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  • January 17, 2008 at 2:35 PM #137623
    Anonymous
    Guest

    Unfortunately, if you are wrong and we are in a disinflationary or deflationary environment you would be hosed.

    Very true, but you would be heralded as a financial genius if there was a hyperinflation and you had you had gotten millions of dollars in loans and bought gold.

    January 17, 2008 at 2:42 PM #137715
    babbleon
    Participant

    How can anyone in their right mind not see inflation as being a problem?

    I don’t know what the agreed fundamental definition of hyperinflation is, but all the writing on the wall points to inflation being here and being a problem for quite some time. What do you think the Fed is doing when they cut rates, increase the money supply and encourage a stimulus package???

    Deflation? I don’t buy it, but would love to hear why I’m wrong.

    Stagflation? Sounds like a strong possiblity.

    If anyone can reasonably say why gold is not and will not be a major force in the next 3-5 years I’d love to hear your views too.

    January 17, 2008 at 2:42 PM #137672
    babbleon
    Participant

    How can anyone in their right mind not see inflation as being a problem?

    I don’t know what the agreed fundamental definition of hyperinflation is, but all the writing on the wall points to inflation being here and being a problem for quite some time. What do you think the Fed is doing when they cut rates, increase the money supply and encourage a stimulus package???

    Deflation? I don’t buy it, but would love to hear why I’m wrong.

    Stagflation? Sounds like a strong possiblity.

    If anyone can reasonably say why gold is not and will not be a major force in the next 3-5 years I’d love to hear your views too.

    January 17, 2008 at 2:42 PM #137646
    babbleon
    Participant

    How can anyone in their right mind not see inflation as being a problem?

    I don’t know what the agreed fundamental definition of hyperinflation is, but all the writing on the wall points to inflation being here and being a problem for quite some time. What do you think the Fed is doing when they cut rates, increase the money supply and encourage a stimulus package???

    Deflation? I don’t buy it, but would love to hear why I’m wrong.

    Stagflation? Sounds like a strong possiblity.

    If anyone can reasonably say why gold is not and will not be a major force in the next 3-5 years I’d love to hear your views too.

    January 17, 2008 at 2:42 PM #137617
    babbleon
    Participant

    How can anyone in their right mind not see inflation as being a problem?

    I don’t know what the agreed fundamental definition of hyperinflation is, but all the writing on the wall points to inflation being here and being a problem for quite some time. What do you think the Fed is doing when they cut rates, increase the money supply and encourage a stimulus package???

    Deflation? I don’t buy it, but would love to hear why I’m wrong.

    Stagflation? Sounds like a strong possiblity.

    If anyone can reasonably say why gold is not and will not be a major force in the next 3-5 years I’d love to hear your views too.

    January 17, 2008 at 2:42 PM #137412
    babbleon
    Participant

    How can anyone in their right mind not see inflation as being a problem?

    I don’t know what the agreed fundamental definition of hyperinflation is, but all the writing on the wall points to inflation being here and being a problem for quite some time. What do you think the Fed is doing when they cut rates, increase the money supply and encourage a stimulus package???

    Deflation? I don’t buy it, but would love to hear why I’m wrong.

    Stagflation? Sounds like a strong possiblity.

    If anyone can reasonably say why gold is not and will not be a major force in the next 3-5 years I’d love to hear your views too.

    January 17, 2008 at 2:51 PM #137644
    Eugene
    Participant

    The FED cannot allow hyperinflation to happen, unless they do that in coordination with all major banks (Europe, Japan), because inflationary expectations will send yields on dollar securities through the roof as people get rid of dollars and move to euros and yens. They do not and they will not print money at the rate that would allow the situation to be described as “hyperinflation”.

    Consider this scenario
    – Interest rates are suppressed for another year or two, mortgage rates fall below 5%
    – Treasury mails $1000 tax rebate checks for every person in the U.S.
    – Our government convinces ECB to drop rates

    If they pull this off, we’ll be out of this recession before we know it.

    January 17, 2008 at 2:51 PM #137618
    Eugene
    Participant

    The FED cannot allow hyperinflation to happen, unless they do that in coordination with all major banks (Europe, Japan), because inflationary expectations will send yields on dollar securities through the roof as people get rid of dollars and move to euros and yens. They do not and they will not print money at the rate that would allow the situation to be described as “hyperinflation”.

    Consider this scenario
    – Interest rates are suppressed for another year or two, mortgage rates fall below 5%
    – Treasury mails $1000 tax rebate checks for every person in the U.S.
    – Our government convinces ECB to drop rates

    If they pull this off, we’ll be out of this recession before we know it.

    January 17, 2008 at 2:51 PM #137685
    Eugene
    Participant

    The FED cannot allow hyperinflation to happen, unless they do that in coordination with all major banks (Europe, Japan), because inflationary expectations will send yields on dollar securities through the roof as people get rid of dollars and move to euros and yens. They do not and they will not print money at the rate that would allow the situation to be described as “hyperinflation”.

    Consider this scenario
    – Interest rates are suppressed for another year or two, mortgage rates fall below 5%
    – Treasury mails $1000 tax rebate checks for every person in the U.S.
    – Our government convinces ECB to drop rates

    If they pull this off, we’ll be out of this recession before we know it.

    January 17, 2008 at 2:51 PM #137589
    Eugene
    Participant

    The FED cannot allow hyperinflation to happen, unless they do that in coordination with all major banks (Europe, Japan), because inflationary expectations will send yields on dollar securities through the roof as people get rid of dollars and move to euros and yens. They do not and they will not print money at the rate that would allow the situation to be described as “hyperinflation”.

    Consider this scenario
    – Interest rates are suppressed for another year or two, mortgage rates fall below 5%
    – Treasury mails $1000 tax rebate checks for every person in the U.S.
    – Our government convinces ECB to drop rates

    If they pull this off, we’ll be out of this recession before we know it.

    January 17, 2008 at 2:51 PM #137382
    Eugene
    Participant

    The FED cannot allow hyperinflation to happen, unless they do that in coordination with all major banks (Europe, Japan), because inflationary expectations will send yields on dollar securities through the roof as people get rid of dollars and move to euros and yens. They do not and they will not print money at the rate that would allow the situation to be described as “hyperinflation”.

    Consider this scenario
    – Interest rates are suppressed for another year or two, mortgage rates fall below 5%
    – Treasury mails $1000 tax rebate checks for every person in the U.S.
    – Our government convinces ECB to drop rates

    If they pull this off, we’ll be out of this recession before we know it.

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