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  • February 28, 2008 at 1:44 PM #162429
    kewp
    Participant

    When I moved 3 years ago I picked a place that was within walking distance of free transportation to my place of business.

    Expect this trend to increase with gas prices (and jingle mail).

    There is also the chance of a ‘black swan’ type tech event that is game changing. Like a sub 10k biodiesel roadster that gets 100 mpg. Or hyper-efficient batteries, solar cells, teleporters, whatever.

    The real problem, however, is its not just a transportation issue. Oil is used in shipping, industry, farming, manufacture, etc. So even jerks like me that don’t drive every day end up paying for it one way or another.

    February 28, 2008 at 1:46 PM #162037
    Arraya
    Participant

    “There are several technologies that are very close”

    Close is not the issue. The issue is scaleble.

    Hydrogen is an energy carrier, not an energy source. It is that you need to generate the energy to create the hydrogen somehow (which is problematic if energy becomes scarcer) and that this process is wasteful as there are losses at each stage of the energy conversion process.

    The car of the future is a railroad car and a bike at the other end. Except for maybe 1% of the population.

    February 28, 2008 at 1:46 PM #162331
    Arraya
    Participant

    “There are several technologies that are very close”

    Close is not the issue. The issue is scaleble.

    Hydrogen is an energy carrier, not an energy source. It is that you need to generate the energy to create the hydrogen somehow (which is problematic if energy becomes scarcer) and that this process is wasteful as there are losses at each stage of the energy conversion process.

    The car of the future is a railroad car and a bike at the other end. Except for maybe 1% of the population.

    February 28, 2008 at 1:46 PM #162348
    Arraya
    Participant

    “There are several technologies that are very close”

    Close is not the issue. The issue is scaleble.

    Hydrogen is an energy carrier, not an energy source. It is that you need to generate the energy to create the hydrogen somehow (which is problematic if energy becomes scarcer) and that this process is wasteful as there are losses at each stage of the energy conversion process.

    The car of the future is a railroad car and a bike at the other end. Except for maybe 1% of the population.

    February 28, 2008 at 1:46 PM #162365
    Arraya
    Participant

    “There are several technologies that are very close”

    Close is not the issue. The issue is scaleble.

    Hydrogen is an energy carrier, not an energy source. It is that you need to generate the energy to create the hydrogen somehow (which is problematic if energy becomes scarcer) and that this process is wasteful as there are losses at each stage of the energy conversion process.

    The car of the future is a railroad car and a bike at the other end. Except for maybe 1% of the population.

    February 28, 2008 at 1:46 PM #162434
    Arraya
    Participant

    “There are several technologies that are very close”

    Close is not the issue. The issue is scaleble.

    Hydrogen is an energy carrier, not an energy source. It is that you need to generate the energy to create the hydrogen somehow (which is problematic if energy becomes scarcer) and that this process is wasteful as there are losses at each stage of the energy conversion process.

    The car of the future is a railroad car and a bike at the other end. Except for maybe 1% of the population.

    February 28, 2008 at 1:59 PM #162043
    DWCAP
    Participant

    There is a speculative bubble in oil right now and it will continue for a while. What little change taxes may have had on the price of oil are easily overshadowed by this bubble. Supplies are higher, demand is down and prices are spiking? I dont mean at the pump where switches from winter to summer blends may have a few % influence, I mean the wall street market where oil is priced.
    The companies will scream bloody murder over it and Bush will make retarded predictions about it that are scary but he is so far behind the curve I really question how he got an MBA. But in the end the dust will clear, and nothing will have changed cept the Federal gov will just spend another 14billion and the oil companies will keep going on making record profits until this bubble goes pop.

    It kinda seems that the bubbles are going more and more to the markets that have very steep demand curves. Huge swings in prices affect demand for gas very little. Our population growth easly outpaces this change. It started in Tech stocks which have very gradual demand curves, they are not necessities. Then to housing, which is much steeper but has alternatives (rent, move, downsize), now to oil which has very few viable alternatives right now. In the long run itll be good because itll make alternatives viable, but it hurts now. The next ones are in Food and healthcare, which have no alternatives. Corn and wheat are the base of modern societies and prayer sessions are not viable alternatives to a regular checkup.

    February 28, 2008 at 1:59 PM #162335
    DWCAP
    Participant

    There is a speculative bubble in oil right now and it will continue for a while. What little change taxes may have had on the price of oil are easily overshadowed by this bubble. Supplies are higher, demand is down and prices are spiking? I dont mean at the pump where switches from winter to summer blends may have a few % influence, I mean the wall street market where oil is priced.
    The companies will scream bloody murder over it and Bush will make retarded predictions about it that are scary but he is so far behind the curve I really question how he got an MBA. But in the end the dust will clear, and nothing will have changed cept the Federal gov will just spend another 14billion and the oil companies will keep going on making record profits until this bubble goes pop.

    It kinda seems that the bubbles are going more and more to the markets that have very steep demand curves. Huge swings in prices affect demand for gas very little. Our population growth easly outpaces this change. It started in Tech stocks which have very gradual demand curves, they are not necessities. Then to housing, which is much steeper but has alternatives (rent, move, downsize), now to oil which has very few viable alternatives right now. In the long run itll be good because itll make alternatives viable, but it hurts now. The next ones are in Food and healthcare, which have no alternatives. Corn and wheat are the base of modern societies and prayer sessions are not viable alternatives to a regular checkup.

