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November 16, 2008 at 6:21 PM in reply to: OT: There are a lot of things that do NOT make sense. #305943November 16, 2008 at 6:21 PM in reply to: OT: There are a lot of things that do NOT make sense. #305954
temeculaguy
ParticipantThe oral sex reference is the third rail, stay away from trying to start a panic there.
The car seat mania is just another “people for a perfect world” getting out of control. The 4 (years old) or 40 (lbs) was sufficient, but there were a few exceptions so they made it both (a 40lb 18 month old still needs a seat). At about 3 the bones harden and the skull is more stable, at about 40 lbs, most kids are big enough to fit properly in the vehicle mounted belts, but if they are built like a bowling ball, then it doesn’t work. The vehicle has a lot to do with it, some have adjustable anchors so it can be lowered where the lap belt starts, the trick is not let the belt come accross the neck of the child, so if they are too short, they need a booster to position them into the belt, but on better or newer cars the belt can be positioned correctly and it is better than being in a booster with a static anchor. The problem is that the poor and the uneducated do most of the breeding so most kids ride in crappy cars and have parents that have limited reading skills for the complicated seat instructions. Nor will they pp into the local police station to have a technician check their seat installation.
A few years ago there were checkpoints in the barrios where the cops pulled over everyone with a carseat and had a technician install the seat properly, show the driver how to do it and give free seats to people using old, broken seats. The problem is that there was special interest outcry because they ended up towing so many of the cars which were unregistered or driven by unlicensed drivers. The probable cause was questionable yet they cannot let unlicsensed or uninsured drivers just drive off because they accept liability if that person hits someone down the road. Since the courts don’t like the unfair catching of people breaking the law, their answer is more laws and more laws, in the end, the only people that will understand it and follow it, don’t even need it and the target audience will be ignored. But the elected officials will feel good about themselves and the car seat industry will buy them trips to vegas and hookers, which is really what our legislature is for.
November 16, 2008 at 6:21 PM in reply to: OT: There are a lot of things that do NOT make sense. #305971temeculaguy
ParticipantThe oral sex reference is the third rail, stay away from trying to start a panic there.
The car seat mania is just another “people for a perfect world” getting out of control. The 4 (years old) or 40 (lbs) was sufficient, but there were a few exceptions so they made it both (a 40lb 18 month old still needs a seat). At about 3 the bones harden and the skull is more stable, at about 40 lbs, most kids are big enough to fit properly in the vehicle mounted belts, but if they are built like a bowling ball, then it doesn’t work. The vehicle has a lot to do with it, some have adjustable anchors so it can be lowered where the lap belt starts, the trick is not let the belt come accross the neck of the child, so if they are too short, they need a booster to position them into the belt, but on better or newer cars the belt can be positioned correctly and it is better than being in a booster with a static anchor. The problem is that the poor and the uneducated do most of the breeding so most kids ride in crappy cars and have parents that have limited reading skills for the complicated seat instructions. Nor will they pp into the local police station to have a technician check their seat installation.
A few years ago there were checkpoints in the barrios where the cops pulled over everyone with a carseat and had a technician install the seat properly, show the driver how to do it and give free seats to people using old, broken seats. The problem is that there was special interest outcry because they ended up towing so many of the cars which were unregistered or driven by unlicensed drivers. The probable cause was questionable yet they cannot let unlicsensed or uninsured drivers just drive off because they accept liability if that person hits someone down the road. Since the courts don’t like the unfair catching of people breaking the law, their answer is more laws and more laws, in the end, the only people that will understand it and follow it, don’t even need it and the target audience will be ignored. But the elected officials will feel good about themselves and the car seat industry will buy them trips to vegas and hookers, which is really what our legislature is for.
November 16, 2008 at 6:21 PM in reply to: OT: There are a lot of things that do NOT make sense. #306033temeculaguy
ParticipantThe oral sex reference is the third rail, stay away from trying to start a panic there.
The car seat mania is just another “people for a perfect world” getting out of control. The 4 (years old) or 40 (lbs) was sufficient, but there were a few exceptions so they made it both (a 40lb 18 month old still needs a seat). At about 3 the bones harden and the skull is more stable, at about 40 lbs, most kids are big enough to fit properly in the vehicle mounted belts, but if they are built like a bowling ball, then it doesn’t work. The vehicle has a lot to do with it, some have adjustable anchors so it can be lowered where the lap belt starts, the trick is not let the belt come accross the neck of the child, so if they are too short, they need a booster to position them into the belt, but on better or newer cars the belt can be positioned correctly and it is better than being in a booster with a static anchor. The problem is that the poor and the uneducated do most of the breeding so most kids ride in crappy cars and have parents that have limited reading skills for the complicated seat instructions. Nor will they pp into the local police station to have a technician check their seat installation.
