BTW, Avaron as a whole is better than the area Palomino Valley is in. HOWEVER, 15595 S Rising River Pl is right next to the gate and backs to Camino del Sur, which is very busy (i.e. loud). Palomino Valley house does not have the same issue. That might explain the small premium I calculated based on past sale prices.

    August 10, 2009 at 11:43 PM #443512
    an
    Participant

    TG, I recommend putting on your flame suite. :-).

    August 10, 2009 at 11:43 PM #443708
    an
    Participant

    TG, I recommend putting on your flame suite. :-).

    August 10, 2009 at 11:43 PM #444046
    an
    Participant

    TG, I recommend putting on your flame suite. :-).

    August 10, 2009 at 11:43 PM #444115
    an
    Participant

    TG, I recommend putting on your flame suite. :-).

    August 10, 2009 at 11:43 PM #444293
    an
    Participant

    TG, I recommend putting on your flame suite. :-).

    August 10, 2009 at 11:56 PM #443517
    temeculaguy
    Participant

    You are probably right AN, either that or I’ll just switch to porn and then go to bed, check the score tomorrow. I usually stick it out to see the flop, but not this time, I’m unarmed and Alfred took the flame suit to the cleaners.

    August 10, 2009 at 11:56 PM #443712
    temeculaguy
    Participant

    You are probably right AN, either that or I’ll just switch to porn and then go to bed, check the score tomorrow. I usually stick it out to see the flop, but not this time, I’m unarmed and Alfred took the flame suit to the cleaners.

    August 10, 2009 at 11:56 PM #444051
    temeculaguy
    Participant

    You are probably right AN, either that or I’ll just switch to porn and then go to bed, check the score tomorrow. I usually stick it out to see the flop, but not this time, I’m unarmed and Alfred took the flame suit to the cleaners.

    August 10, 2009 at 11:56 PM #444120
    temeculaguy
    Participant

    You are probably right AN, either that or I’ll just switch to porn and then go to bed, check the score tomorrow. I usually stick it out to see the flop, but not this time, I’m unarmed and Alfred took the flame suit to the cleaners.

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