If the job recovery continue If the job recovery continue at the rate it has been growing over the last 2 years, we probably will be back to peak employment level in about 2 years. Not too shabby.
poorgradstudent
14 years ago
Definitely a very positive Definitely a very positive data point. Even the bubble sectors have added jobs for the past 5 months, while private non-bubble looks to be picking up steam. Hopefully this can create a nice snowball effect as more jobs creates more demand.
poorgradstudent [quote=poorgradstudent]Definitely a very positive data point. Even the bubble sectors have added jobs for the past 5 months, while private non-bubble looks to be picking up steam. Hopefully this can create a nice snowball effect as more jobs creates more demand.[/quote]
I made this same point when jobs were plummeting, and people were making basically the exact opposite point that you are. Employment is a lagging indicator of economic growth. Which is another way of saying, the causality doesn’t go from jobs -> growth, it goes from growth -> jobs. So while these numbers are interesting in their own right, I don’t think they have much predictive capability.
Rich Toscano [quote=Rich Toscano][quote=poorgradstudent]Definitely a very positive data point. Even the bubble sectors have added jobs for the past 5 months, while private non-bubble looks to be picking up steam. Hopefully this can create a nice snowball effect as more jobs creates more demand.[/quote]
I made this same point when jobs were plummeting, and people were making basically the exact opposite point that you are. Employment is a lagging indicator of economic growth. Which is another way of saying, the causality doesn’t go from jobs -> growth, it goes from growth -> jobs. So while these numbers are interesting in their own right, I don’t think they have much predictive capability.[/quote]
But couldn’t one argue that a better job market increases optimism and confidence, which would make people more inclined to spend and take on more debt, resulting in higher demand/growth?
Either way, this is definitely good news. I hope this trend continues.
Anonymous
14 years ago
Nice it explains a lot. Nice it explains a lot. Thanks.
If the job recovery continue
If the job recovery continue at the rate it has been growing over the last 2 years, we probably will be back to peak employment level in about 2 years. Not too shabby.
Definitely a very positive
Definitely a very positive data point. Even the bubble sectors have added jobs for the past 5 months, while private non-bubble looks to be picking up steam. Hopefully this can create a nice snowball effect as more jobs creates more demand.
poorgradstudent
[quote=poorgradstudent]Definitely a very positive data point. Even the bubble sectors have added jobs for the past 5 months, while private non-bubble looks to be picking up steam. Hopefully this can create a nice snowball effect as more jobs creates more demand.[/quote]
I made this same point when jobs were plummeting, and people were making basically the exact opposite point that you are. Employment is a lagging indicator of economic growth. Which is another way of saying, the causality doesn’t go from jobs -> growth, it goes from growth -> jobs. So while these numbers are interesting in their own right, I don’t think they have much predictive capability.
Rich Toscano
[quote=Rich Toscano][quote=poorgradstudent]Definitely a very positive data point. Even the bubble sectors have added jobs for the past 5 months, while private non-bubble looks to be picking up steam. Hopefully this can create a nice snowball effect as more jobs creates more demand.[/quote]
I made this same point when jobs were plummeting, and people were making basically the exact opposite point that you are. Employment is a lagging indicator of economic growth. Which is another way of saying, the causality doesn’t go from jobs -> growth, it goes from growth -> jobs. So while these numbers are interesting in their own right, I don’t think they have much predictive capability.[/quote]
But couldn’t one argue that a better job market increases optimism and confidence, which would make people more inclined to spend and take on more debt, resulting in higher demand/growth?
Either way, this is definitely good news. I hope this trend continues.
Nice it explains a lot.
Nice it explains a lot. Thanks.