OT: Predictions for 2016 Presidential Election

[svelte]

[quote=flu]
I could live with that….Democrat white house, repub senate and house.[/quote]

That’s the way I normally like it – white house with one party and congress with the other. They keep an eye on each other that way.

Didn’t work out so well this go-round due to undue pressure from the Tea Party that headed off any compromises, but in general it works very well.

[utcsox]

[quote=FlyerInHi][quote=poorgradstudent] the Trump wing (~25% of the party) [/quote]

That’s the most interesting part. How would you define the Trump wing and how it affects future Republican politics?[/quote]

~25%? Stop being so disrespectful. According to the latest poll, Trump’s Republican Support Rises to 35%.

http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/trackers/2015-12-10/trump-s-republican-support-rises-to-35-up-13-points-nyt-cbs

And.. two-thirds of Republicans back Trump’s Muslim proposal.

https://today.yougov.com/news/2015/12/11/two-thirds-republicans-back-trump-proposal/

[Hatfield]

[quote=svelte]Anyone know what the latest date is for Trump to qualify as a candidate on the ballot of all 50 states?[/quote]

Great question. I was curious about this myself and found the answer via the Google.

Every state has its own deadline, the first of which appears to be South Dakota at the end of April. Presumably an independent could squeak by without South Dakota’s 3 electoral votes. The first big state is Texas which has a May 9th deadline. Most of the states are later than this.

Full table here:

https://ballotpedia.org/Ballot_access_for_presidential_candidates#Signature_requirements

[paramount]

When the dust settles Ted Cruz is the Republican Candidate.

I would hope for the sake of this country and world that we do not end up with a criminal in office.

[spdrun]

I hope for Sanders in office. Ta hell with everyone else 🙂

[paramount]

[quote=spdrun]I hope for Sanders in office. Ta hell with everyone else :)[/quote]

Ted Cruz!

*Truly believes and adheres to the Constitution
*Limited Fed Govt!!
*Tireless fighter for liberty and Freedom

What’s not to like? Wake up – gov’t can’t solve all of your problems – only you can!

[Hatfield]

[quote=paramount]What’s not to like?[/quote]

For starters, how about shutting down the government for no reason except to score a cheap political point, risking default on payments for things congress already agreed to, and lowering our credit rating? Literally, for no reason. Got nothing out of it. What a jackass.

[paramount]

[quote=Hatfield][quote=paramount]What’s not to like?[/quote]

For starters, how about shutting down the government for no reason except to score a cheap political point, risking default on payments for things congress already agreed to, and lowering our credit rating? Literally, for no reason. Got nothing out of it. What a jackass.[/quote]

You’re right – big government dc establishment socialists are fed up with Ted Cruz and his antics.

[Hatfield]

But you’re missing the point. The default was for things already agreed upon. The personal finance analogy would be to buy a bunch of stuff on the credit card and then refuse to pay the bill when it arrives, screwing your credit rating and ACCOMPLISHING NOTHING IN THE PROCESS.

If you want to deal with the spending problem, deal with the spending problem. Don’t send us into default and then be whiny little prick about it, which seems to be his modus operandi. We can do without this sort of “leadership” in Washington.

[utcsox]

[quote=utcsox][quote=FlyerInHi][quote=poorgradstudent] the Trump wing (~25% of the party) [/quote]

That’s the most interesting part. How would you define the Trump wing and how it affects future Republican politics?[/quote]

~25%? Stop being so disrespectful. According to the latest poll, Trump’s Republican Support Rises to 35%.

http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/trackers/2015-12-10/trump-s-republican-support-rises-to-35-up-13-points-nyt-cbs

And.. two-thirds of Republicans back Trump’s Muslim proposal.

https://today.yougov.com/news/2015/12/11/two-thirds-republicans-back-trump-proposal/%5B/quote%5D

41% now, a new High in a high quality national poll.

http://www.politico.com/story/2015/12/poll-trump-new-high-216741

[FlyerInHi]

I wonder is Romney is regretting running against the incumbent Obama. Maybe he was the placeholder for Jeb! No just Jeb, but Jeb!

[FlyerInHi]

[quote=utcsox]
41% now, a new High in a high quality national poll.

http://www.politico.com/story/2015/12/poll-trump-new-high-216741
[/quote]

True colors don’t fade. I suppose that why coastal real estate is expensive.
As someone might say, the cheap areas are cheap for a reason.

[FlyerInHi]

[quote=spdrun]I hope for Sanders in office. Ta hell with everyone else :)[/quote]

Earlier I Was talking to a friend who is a Sanders supporter.

I’m not convinced a European model would be good for us. We already know what Europe is like and that is slower growth, where 2000 euros/month is a good salary. Even in England, that is more US like, all you have to do is look at the employment ads in the Economist to see they make less money than us, and endure higher cost of living.

Plus Europe has large marginalized immigrant populations because commerce is more rigid and it takes established connections to get public jobs and jobs with large private enterprises that provide good benefits. Here, immigrants can and do thrive running small business.

Also, because the USA has fastest growth of any large OECD country, we attract foreign investments which continues that growth. Where can pension funds invest in a safe modern, faster growing economy?

Maybe economic growth comes with more anxiety and less leisure because, in a competitive economy, people do have to worry about being up to snuff. That is the price of more money and prosperity. If some individuals want to take it slow, they can withdraw somewhat and take it slower.

[42nate1]

Since we are speculating, i’m going to go out on a limb and say that the Republican nominee will be Trump and his running mate will be Cruz. In politics, this is going to be a very exciting year. Obviously Hillary will get the nomination on the left.

How it plays out with voter turn out, i’ve no clue, but it won’t be boring. The debates with Trump/Hillary will be entertaining to watch & I predict the networks hosting will get ratings bumps as people tune in to watch the action.

No prediction on November 4th. Hillary is old, boring and disliked. Trump knows how to work the media, makes outrageous statements at times & has alienated a bunch of voting blocks.

The statistics November 5th will be interesting to read.

[Coronita]

Its kinda funny looking of the democrat debates and the republican debates. The democrat debates look like an afternoon tea time debate among civilized people. The current GOP debates look like a frat party where everyone is drunk and saying whatever is on their minds.

[Author]

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