OT: MCCAIN TAKES 10-POINT LEAD OVER OBAMA

[afx114]

This is what you call a convention bounce. Obama has the same bounce after his convention.

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/09/patience-poll-watchers.html

What I am saying, then, is that we should evaluate the robustness of the Republican bounce by how well it holds up to the currents of political time, rather than any specific date on the calendar. Specifically, I would want to see how the bounce holds up to the next major development of the campaign, particularly if it is a pro-Obama development. For example, let’s say that Colin Powell endorses Obama tomorrow morning. I might expect a fairly strong reaction to this in the polls, not because the endorsement is all that important unto itself (most endorsements aren’t), but because it displaces the GOP Convention as the most recent event of the campaign — it pushes political time forward. And if the polls didn’t move in reaction to such an endorsement, I’d think Democrats would have reason to worry.

I also wonder what will happen to McCain’s bounce as Palin comes out of her bunker and starts making gaffes, such as the one today where she clearly has no idea what Fannie & Freddie are:

Speaking before voters in Colorado Springs, the Republican vice presidential nominee claimed that lending giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac had “gotten too big and too expensive to the taxpayers.”

Of course we all know that Fannie & Freddie were private companies. You would think that the VP candidate should know that too.

There are still plenty of game changing events out there that can happen between now and the election. We still have the debates and major endorsements in the pipline (what would Powell and Hagel endorsements do for Obama’s numbers?). Of course if we invade Iran, we might as well hand the election to McCain now.

[hipmatt]

Americans are wising up and seeing the lack of substance and experience in Obama.

No one wants higher taxes, a president who has a record of not voting, and someone who isn’t capable of defending the country. The fact that he is a smooth talker means nothing to the average person.

McCain’s service to his country is second to none, I think Americans appreciate that. Combine that with his rare ability to reach across the isle and accomplish things, gives Americans hope. Palin is obviously helping McCain as well. Looks like all the hypocritical left wing trash talk on her backfired.

[hipmatt]

Americans are wising up and seeing the lack of substance and experience in Obama.

No one wants higher taxes, a president who has a record of not voting, and someone who isn’t capable of defending the country. The fact that he is a smooth talker means nothing to the average person.

McCain’s service to his country is second to none, I think Americans appreciate that. Combine that with his rare ability to reach across the isle and accomplish things, gives Americans hope. Palin is obviously helping McCain as well. Looks like all the hypocritical left wing trash talk on her backfired.

[hipmatt]

Americans are wising up and seeing the lack of substance and experience in Obama.

No one wants higher taxes, a president who has a record of not voting, and someone who isn’t capable of defending the country. The fact that he is a smooth talker means nothing to the average person.

McCain’s service to his country is second to none, I think Americans appreciate that. Combine that with his rare ability to reach across the isle and accomplish things, gives Americans hope. Palin is obviously helping McCain as well. Looks like all the hypocritical left wing trash talk on her backfired.

[hipmatt]

Americans are wising up and seeing the lack of substance and experience in Obama.

No one wants higher taxes, a president who has a record of not voting, and someone who isn’t capable of defending the country. The fact that he is a smooth talker means nothing to the average person.

McCain’s service to his country is second to none, I think Americans appreciate that. Combine that with his rare ability to reach across the isle and accomplish things, gives Americans hope. Palin is obviously helping McCain as well. Looks like all the hypocritical left wing trash talk on her backfired.

[hipmatt]

Americans are wising up and seeing the lack of substance and experience in Obama.

No one wants higher taxes, a president who has a record of not voting, and someone who isn’t capable of defending the country. The fact that he is a smooth talker means nothing to the average person.

McCain’s service to his country is second to none, I think Americans appreciate that. Combine that with his rare ability to reach across the isle and accomplish things, gives Americans hope. Palin is obviously helping McCain as well. Looks like all the hypocritical left wing trash talk on her backfired.

[Veritas]

Fannie & Freddie are not purely private. They are hybrids.

[Veritas]

Fannie & Freddie are not purely private. They are hybrids.

[Veritas]

Fannie & Freddie are not purely private. They are hybrids.

[Veritas]

Fannie & Freddie are not purely private. They are hybrids.

[Veritas]

Fannie & Freddie are not purely private. They are hybrids.

[CBad]

Oh brother, we’re not going to start talking trash about moving to Canada AGAIN are we? Unless you are really going to do it, why do you say it? Are you always in the habit of lying or only when it involves moving?

Let me just state now that I am not moving to another country no matter which man I don’t want for president gets elected.

[CBad]

Oh brother, we’re not going to start talking trash about moving to Canada AGAIN are we? Unless you are really going to do it, why do you say it? Are you always in the habit of lying or only when it involves moving?

Let me just state now that I am not moving to another country no matter which man I don’t want for president gets elected.

[CBad]

Oh brother, we’re not going to start talking trash about moving to Canada AGAIN are we? Unless you are really going to do it, why do you say it? Are you always in the habit of lying or only when it involves moving?

Let me just state now that I am not moving to another country no matter which man I don’t want for president gets elected.

[CBad]

Oh brother, we’re not going to start talking trash about moving to Canada AGAIN are we? Unless you are really going to do it, why do you say it? Are you always in the habit of lying or only when it involves moving?

Let me just state now that I am not moving to another country no matter which man I don’t want for president gets elected.

[Author]

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