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Chris Scoreboard Johnston
ParticipantI listened to Cavuto interviewing one of these guys from this group while working out, and just could not stop laughing. They really have great stand up material. One of his comments was that we only look at things after the fact, huh? Do these guys actually get paid to declare a recession one full year after they claim it started? The average recession has barely lasted longer than that. Then they will tell us a year after the turn that things turned a year ago, Seinfield can’t outdo these guys. They claim that things do not become clear until after several months go by, that is incredibly funny to me. Who in this blog did not realize we had an economic slowdown happening a year ago while it was unfolding?
This slowdown is going to clear out all the BS like this and that will be good even though alot of people are not going to survive it financially. Things have gotten so out of hand and this symbolizes it to me. We are now paying eggheads to tell us what happened a year ago! What the hell good is that? For those who invest according to what “experts” say itleast it has become clear that they have no edge in investing whatsoever and should be for the most part “faded.” ( trading terminology for taking the opposite bet ) This is also one of the main reasons gold will not stage this huge rally, everyone on earth is waiting for it. Fortunately, we have these guys who can come in and tell us a year from now what happened to Gold tomorrow!
To his credit Cavuto did kind of make fun of this guy.
Chris Scoreboard Johnston
ParticipantI listened to Cavuto interviewing one of these guys from this group while working out, and just could not stop laughing. They really have great stand up material. One of his comments was that we only look at things after the fact, huh? Do these guys actually get paid to declare a recession one full year after they claim it started? The average recession has barely lasted longer than that. Then they will tell us a year after the turn that things turned a year ago, Seinfield can’t outdo these guys. They claim that things do not become clear until after several months go by, that is incredibly funny to me. Who in this blog did not realize we had an economic slowdown happening a year ago while it was unfolding?
This slowdown is going to clear out all the BS like this and that will be good even though alot of people are not going to survive it financially. Things have gotten so out of hand and this symbolizes it to me. We are now paying eggheads to tell us what happened a year ago! What the hell good is that? For those who invest according to what “experts” say itleast it has become clear that they have no edge in investing whatsoever and should be for the most part “faded.” ( trading terminology for taking the opposite bet ) This is also one of the main reasons gold will not stage this huge rally, everyone on earth is waiting for it. Fortunately, we have these guys who can come in and tell us a year from now what happened to Gold tomorrow!
To his credit Cavuto did kind of make fun of this guy.
Chris Scoreboard Johnston
ParticipantI listened to Cavuto interviewing one of these guys from this group while working out, and just could not stop laughing. They really have great stand up material. One of his comments was that we only look at things after the fact, huh? Do these guys actually get paid to declare a recession one full year after they claim it started? The average recession has barely lasted longer than that. Then they will tell us a year after the turn that things turned a year ago, Seinfield can’t outdo these guys. They claim that things do not become clear until after several months go by, that is incredibly funny to me. Who in this blog did not realize we had an economic slowdown happening a year ago while it was unfolding?
This slowdown is going to clear out all the BS like this and that will be good even though alot of people are not going to survive it financially. Things have gotten so out of hand and this symbolizes it to me. We are now paying eggheads to tell us what happened a year ago! What the hell good is that? For those who invest according to what “experts” say itleast it has become clear that they have no edge in investing whatsoever and should be for the most part “faded.” ( trading terminology for taking the opposite bet ) This is also one of the main reasons gold will not stage this huge rally, everyone on earth is waiting for it. Fortunately, we have these guys who can come in and tell us a year from now what happened to Gold tomorrow!
To his credit Cavuto did kind of make fun of this guy.
Chris Scoreboard Johnston
ParticipantI listened to Cavuto interviewing one of these guys from this group while working out, and just could not stop laughing. They really have great stand up material. One of his comments was that we only look at things after the fact, huh? Do these guys actually get paid to declare a recession one full year after they claim it started? The average recession has barely lasted longer than that. Then they will tell us a year after the turn that things turned a year ago, Seinfield can’t outdo these guys. They claim that things do not become clear until after several months go by, that is incredibly funny to me. Who in this blog did not realize we had an economic slowdown happening a year ago while it was unfolding?
