Okay OCR now we are getting somewhere. I added granularity…
MLS Detached – 12976 (-414)
MLS Attached – 6757 (-593)
MLS Land – 1854 (+459)
MFR – 1028 (-220)
Something is still not right…
So I then did a search on detached homes and how many went pending, expired, cancelled, or withdrew since 8/27/08 for the county
MLS Detached (pending, cancelled, expired, withdrawn) since 8/27:
pending – 61
expired – 55
cancelled – 77
withdraw – 52
Total – 225…That doesn’t cover the discrepancy of 414. I could go back to say 8/26 and that would certainly bump the number up. I think it would help.
Something is still gnawing at me though. When numbers don’t play correctly it means that there is still an underlying assumption we are missing.
I keep going back to the zip codes. The MLS search is 91901 to 92173…Do you think there is any chance zip included some shadow zip codes or anything of that nature?
Something is still not adding up…
Something is still not adding up
What about listings that were around in 06 that are now going through NOD -> REO process? Does anyone have historical foreclosure data (counts broken down per step of the process) for the time period? I am wondering of some of the listings were people trying to get out in 06, tried to refi more recently (because they were underwater and didn’t want to/couldn’t take the hit.. after all it will turn around next week..), and now going to the bank. I wonder how many banks are/were playing hardball on short-sales?