Housing market dip/drop/recession

[an]

[quote=flu]The only thing you probably should be considering is which location is closer to work and the rest of your other friends…[/quote]Exactly. If your commute is 10 minutes instead of 30, then you can spend an additional 40 minutes everyday with your kids. Also, you can be able to take them to more activities.

[Hobie]

Bam! Flu, you have been on fire these last weeks! All sage advice. Nice.

btw, (threadjack alert)-flu- I do use my dslr much during my kiddos events so I could use long lens and have enough pixels to make enlarged prints. Phone for most everything else.

[Coronita]

if I knew what I know now. I probably wouldn’t have decided to live in CarmelV. I mean, it’s a good and safe place to live, really convenient to go to work and easy access to the freeways and decent schools….

But the affluence or perceived aflluence also has a lot of negatives….A lot of self entitled parents and kids, and a lot of kids that are so spoiled and directionless being born into a family with a silver spoon, many of them get into trouble with drugs, alchohol, etc because they have nothing better to do….But again, you’ll find the same problem over 4S or RB too

if I were to do things over, I’d probably send my kid to a charter school or private school

I can’t complain about the property appreciation though.

[Coronita]

As far as the SAT adversity score… not sure what to do about it, or I’d anything needs to be done with it. I am sure there will be lawsuits over it.

While preference might be given to students attending a ghetto school in a ghetto area, you probably don’t want to send your kid there either because you don’t want your kid to get shot or killed.

However, I do think this adversity score will hurt more families that arent well off than those that are.

I can’t think of many of my kids friendsthat were renting in Carmel Valley because they wanted to be in a better school distric, and they were qualified for federal housing assistance..Those kids, presumably , would get the same adversity score as my kid if the way it was determined was by geography… Richer parents are always going to find a way to get around these stupid things if they really wanted to , because they have more financial resources at their disposal to do this. Maybe a market for an elite private school in a ghetto area, that includes armed guard transportation such that the kid school registration is in a ghetto area with better adversity score…just thinking aloud.

anyway the guy who runs college board now and came up with adversity scoring is the same guy that architected common core…. So go figure.

Me? I’ve come to the realization that my kid probably won’t get the maximum benefit from going to an Ivy League school like I went to versus a good public college, irrespective of the current overall good academic performance… What I don’t want to happen is spend $500k+ of my own money to send my kid to such a school, only for them to graduate directionless like many kids these days are, or major in something like conversational linguistics that at most have job prospects of something only requiring you to say “you want fries with that?” So assuming even if my kid can get in, which is a big assumption, my kid would need to get a full ride. The good news is that in this country, as opposed to countries like China, not getting into an elite school is not doom or gloom and a life ending thing. Work ethics and generally not being a lazy bum can get you pretty far in this country….(and in some cases once you have established yourself, you can be a lazy bum and still get paid a lot of the work you barely do, as is the current case for me)…

I went to an elite school and it didn’t necessarily make things better or worse than my peers that went to a good state school, given the profession I picked. Back then, my education only cost $90k total. These days, that’s what it’s going to cost year per year if your kid doesn’t get a full ride.. Given the cost, and how some of these schools are anti-asian with their discriminatory admissions process, I’d rather put my money into a school that wants it…or real estate that my kid can inherit it so that if my kid wanted to pursue a conversation linguistics major or any other “unemployable college major”, my kid could without consequences to her future financial well being and end up being a social burden to everyone else because hopefully my kid wont need to count on both federal and state assistance , so those that really do need it(those kids and family that were just born into an unlucky situation)can get it.

[spdrun]

Bypass the system entirely, send your kids to university in Europe. Relatively easy compared to the US to get into professional programs like 6-year med schools (some even offer English-speaking classes), plus some countries have a more tolerant attitude to vice (drinking age 18!) than the USA.

[Coronita]

[quote=spdrun]Bypass the system entirely, send your kids to university in Europe. Relatively easy compared to the US to get into professional programs like 6-year med schools (some even offer English-speaking classes), plus some countries have a more tolerant attitude to vice (drinking age 18!) than the USA.[/quote]

Um, dont try to give out advice about children unless either you have kids or you are an exemplary model of the results of what you are suggesting.

And like I said. If things are so great elsewhere, get out of this country, and leave the limited resources available here available to the rest of us that like it here way better.

Just my 2 cents

[FlyerInHi]

Economists say 15% chance of recession in 2019. 60% in 2020

[FlyerInHi]

I wonder why 60%, perhaps higher, of tech workers were born abroad. I would say most had high school education outside the USA.

[FlyerInHi]

[quote=flu]
Um, dont try to give out advice about children unless either you have kids or you are an exemplary model of the results of what you are suggesting.

And like I said. If things are so great elsewhere, get out of this country, and leave the limited resources available here available to the rest of us that like it here way better.

Just my 2 cents[/quote]

Does this rule apply more broadly to family values? Only the people who live the cleanest lives and with the most exemplary records get to opine?

Does love-it-or-leave-it apply to people who live and profit from California but bitch about CARB? I would say no because it’s only normal that one loves some things and hate other things. It’s not a binary choice.

[spdrun]

You know, having kids isn’t the only way to know about different educational systems — being a student is also a valid option.

Now, are you going to make me shut up, Gramps?

[Coronita]

Well, BrianSD and spdrun….

I guess thinking a person who had no previous experience being a parent can give better parental advice than parents with the experience….would be analogous to thinking a reality star with no former experience being a politician can be much more competent president than a previous president that had lots of experience in government, or a former bartender with no political studies and political experience can be a competent Congresswoman..

So I guess the two of you are in good company and similar to President Trump and AOC….

I.A.G.A.O.W ? (Isn’t America Great Again Or What?)

Lol

[FlyerInHi]

Maybe the person is a childless academic or intellectual who studies things.

I don’t see the relevance with AOC. She’s is a member of Congress. She’s just one of many representing the people, just what Congress was intended to be. Give AOC 10 years in Congress. She will then have a lot of experience.

How about men deciding on abortion?

[temeculaguy]

[quote=FlyerInHi]Economists say 15% chance of recession in 2019. 60% in 2020[/quote]

What was the percentage that predicted the market would crash when trump was elected.

Like this genius, considered by the economist as one of the world’s most influential economist.

https://www.bu.edu/today/2017/bu-economist-predicts-stock-market-crash/

Add him to the list that includes AOC that makes my post grad work at BU that much more worthless. Well Bu did put the Dr. in fromt of MLK’s name so I guess it can weather the current crop.

How about Paul Krugman, is one of the 30%

https://dailycaller.com/2016/11/09/paul-krugman-says-markets-will-never-recover-from-trump-dow-hits-record-high/

Going back to just before and just after the election and seeing what the “economists” predicted just further moves the profession into fortune teller/weatherman territory. Strike that, Meteorologists have gotten much better in recent years, economists much worse.

[an]

[quote=FlyerInHi]Maybe the person is a childless academic or intellectual who studies things.[/quote]LoL

[spdrun]

So a parent who never went to university is more qualified to speak about college choices than someone who actually went to school in different countries? Also, $5000-$10000 per year vs $20000-50000 per year (in the US) is a hell of a difference price-wise.

Problem is that both parents and HS seniors tend to be exposed to limited choices, and not realize how easy it is to go outside the US and bypass the whole debt-whore game. To give you an idea, my high-school counsellor didn’t even mention LOCAL public universities other than my state’s as an option (guy actually had a fetish for applying to a small private school that was his father’s alma mater).

[Author]

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