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February 22, 2008 at 3:53 PM in reply to: DOW rockets in the final hours. Are Boom times back? #157855February 22, 2008 at 3:53 PM in reply to: DOW rockets in the final hours. Are Boom times back? #158145
Chris Scoreboard Johnston
ParticipantThat was the PPT at work, whenever you see the last hour save that is what is behind it. We are close to a very bullish time period, many insiders are aware of this bullish cycle, so some of the move could have been positioning for that, but I doubt it. We are still about 2-4 weeks from the ideal entry based on cycles, but it could take off at any time now in my opinion.
Net net that last hour did not mean anything in the big picture, but it is time to find the stocks you want to buy and start buying them for the election year rally that typically starts in March.
February 22, 2008 at 3:53 PM in reply to: DOW rockets in the final hours. Are Boom times back? #158156Chris Scoreboard Johnston
ParticipantThat was the PPT at work, whenever you see the last hour save that is what is behind it. We are close to a very bullish time period, many insiders are aware of this bullish cycle, so some of the move could have been positioning for that, but I doubt it. We are still about 2-4 weeks from the ideal entry based on cycles, but it could take off at any time now in my opinion.
Net net that last hour did not mean anything in the big picture, but it is time to find the stocks you want to buy and start buying them for the election year rally that typically starts in March.
February 22, 2008 at 3:53 PM in reply to: DOW rockets in the final hours. Are Boom times back? #158162Chris Scoreboard Johnston
ParticipantThat was the PPT at work, whenever you see the last hour save that is what is behind it. We are close to a very bullish time period, many insiders are aware of this bullish cycle, so some of the move could have been positioning for that, but I doubt it. We are still about 2-4 weeks from the ideal entry based on cycles, but it could take off at any time now in my opinion.
Net net that last hour did not mean anything in the big picture, but it is time to find the stocks you want to buy and start buying them for the election year rally that typically starts in March.
February 22, 2008 at 3:53 PM in reply to: DOW rockets in the final hours. Are Boom times back? #158235Chris Scoreboard Johnston
ParticipantThat was the PPT at work, whenever you see the last hour save that is what is behind it. We are close to a very bullish time period, many insiders are aware of this bullish cycle, so some of the move could have been positioning for that, but I doubt it. We are still about 2-4 weeks from the ideal entry based on cycles, but it could take off at any time now in my opinion.
Net net that last hour did not mean anything in the big picture, but it is time to find the stocks you want to buy and start buying them for the election year rally that typically starts in March.
Chris Scoreboard Johnston
ParticipantThe curve is no longer inverted, it has been rising sharply actually in recent weeks, far from inverted presently.
Chris Scoreboard Johnston
ParticipantThe curve is no longer inverted, it has been rising sharply actually in recent weeks, far from inverted presently.
Chris Scoreboard Johnston
ParticipantThe curve is no longer inverted, it has been rising sharply actually in recent weeks, far from inverted presently.
Chris Scoreboard Johnston
ParticipantThe curve is no longer inverted, it has been rising sharply actually in recent weeks, far from inverted presently.
Chris Scoreboard Johnston
ParticipantThe curve is no longer inverted, it has been rising sharply actually in recent weeks, far from inverted presently.
Chris Scoreboard Johnston
ParticipantI hate to disppoint the post about small investors moving the prices of this instrument. However, as someone who routinely commits to trades of seven figures and never sees the market move even a tick on the fills, I have to tell you that small investors have no influence at all in this market. Even a Goldman Sachs can only move prices for a few seconds so make no mistake about it, those models you refer to are exactly what determine where this market goes.
The seasonal bias heavily favors a upward move in yields into June, followed by a downward move through the end of the year from there. This has been particularly prominent during election years. The logic behind that I think is obvious, but that has what has historically occurred. The commercials are kind of in the middle here as far as positioning goes, so they are of no help at the moment in terms of guessing about direction. As a result, my guess is higher rates for the next few months, followed by a decline from there for the balance of the year.
I will be looking to put a long postion on in June and hold it through years end, unless something has changed dramatically leading up to that date.
Chris Scoreboard Johnston
ParticipantI hate to disppoint the post about small investors moving the prices of this instrument. However, as someone who routinely commits to trades of seven figures and never sees the market move even a tick on the fills, I have to tell you that small investors have no influence at all in this market. Even a Goldman Sachs can only move prices for a few seconds so make no mistake about it, those models you refer to are exactly what determine where this market goes.
The seasonal bias heavily favors a upward move in yields into June, followed by a downward move through the end of the year from there. This has been particularly prominent during election years. The logic behind that I think is obvious, but that has what has historically occurred. The commercials are kind of in the middle here as far as positioning goes, so they are of no help at the moment in terms of guessing about direction. As a result, my guess is higher rates for the next few months, followed by a decline from there for the balance of the year.
I will be looking to put a long postion on in June and hold it through years end, unless something has changed dramatically leading up to that date.
Chris Scoreboard Johnston
ParticipantI hate to disppoint the post about small investors moving the prices of this instrument. However, as someone who routinely commits to trades of seven figures and never sees the market move even a tick on the fills, I have to tell you that small investors have no influence at all in this market. Even a Goldman Sachs can only move prices for a few seconds so make no mistake about it, those models you refer to are exactly what determine where this market goes.
The seasonal bias heavily favors a upward move in yields into June, followed by a downward move through the end of the year from there. This has been particularly prominent during election years. The logic behind that I think is obvious, but that has what has historically occurred. The commercials are kind of in the middle here as far as positioning goes, so they are of no help at the moment in terms of guessing about direction. As a result, my guess is higher rates for the next few months, followed by a decline from there for the balance of the year.
I will be looking to put a long postion on in June and hold it through years end, unless something has changed dramatically leading up to that date.
Chris Scoreboard Johnston
ParticipantI hate to disppoint the post about small investors moving the prices of this instrument. However, as someone who routinely commits to trades of seven figures and never sees the market move even a tick on the fills, I have to tell you that small investors have no influence at all in this market. Even a Goldman Sachs can only move prices for a few seconds so make no mistake about it, those models you refer to are exactly what determine where this market goes.
The seasonal bias heavily favors a upward move in yields into June, followed by a downward move through the end of the year from there. This has been particularly prominent during election years. The logic behind that I think is obvious, but that has what has historically occurred. The commercials are kind of in the middle here as far as positioning goes, so they are of no help at the moment in terms of guessing about direction. As a result, my guess is higher rates for the next few months, followed by a decline from there for the balance of the year.
I will be looking to put a long postion on in June and hold it through years end, unless something has changed dramatically leading up to that date.
Chris Scoreboard Johnston
ParticipantI hate to disppoint the post about small investors moving the prices of this instrument. However, as someone who routinely commits to trades of seven figures and never sees the market move even a tick on the fills, I have to tell you that small investors have no influence at all in this market. Even a Goldman Sachs can only move prices for a few seconds so make no mistake about it, those models you refer to are exactly what determine where this market goes.
The seasonal bias heavily favors a upward move in yields into June, followed by a downward move through the end of the year from there. This has been particularly prominent during election years. The logic behind that I think is obvious, but that has what has historically occurred. The commercials are kind of in the middle here as far as positioning goes, so they are of no help at the moment in terms of guessing about direction. As a result, my guess is higher rates for the next few months, followed by a decline from there for the balance of the year.
I will be looking to put a long postion on in June and hold it through years end, unless something has changed dramatically leading up to that date.
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