Home › Forums › Closed Forums › Buying and Selling RE › sell current home or rent? not sure how to calculate
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March 28, 2008 at 6:48 AM #177959March 28, 2008 at 6:56 AM #177508NavydocParticipant
Do not forget to add the amount the house depreciates over that same 3-year period to your monthly losses. If the house depreciates 10%, which I think is a quite realistic possibility, the $37,000 loss doesn’t look so bad any more. I agree with my fellow Piggs, sell immediately (if you can).
March 28, 2008 at 6:56 AM #177861NavydocParticipantDo not forget to add the amount the house depreciates over that same 3-year period to your monthly losses. If the house depreciates 10%, which I think is a quite realistic possibility, the $37,000 loss doesn’t look so bad any more. I agree with my fellow Piggs, sell immediately (if you can).
March 28, 2008 at 6:56 AM #177867NavydocParticipantDo not forget to add the amount the house depreciates over that same 3-year period to your monthly losses. If the house depreciates 10%, which I think is a quite realistic possibility, the $37,000 loss doesn’t look so bad any more. I agree with my fellow Piggs, sell immediately (if you can).
March 28, 2008 at 6:56 AM #177875NavydocParticipantDo not forget to add the amount the house depreciates over that same 3-year period to your monthly losses. If the house depreciates 10%, which I think is a quite realistic possibility, the $37,000 loss doesn’t look so bad any more. I agree with my fellow Piggs, sell immediately (if you can).
March 28, 2008 at 6:56 AM #177964NavydocParticipantDo not forget to add the amount the house depreciates over that same 3-year period to your monthly losses. If the house depreciates 10%, which I think is a quite realistic possibility, the $37,000 loss doesn’t look so bad any more. I agree with my fellow Piggs, sell immediately (if you can).
March 28, 2008 at 10:00 AM #177589(former)FormerSanDieganParticipantI would not be looking to buy immediately in San Diego. It is typically better to move, rent a while, and do your homeowrk with your feet on the ground here first. There are a lot of subtleties to real estate that are hard to glean from web searches and first impressions.
Now, about that house in Washington… I cannot speak to any opinion as to whether houses are due for a 10% or more decline there. But I’d like to offer a counter-opinion that we rarely get on this board.
As a landlord, who was in a similar position to you 6 years ago, I would look at it this way: Accounting for maintenance, vacancies, and management, your negative will likely average roughly 500 per month over the next 5-6 years (probably more like 600-700 per month initially, then decreasing with rent increases). After 5 or 6 years rents are likely to increase to the point where you break even. You will likely break even after taxes much sooner (maybe even in year 1) because of the depreciation write-off.So, fast forward about 6 years … AT that point you will have a property that is likely to be breaking even or slightly positive cash flow. Your tenants will be paying it off over the next 20-25 years. All that for the equivalent of a monthly payment on a new car for the next 6 years.
Of course, I am assuming that rents increase at 3-4% per year and that we are not entering the next great depression.
The real question is whether or not you are suited to be a property owner or whether you might be better off selling and investing the 600 bucks a month in something else.Others might opt to avoid the whole landlord thing or investment alternatives and just enjoy a new 5-series every few years.
March 28, 2008 at 10:00 AM #177941(former)FormerSanDieganParticipantI would not be looking to buy immediately in San Diego. It is typically better to move, rent a while, and do your homeowrk with your feet on the ground here first. There are a lot of subtleties to real estate that are hard to glean from web searches and first impressions.
Now, about that house in Washington… I cannot speak to any opinion as to whether houses are due for a 10% or more decline there. But I’d like to offer a counter-opinion that we rarely get on this board.
As a landlord, who was in a similar position to you 6 years ago, I would look at it this way: Accounting for maintenance, vacancies, and management, your negative will likely average roughly 500 per month over the next 5-6 years (probably more like 600-700 per month initially, then decreasing with rent increases). After 5 or 6 years rents are likely to increase to the point where you break even. You will likely break even after taxes much sooner (maybe even in year 1) because of the depreciation write-off.So, fast forward about 6 years … AT that point you will have a property that is likely to be breaking even or slightly positive cash flow. Your tenants will be paying it off over the next 20-25 years. All that for the equivalent of a monthly payment on a new car for the next 6 years.
Of course, I am assuming that rents increase at 3-4% per year and that we are not entering the next great depression.
The real question is whether or not you are suited to be a property owner or whether you might be better off selling and investing the 600 bucks a month in something else.Others might opt to avoid the whole landlord thing or investment alternatives and just enjoy a new 5-series every few years.
March 28, 2008 at 10:00 AM #177948(former)FormerSanDieganParticipantI would not be looking to buy immediately in San Diego. It is typically better to move, rent a while, and do your homeowrk with your feet on the ground here first. There are a lot of subtleties to real estate that are hard to glean from web searches and first impressions.
Now, about that house in Washington… I cannot speak to any opinion as to whether houses are due for a 10% or more decline there. But I’d like to offer a counter-opinion that we rarely get on this board.