This slowdown is going to clear out all the BS like this and that will be good even though alot of people are not going to survive it financially. Things have gotten so out of hand and this symbolizes it to me. We are now paying eggheads to tell us what happened a year ago! What the hell good is that? For those who invest according to what “experts” say itleast it has become clear that they have no edge in investing whatsoever and should be for the most part “faded.” ( trading terminology for taking the opposite bet ) This is also one of the main reasons gold will not stage this huge rally, everyone on earth is waiting for it. Fortunately, we have these guys who can come in and tell us a year from now what happened to Gold tomorrow!
To his credit Cavuto did kind of make fun of this guy.
December 2, 2008 at 8:47 AM in reply to: Ideas for short-term trades? Where are markets headed? #310589Chris Scoreboard Johnston
ParticipantGreat exchange, there are some really good thinkers in here nowadays. Stocktrader, those are great returns, congrats on the good work. I am a little concerned that you are over leveraging there, so be careful.
When I went to type my full array of thoughts for a post, it got too long and annoying so I deleted it.
Net net, I think we are in an extended delationary period that just began and has a ways to go. As a result I don’t think any asset that requires inflation to rise will be a good investment until this situation changes. The COT report continues to show massive liquidations going on, so I don’t expect this to change any time soon.
I expect the dollar to rise for quite awhile due to the 16 yr cycle low it just made earlier this year right on schedule. It will have wiggles but the net direction should be up for several years. I am currently looking for a pullback to get aggressively long in the dollar. Just technical analysis, I do not use my opinions on world economics to determine my views on things.
I could be wrong, that is what stops are for!!!!
Good luck and good trading to everyone
December 2, 2008 at 8:47 AM in reply to: Ideas for short-term trades? Where are markets headed? #310953Chris Scoreboard Johnston
ParticipantGreat exchange, there are some really good thinkers in here nowadays. Stocktrader, those are great returns, congrats on the good work. I am a little concerned that you are over leveraging there, so be careful.
When I went to type my full array of thoughts for a post, it got too long and annoying so I deleted it.
Net net, I think we are in an extended delationary period that just began and has a ways to go. As a result I don’t think any asset that requires inflation to rise will be a good investment until this situation changes. The COT report continues to show massive liquidations going on, so I don’t expect this to change any time soon.
I expect the dollar to rise for quite awhile due to the 16 yr cycle low it just made earlier this year right on schedule. It will have wiggles but the net direction should be up for several years. I am currently looking for a pullback to get aggressively long in the dollar. Just technical analysis, I do not use my opinions on world economics to determine my views on things.
I could be wrong, that is what stops are for!!!!
Good luck and good trading to everyone
December 2, 2008 at 8:47 AM in reply to: Ideas for short-term trades? Where are markets headed? #310978Chris Scoreboard Johnston
ParticipantGreat exchange, there are some really good thinkers in here nowadays. Stocktrader, those are great returns, congrats on the good work. I am a little concerned that you are over leveraging there, so be careful.
When I went to type my full array of thoughts for a post, it got too long and annoying so I deleted it.
Net net, I think we are in an extended delationary period that just began and has a ways to go. As a result I don’t think any asset that requires inflation to rise will be a good investment until this situation changes. The COT report continues to show massive liquidations going on, so I don’t expect this to change any time soon.
I expect the dollar to rise for quite awhile due to the 16 yr cycle low it just made earlier this year right on schedule. It will have wiggles but the net direction should be up for several years. I am currently looking for a pullback to get aggressively long in the dollar. Just technical analysis, I do not use my opinions on world economics to determine my views on things.
I could be wrong, that is what stops are for!!!!
Good luck and good trading to everyone
December 2, 2008 at 8:47 AM in reply to: Ideas for short-term trades? Where are markets headed? #310998Chris Scoreboard Johnston
ParticipantGreat exchange, there are some really good thinkers in here nowadays. Stocktrader, those are great returns, congrats on the good work. I am a little concerned that you are over leveraging there, so be careful.
When I went to type my full array of thoughts for a post, it got too long and annoying so I deleted it.
Net net, I think we are in an extended delationary period that just began and has a ways to go. As a result I don’t think any asset that requires inflation to rise will be a good investment until this situation changes. The COT report continues to show massive liquidations going on, so I don’t expect this to change any time soon.
