A question about foreclosures in the 90s

[ltokuda]

Besides what BobS said, another possible reason is that the economy wasn’t really doing as well as we had thought. Here’s a chart from http://www.shadowstats.com which shows the U.S. GDP, using the historical calculation of CPI (as opposed to the tweeked versions used since the 1980’s).

[img_assist|nid=7776|title=
ShadowStats GDP|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=466|height=324]

By tweeking the definition of CPI, you can effectively manipulate the reported GDP. The chart illustrates the effects of all those tweeks.

So its possible that the economy was doing much worse than what was officially reported. Notice that GDP could have gone negative around 1995/1996.

What’s also interesting to me is that the ShadowStats GDP says that the 2001 recession actually lasts until 2003. I think its interesting because that’s exactly what it felt like to me. This experience gives me reason to believe that the ShadowStats GDP numbers are true.

[equalizer]

court,

agree with you, but problem is that non-intelligent buyers influence market. What if these guys rush and change your premise like they did last 6 years? I used to be very bearish but now I look at other viewpoints since facts don’t support super-bearish case.

[equalizer]

court,

agree with you, but problem is that non-intelligent buyers influence market. What if these guys rush and change your premise like they did last 6 years? I used to be very bearish but now I look at other viewpoints since facts don’t support super-bearish case.

[equalizer]

court,

agree with you, but problem is that non-intelligent buyers influence market. What if these guys rush and change your premise like they did last 6 years? I used to be very bearish but now I look at other viewpoints since facts don’t support super-bearish case.

[equalizer]

court,

agree with you, but problem is that non-intelligent buyers influence market. What if these guys rush and change your premise like they did last 6 years? I used to be very bearish but now I look at other viewpoints since facts don’t support super-bearish case.

[equalizer]

court,

agree with you, but problem is that non-intelligent buyers influence market. What if these guys rush and change your premise like they did last 6 years? I used to be very bearish but now I look at other viewpoints since facts don’t support super-bearish case.

[gdcox]

Approximately flat in mid-90s means falling still in inflation adjusted terms.

[gdcox]

Approximately flat in mid-90s means falling still in inflation adjusted terms.

[gdcox]

Approximately flat in mid-90s means falling still in inflation adjusted terms.

[gdcox]

Approximately flat in mid-90s means falling still in inflation adjusted terms.

[gdcox]

Approximately flat in mid-90s means falling still in inflation adjusted terms.

[HLS]

Job Losses hit harder by the mid 90’s and there were more FC’s by then because of the combo of some being underwater AND others just couldn’t afford to hang on…

For the comments like:
“getting loans is very difficult even for the best credit scores” That’s ABSOLUTE IGNORANT POPPYCOCK.

A decent credit score is entree to a world of easy lending.
If you qualify, there are billions of dollars available, with 0%-3% down still available, and not only to the “best” credit scores.
Stated income loans are still available too.

[HLS]

Job Losses hit harder by the mid 90’s and there were more FC’s by then because of the combo of some being underwater AND others just couldn’t afford to hang on…

For the comments like:
“getting loans is very difficult even for the best credit scores” That’s ABSOLUTE IGNORANT POPPYCOCK.

A decent credit score is entree to a world of easy lending.
If you qualify, there are billions of dollars available, with 0%-3% down still available, and not only to the “best” credit scores.
Stated income loans are still available too.

[HLS]

Job Losses hit harder by the mid 90’s and there were more FC’s by then because of the combo of some being underwater AND others just couldn’t afford to hang on…

For the comments like:
“getting loans is very difficult even for the best credit scores” That’s ABSOLUTE IGNORANT POPPYCOCK.

A decent credit score is entree to a world of easy lending.
If you qualify, there are billions of dollars available, with 0%-3% down still available, and not only to the “best” credit scores.
Stated income loans are still available too.

[HLS]

Job Losses hit harder by the mid 90’s and there were more FC’s by then because of the combo of some being underwater AND others just couldn’t afford to hang on…

For the comments like:
“getting loans is very difficult even for the best credit scores” That’s ABSOLUTE IGNORANT POPPYCOCK.

A decent credit score is entree to a world of easy lending.
If you qualify, there are billions of dollars available, with 0%-3% down still available, and not only to the “best” credit scores.
Stated income loans are still available too.

[Author]

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