As a landlord, who was in a similar position to you 6 years ago, I would look at it this way: Accounting for maintenance, vacancies, and management, your negative will likely average roughly 500 per month over the next 5-6 years (probably more like 600-700 per month initially, then decreasing with rent increases). After 5 or 6 years rents are likely to increase to the point where you break even. You will likely break even after taxes much sooner (maybe even in year 1) because of the depreciation write-off.So, fast forward about 6 years … AT that point you will have a property that is likely to be breaking even or slightly positive cash flow. Your tenants will be paying it off over the next 20-25 years. All that for the equivalent of a monthly payment on a new car for the next 6 years.
Of course, I am assuming that rents increase at 3-4% per year and that we are not entering the next great depression.
The real question is whether or not you are suited to be a property owner or whether you might be better off selling and investing the 600 bucks a month in something else.Others might opt to avoid the whole landlord thing or investment alternatives and just enjoy a new 5-series every few years.
March 28, 2008 at 10:00 AM #177955(former)FormerSanDieganParticipantI would not be looking to buy immediately in San Diego. It is typically better to move, rent a while, and do your homeowrk with your feet on the ground here first. There are a lot of subtleties to real estate that are hard to glean from web searches and first impressions.
Now, about that house in Washington… I cannot speak to any opinion as to whether houses are due for a 10% or more decline there. But I’d like to offer a counter-opinion that we rarely get on this board.
As a landlord, who was in a similar position to you 6 years ago, I would look at it this way: Accounting for maintenance, vacancies, and management, your negative will likely average roughly 500 per month over the next 5-6 years (probably more like 600-700 per month initially, then decreasing with rent increases). After 5 or 6 years rents are likely to increase to the point where you break even. You will likely break even after taxes much sooner (maybe even in year 1) because of the depreciation write-off.So, fast forward about 6 years … AT that point you will have a property that is likely to be breaking even or slightly positive cash flow. Your tenants will be paying it off over the next 20-25 years. All that for the equivalent of a monthly payment on a new car for the next 6 years.
Of course, I am assuming that rents increase at 3-4% per year and that we are not entering the next great depression.
The real question is whether or not you are suited to be a property owner or whether you might be better off selling and investing the 600 bucks a month in something else.Others might opt to avoid the whole landlord thing or investment alternatives and just enjoy a new 5-series every few years.
March 28, 2008 at 10:00 AM #178044(former)FormerSanDieganParticipantI would not be looking to buy immediately in San Diego. It is typically better to move, rent a while, and do your homeowrk with your feet on the ground here first. There are a lot of subtleties to real estate that are hard to glean from web searches and first impressions.
Now, about that house in Washington… I cannot speak to any opinion as to whether houses are due for a 10% or more decline there. But I’d like to offer a counter-opinion that we rarely get on this board.
As a landlord, who was in a similar position to you 6 years ago, I would look at it this way: Accounting for maintenance, vacancies, and management, your negative will likely average roughly 500 per month over the next 5-6 years (probably more like 600-700 per month initially, then decreasing with rent increases). After 5 or 6 years rents are likely to increase to the point where you break even. You will likely break even after taxes much sooner (maybe even in year 1) because of the depreciation write-off.So, fast forward about 6 years … AT that point you will have a property that is likely to be breaking even or slightly positive cash flow. Your tenants will be paying it off over the next 20-25 years. All that for the equivalent of a monthly payment on a new car for the next 6 years.
Of course, I am assuming that rents increase at 3-4% per year and that we are not entering the next great depression.
The real question is whether or not you are suited to be a property owner or whether you might be better off selling and investing the 600 bucks a month in something else.Others might opt to avoid the whole landlord thing or investment alternatives and just enjoy a new 5-series every few years.
March 28, 2008 at 12:26 PM #177628DoofratParticipantI can understand getting into the landlord thing if you had some money and you were in a down market and got some smokin’ deals on real estate and entered into the whole thing cash flow positive. That is the only reason I can see to take on the hell that being a landlord apparently can be.
This idea of taking on the landlord role (of which most people know nothing about, me included) for negative cash flow is just insane! Is it just me?March 28, 2008 at 12:26 PM #177981DoofratParticipantI can understand getting into the landlord thing if you had some money and you were in a down market and got some smokin’ deals on real estate and entered into the whole thing cash flow positive. That is the only reason I can see to take on the hell that being a landlord apparently can be.
This idea of taking on the landlord role (of which most people know nothing about, me included) for negative cash flow is just insane! Is it just me?March 28, 2008 at 12:26 PM #177987DoofratParticipantI can understand getting into the landlord thing if you had some money and you were in a down market and got some smokin’ deals on real estate and entered into the whole thing cash flow positive. That is the only reason I can see to take on the hell that being a landlord apparently can be.
This idea of taking on the landlord role (of which most people know nothing about, me included) for negative cash flow is just insane! Is it just me?March 28, 2008 at 12:26 PM #177995DoofratParticipantI can understand getting into the landlord thing if you had some money and you were in a down market and got some smokin’ deals on real estate and entered into the whole thing cash flow positive. That is the only reason I can see to take on the hell that being a landlord apparently can be.
This idea of taking on the landlord role (of which most people know nothing about, me included) for negative cash flow is just insane! Is it just me? -
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