A Chronological Listing of News Headlines from the Last Housing Bubble

[cyphire]

Really great post!

I guess it really puts into perspective the adage: “Those who ignore history are doomed to repeat it!”.

[Jumby]

Between this and the data Rich provides I think we can safely say were in the 3rd – 4th inning of a 9 inning ball game.

[Jumby]

Between this and the data Rich provides I think we can safely say were in the 3rd – 4th inning of a 9 inning ball game.

[Jumby]

Between this and the data Rich provides I think we can safely say were in the 3rd – 4th inning of a 9 inning ball game.

[Jumby]

Between this and the data Rich provides I think we can safely say were in the 3rd – 4th inning of a 9 inning ball game.

[Jumby]

Between this and the data Rich provides I think we can safely say were in the 3rd – 4th inning of a 9 inning ball game.

[Jumby]

almost 4 years ago! what inning are we in now?

[sdrealtor]

It’s the 7th inning stretch. can’t you hear everyone singing?

[Rhett]

[quote=sdrealtor]It’s the 7th inning stretch. can’t you hear everyone singing?[/quote]

No, only Harry Caray.

[jimmyle]

[quote=jimmyle]For someone like me who was young and didn’t pay much attention to the housing bubble in the 80’s, this really helps to put things in perspective that a housing bubble takes a long time to burst.

I was thinking about buying in late 2008 but this might push me back to 2009 or even 2010.[/quote]

This was my post in 2007, I ended buying in March 2011. Still a little bit early I think.

[Hatfield]

I remember watching this play out, because I wanted to buy a house near the beach and couldn’t afford one. But my salary kept slowly increasing and house prices kept falling and eventually the two met and I bought my first house in 1994… pretty much at the bottom or within a few months of it anyway. Just plain dumb luck that it worked out that way.

[ctr70]

1991-1996 was another time people though California real estate was finished and would never come back. I think 1996 was more like the bottom. But it was still really cheap in San Diego even up to 2000. If we say 2008 was year 1 of crash, that puts us at about late 1994 right now.

[Rich Toscano]

[quote=ctr70]1991-1996 was another time people though California real estate was finished and would never come back. I think 1996 was more like the bottom. But it was still really cheap in San Diego even up to 2000. If we say 2008 was year 1 of crash, that puts us at about late 1994 right now.[/quote]

If memory serves, 1996 was the nominal bottom and 1997 was the bottom in real terms. That’s in aggregate, of course it could differ by area.

Home prices peaked in late 05/early 06, so I don’t think it’s correct to use 2008 as year 1 of the crash. The 1990 market peaked in spring, so I’d say 2006 is equivalent to 1990. That puts us equivalent to 1995, for what it’s worth.

[temeculaguy]

[quote=Rich Toscano][quote=ctr70]1991-1996 was another time people though California real estate was finished and would never come back. I think 1996 was more like the bottom. But it was still really cheap in San Diego even up to 2000. If we say 2008 was year 1 of crash, that puts us at about late 1994 right now.[/quote]

If memory serves, 1996 was the nominal bottom and 1997 was the bottom in real terms. That’s in aggregate, of course it could differ by area.

Home prices peaked in late 05/early 06, so I don’t think it’s correct to use 2008 as year 1 of the crash. The 1990 market peaked in spring, so I’d say 2006 is equivalent to 1990. That puts us equivalent to 1995, for what it’s worth.[/quote]

I think rich is correct, but ctr’s observation of 2000 being still cheap, some areas had already began a steady climb by then. I remember 1998 in particular up here as being a banner year. I put money down in early 1998 or late 1997 and by the time the home was built in the summer of 1998, I could have sold it at a sizable profit (maybe 20-30%). I remember thinking I wouldn’t have been able to afford that house had I not locked in the price 8 months or so earlier, it was going up 5-10% per phase back then for new construction and the phases seemed to be every 2 months.

I also remember my house before that which I bought about 1992 and was underwater until about 1997, sold it to buy the bigger house mentioned above and pretty much broke even. Only to watch that house triple or quadruple in value over the next decade, which I still kick myself for selling it since it was rent nuetral even at it’s lowpoint, but i feared it would still go down (there was barely an internet then so I can only blame newspaper articles for my fear). But even today, as bad as things are, that old place is worth between double and triple what I sold it for in 1997 and it rents for more than double what the mortgage was (which would only have 11 years left on it today). God dammit!!!! I freaking hate this memory lane stuff, this is worse than my high school reuinion where the girls i blew off in high school turned out to be the hottest mid forties gals on the planet, with good jobs to boot. I’m going to bed.

[temeculaguy]

Wait! Before I go curl up in the fetal position and cry myself to sleep because of my financial misteps of the past, I have one more observation.

If this is 1995, we have about two more years of slow and flat pricing, most piggies have bought their primary home, but are we the type to shed the constant fear and get a rental before time runs out? Will we see the signs? I know I won’t, I’ve missed that boat so many times I own my own chair on the docks. But some of you have to be reading this and look at the next two years as the time to make a killing, I’ll probably just send my kids to college, buy a convertible and write stories about how i missed out on the 2011-2012 missed opportunity, but that what i do, and of course use too many commas and not capatilize certain words, why change now, its my style and I’m comfortable with it.

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