I expect the dollar to rise for quite awhile due to the 16 yr cycle low it just made earlier this year right on schedule. It will have wiggles but the net direction should be up for several years. I am currently looking for a pullback to get aggressively long in the dollar. Just technical analysis, I do not use my opinions on world economics to determine my views on things.
I could be wrong, that is what stops are for!!!!
Good luck and good trading to everyone
December 2, 2008 at 8:47 AM in reply to: Ideas for short-term trades? Where are markets headed? #311063Chris Scoreboard Johnston
ParticipantGreat exchange, there are some really good thinkers in here nowadays. Stocktrader, those are great returns, congrats on the good work. I am a little concerned that you are over leveraging there, so be careful.
When I went to type my full array of thoughts for a post, it got too long and annoying so I deleted it.
Net net, I think we are in an extended delationary period that just began and has a ways to go. As a result I don’t think any asset that requires inflation to rise will be a good investment until this situation changes. The COT report continues to show massive liquidations going on, so I don’t expect this to change any time soon.
I expect the dollar to rise for quite awhile due to the 16 yr cycle low it just made earlier this year right on schedule. It will have wiggles but the net direction should be up for several years. I am currently looking for a pullback to get aggressively long in the dollar. Just technical analysis, I do not use my opinions on world economics to determine my views on things.
I could be wrong, that is what stops are for!!!!
Good luck and good trading to everyone
December 1, 2008 at 1:51 PM in reply to: Ideas for short-term trades? Where are markets headed? #310294Chris Scoreboard Johnston
ParticipantI shorted Gold last night at 809 and covered that short at 771 today, just so much money so fast I had to take the profit. I would love to see it rally more for a longer term short, Gold has never been a good hedge against weak stock markets. That is an old wives tale being peddled by people selling gold coins. These are probably the same people who were selling houses a couple of years ago saying they will never go down again. This market is in a downtrend so all rallies should be sold.
I also agree on these 2 and 3 times leverage funds. If you really want that much risk play futures, they are way more liquid on the fills and you can get out in the night sessions if you need to.
I did short the SP 500 last night but was surprised by the magnitude of todays drop as I am expecting a little bit of a larger bounce moving into January. The seasonal strongly suggests this should happen. However, the trend is down so suprises normally occur in the direction of the trend.
Big picture I think most all markets are shorts on bounces, there are still a bout 90 billion dollars worth of futures positions in the large funds that need to be unowound before this debacle ends. This does not mean we cannot have 2 to 4 week rallies in things. I hope we get them to create good shorting opportunities.
I know the person who started this thread likes to trade alot in and out which is fine. These comments are more directed towards catching larger moves that will last a bit longer. The opportunity to make money in futures has never been what it is now, and it will not last. We will move into an extended sideways market in most of these things once the free fall stops. That might create a very good opportunity to write options against the range extremes.
December 1, 2008 at 1:51 PM in reply to: Ideas for short-term trades? Where are markets headed? #310657Chris Scoreboard Johnston
ParticipantI shorted Gold last night at 809 and covered that short at 771 today, just so much money so fast I had to take the profit. I would love to see it rally more for a longer term short, Gold has never been a good hedge against weak stock markets. That is an old wives tale being peddled by people selling gold coins. These are probably the same people who were selling houses a couple of years ago saying they will never go down again. This market is in a downtrend so all rallies should be sold.
I also agree on these 2 and 3 times leverage funds. If you really want that much risk play futures, they are way more liquid on the fills and you can get out in the night sessions if you need to.
I did short the SP 500 last night but was surprised by the magnitude of todays drop as I am expecting a little bit of a larger bounce moving into January. The seasonal strongly suggests this should happen. However, the trend is down so suprises normally occur in the direction of the trend.
Big picture I think most all markets are shorts on bounces, there are still a bout 90 billion dollars worth of futures positions in the large funds that need to be unowound before this debacle ends. This does not mean we cannot have 2 to 4 week rallies in things. I hope we get them to create good shorting opportunities.
I know the person who started this thread likes to trade alot in and out which is fine. These comments are more directed towards catching larger moves that will last a bit longer. The opportunity to make money in futures has never been what it is now, and it will not last. We will move into an extended sideways market in most of these things once the free fall stops. That might create a very good opportunity to write options against the range extremes.