    February 28, 2008 at 1:59 PM #162353
    DWCAP
    Participant

    There is a speculative bubble in oil right now and it will continue for a while. What little change taxes may have had on the price of oil are easily overshadowed by this bubble. Supplies are higher, demand is down and prices are spiking? I dont mean at the pump where switches from winter to summer blends may have a few % influence, I mean the wall street market where oil is priced.
    The companies will scream bloody murder over it and Bush will make retarded predictions about it that are scary but he is so far behind the curve I really question how he got an MBA. But in the end the dust will clear, and nothing will have changed cept the Federal gov will just spend another 14billion and the oil companies will keep going on making record profits until this bubble goes pop.

    It kinda seems that the bubbles are going more and more to the markets that have very steep demand curves. Huge swings in prices affect demand for gas very little. Our population growth easly outpaces this change. It started in Tech stocks which have very gradual demand curves, they are not necessities. Then to housing, which is much steeper but has alternatives (rent, move, downsize), now to oil which has very few viable alternatives right now. In the long run itll be good because itll make alternatives viable, but it hurts now. The next ones are in Food and healthcare, which have no alternatives. Corn and wheat are the base of modern societies and prayer sessions are not viable alternatives to a regular checkup.

    February 28, 2008 at 1:59 PM #162370
    DWCAP
    Participant

    There is a speculative bubble in oil right now and it will continue for a while. What little change taxes may have had on the price of oil are easily overshadowed by this bubble. Supplies are higher, demand is down and prices are spiking? I dont mean at the pump where switches from winter to summer blends may have a few % influence, I mean the wall street market where oil is priced.
    The companies will scream bloody murder over it and Bush will make retarded predictions about it that are scary but he is so far behind the curve I really question how he got an MBA. But in the end the dust will clear, and nothing will have changed cept the Federal gov will just spend another 14billion and the oil companies will keep going on making record profits until this bubble goes pop.

    It kinda seems that the bubbles are going more and more to the markets that have very steep demand curves. Huge swings in prices affect demand for gas very little. Our population growth easly outpaces this change. It started in Tech stocks which have very gradual demand curves, they are not necessities. Then to housing, which is much steeper but has alternatives (rent, move, downsize), now to oil which has very few viable alternatives right now. In the long run itll be good because itll make alternatives viable, but it hurts now. The next ones are in Food and healthcare, which have no alternatives. Corn and wheat are the base of modern societies and prayer sessions are not viable alternatives to a regular checkup.

    February 28, 2008 at 1:59 PM #162439
    DWCAP
    Participant

    There is a speculative bubble in oil right now and it will continue for a while. What little change taxes may have had on the price of oil are easily overshadowed by this bubble. Supplies are higher, demand is down and prices are spiking? I dont mean at the pump where switches from winter to summer blends may have a few % influence, I mean the wall street market where oil is priced.
    The companies will scream bloody murder over it and Bush will make retarded predictions about it that are scary but he is so far behind the curve I really question how he got an MBA. But in the end the dust will clear, and nothing will have changed cept the Federal gov will just spend another 14billion and the oil companies will keep going on making record profits until this bubble goes pop.

    It kinda seems that the bubbles are going more and more to the markets that have very steep demand curves. Huge swings in prices affect demand for gas very little. Our population growth easly outpaces this change. It started in Tech stocks which have very gradual demand curves, they are not necessities. Then to housing, which is much steeper but has alternatives (rent, move, downsize), now to oil which has very few viable alternatives right now. In the long run itll be good because itll make alternatives viable, but it hurts now. The next ones are in Food and healthcare, which have no alternatives. Corn and wheat are the base of modern societies and prayer sessions are not viable alternatives to a regular checkup.

    February 28, 2008 at 2:40 PM #162057
    Arraya
    Participant

    There is a speculative bubble in oil right now and it will continue for a while. What little change taxes may have had on the price of oil are easily overshadowed by this bubble

    Bubble would indicate a disconnect from fundamentals which could not be further from the truth.

    If anything oil is way underpriced.

    Also RE: Lithium, it is also a finite resource.

    http://www.autobloggreen.com/2007/01/30/beyond-peak-oil-are-we-facing-peak-lithium/

    February 28, 2008 at 2:40 PM #162351
    Arraya
    Participant

    There is a speculative bubble in oil right now and it will continue for a while. What little change taxes may have had on the price of oil are easily overshadowed by this bubble

    Bubble would indicate a disconnect from fundamentals which could not be further from the truth.

    If anything oil is way underpriced.

    Also RE: Lithium, it is also a finite resource.

    http://www.autobloggreen.com/2007/01/30/beyond-peak-oil-are-we-facing-peak-lithium/

    February 28, 2008 at 2:40 PM #162368
    Arraya
    Participant

    There is a speculative bubble in oil right now and it will continue for a while. What little change taxes may have had on the price of oil are easily overshadowed by this bubble

    Bubble would indicate a disconnect from fundamentals which could not be further from the truth.

    If anything oil is way underpriced.

    Also RE: Lithium, it is also a finite resource.

    http://www.autobloggreen.com/2007/01/30/beyond-peak-oil-are-we-facing-peak-lithium/

    February 28, 2008 at 2:40 PM #162385
    Arraya
    Participant

    There is a speculative bubble in oil right now and it will continue for a while. What little change taxes may have had on the price of oil are easily overshadowed by this bubble

    Bubble would indicate a disconnect from fundamentals which could not be further from the truth.

    If anything oil is way underpriced.

    Also RE: Lithium, it is also a finite resource.

    http://www.autobloggreen.com/2007/01/30/beyond-peak-oil-are-we-facing-peak-lithium/

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