December 1, 2008 at 1:51 PM in reply to: Ideas for short-term trades? Where are markets headed? #310683Chris Scoreboard Johnston
ParticipantI shorted Gold last night at 809 and covered that short at 771 today, just so much money so fast I had to take the profit. I would love to see it rally more for a longer term short, Gold has never been a good hedge against weak stock markets. That is an old wives tale being peddled by people selling gold coins. These are probably the same people who were selling houses a couple of years ago saying they will never go down again. This market is in a downtrend so all rallies should be sold.
I also agree on these 2 and 3 times leverage funds. If you really want that much risk play futures, they are way more liquid on the fills and you can get out in the night sessions if you need to.
I did short the SP 500 last night but was surprised by the magnitude of todays drop as I am expecting a little bit of a larger bounce moving into January. The seasonal strongly suggests this should happen. However, the trend is down so suprises normally occur in the direction of the trend.
Big picture I think most all markets are shorts on bounces, there are still a bout 90 billion dollars worth of futures positions in the large funds that need to be unowound before this debacle ends. This does not mean we cannot have 2 to 4 week rallies in things. I hope we get them to create good shorting opportunities.
I know the person who started this thread likes to trade alot in and out which is fine. These comments are more directed towards catching larger moves that will last a bit longer. The opportunity to make money in futures has never been what it is now, and it will not last. We will move into an extended sideways market in most of these things once the free fall stops. That might create a very good opportunity to write options against the range extremes.
December 1, 2008 at 1:51 PM in reply to: Ideas for short-term trades? Where are markets headed? #310700Chris Scoreboard Johnston
ParticipantI shorted Gold last night at 809 and covered that short at 771 today, just so much money so fast I had to take the profit. I would love to see it rally more for a longer term short, Gold has never been a good hedge against weak stock markets. That is an old wives tale being peddled by people selling gold coins. These are probably the same people who were selling houses a couple of years ago saying they will never go down again. This market is in a downtrend so all rallies should be sold.
I also agree on these 2 and 3 times leverage funds. If you really want that much risk play futures, they are way more liquid on the fills and you can get out in the night sessions if you need to.
I did short the SP 500 last night but was surprised by the magnitude of todays drop as I am expecting a little bit of a larger bounce moving into January. The seasonal strongly suggests this should happen. However, the trend is down so suprises normally occur in the direction of the trend.
Big picture I think most all markets are shorts on bounces, there are still a bout 90 billion dollars worth of futures positions in the large funds that need to be unowound before this debacle ends. This does not mean we cannot have 2 to 4 week rallies in things. I hope we get them to create good shorting opportunities.
I know the person who started this thread likes to trade alot in and out which is fine. These comments are more directed towards catching larger moves that will last a bit longer. The opportunity to make money in futures has never been what it is now, and it will not last. We will move into an extended sideways market in most of these things once the free fall stops. That might create a very good opportunity to write options against the range extremes.
December 1, 2008 at 1:51 PM in reply to: Ideas for short-term trades? Where are markets headed? #310766Chris Scoreboard Johnston
ParticipantI shorted Gold last night at 809 and covered that short at 771 today, just so much money so fast I had to take the profit. I would love to see it rally more for a longer term short, Gold has never been a good hedge against weak stock markets. That is an old wives tale being peddled by people selling gold coins. These are probably the same people who were selling houses a couple of years ago saying they will never go down again. This market is in a downtrend so all rallies should be sold.
I also agree on these 2 and 3 times leverage funds. If you really want that much risk play futures, they are way more liquid on the fills and you can get out in the night sessions if you need to.
I did short the SP 500 last night but was surprised by the magnitude of todays drop as I am expecting a little bit of a larger bounce moving into January. The seasonal strongly suggests this should happen. However, the trend is down so suprises normally occur in the direction of the trend.
Big picture I think most all markets are shorts on bounces, there are still a bout 90 billion dollars worth of futures positions in the large funds that need to be unowound before this debacle ends. This does not mean we cannot have 2 to 4 week rallies in things. I hope we get them to create good shorting opportunities.
I know the person who started this thread likes to trade alot in and out which is fine. These comments are more directed towards catching larger moves that will last a bit longer. The opportunity to make money in futures has never been what it is now, and it will not last. We will move into an extended sideways market in most of these things once the free fall stops. That might create a very good opportunity to write options against the range extremes.
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