A few years ago there were checkpoints in the barrios where the cops pulled over everyone with a carseat and had a technician install the seat properly, show the driver how to do it and give free seats to people using old, broken seats. The problem is that there was special interest outcry because they ended up towing so many of the cars which were unregistered or driven by unlicensed drivers. The probable cause was questionable yet they cannot let unlicsensed or uninsured drivers just drive off because they accept liability if that person hits someone down the road. Since the courts don’t like the unfair catching of people breaking the law, their answer is more laws and more laws, in the end, the only people that will understand it and follow it, don’t even need it and the target audience will be ignored. But the elected officials will feel good about themselves and the car seat industry will buy them trips to vegas and hookers, which is really what our legislature is for.
temeculaguy
ParticipantI have time now, looking just at homes with the same schools listed, this one sold for 250 and is quite nice, newer with a 3 car
http://www.openhouseok.com/showhome.oht?&city=norman&address=617+Rivermont&st=ok
this one is 3200 sq for 230k
http://www.openhouseok.com/showhome.oht?&city=norman&address=311+Cherry+Creek+Dr&st=ok
this one is only 2100 sq and is pending at 224k
http://www.openhouseok.com/showhome.oht?&city=norman&address=909+Meadow+Ridge+Rd&st=ok
2000 sq ft for 200k
http://www.openhouseok.com/showhome.oht?&city=norman&address=229+Deerhurst+Dr&st=ok
2250sq for 189k
http://www.openhouseok.com/showhome.oht?&city=norman&address=709+Inverness&st=ok
2300 sq for 165k
http://www.openhouseok.com/showhome.oht?&city=norman&address=4207+Blue+Sage+Rd&st=ok
Your zestimate is 200-250k, somewhat validating my 225k estimate. The three closest sales within 2 streets are 207, 189 and 184, all three were smaller at about 2000 sq. but the 207 was your next door neighbor in July, before the economy fell apart in the media.
2 streets away on briarcrest is a listing for more sq ft for 225k, and it’s zillow range is 270-350k, so I’m guessing that you zillow range isn’t completely undervalued. I don’t like zillows estimates but it just another tool to look at.
Once again, I am on the other side of the country, but you asked and I was bored, I think at 269k your house is priced better but still overpriced, at 225k it will sell at 250 you might get looks and might get an offer. I think you wasted 4 months at 300k, you need to realize time is not on your side, if you get minimal traffic and no offers in 30 days, go 249k and take it from there.
That one on the corner for 450k is the highest listing I could find close by and they paid 185k in 1999, I think they are dreaming, don’t use listings to determine comps, use sales.
Median for the zip is 182k.
On the bright side, all of the zip code trends are actually positive, both the 30 day and the 1 year average values are stable or slightly positive, so you aren’t facing the massive depreciation we are out in so cal.
temeculaguy
ParticipantI have time now, looking just at homes with the same schools listed, this one sold for 250 and is quite nice, newer with a 3 car
http://www.openhouseok.com/showhome.oht?&city=norman&address=617+Rivermont&st=ok
this one is 3200 sq for 230k
http://www.openhouseok.com/showhome.oht?&city=norman&address=311+Cherry+Creek+Dr&st=ok
this one is only 2100 sq and is pending at 224k
http://www.openhouseok.com/showhome.oht?&city=norman&address=909+Meadow+Ridge+Rd&st=ok
2000 sq ft for 200k
http://www.openhouseok.com/showhome.oht?&city=norman&address=229+Deerhurst+Dr&st=ok
2250sq for 189k
http://www.openhouseok.com/showhome.oht?&city=norman&address=709+Inverness&st=ok
2300 sq for 165k
http://www.openhouseok.com/showhome.oht?&city=norman&address=4207+Blue+Sage+Rd&st=ok
Your zestimate is 200-250k, somewhat validating my 225k estimate. The three closest sales within 2 streets are 207, 189 and 184, all three were smaller at about 2000 sq. but the 207 was your next door neighbor in July, before the economy fell apart in the media.
2 streets away on briarcrest is a listing for more sq ft for 225k, and it’s zillow range is 270-350k, so I’m guessing that you zillow range isn’t completely undervalued. I don’t like zillows estimates but it just another tool to look at.
Once again, I am on the other side of the country, but you asked and I was bored, I think at 269k your house is priced better but still overpriced, at 225k it will sell at 250 you might get looks and might get an offer. I think you wasted 4 months at 300k, you need to realize time is not on your side, if you get minimal traffic and no offers in 30 days, go 249k and take it from there.
That one on the corner for 450k is the highest listing I could find close by and they paid 185k in 1999, I think they are dreaming, don’t use listings to determine comps, use sales.
Median for the zip is 182k.
On the bright side, all of the zip code trends are actually positive, both the 30 day and the 1 year average values are stable or slightly positive, so you aren’t facing the massive depreciation we are out in so cal.
temeculaguy
ParticipantI have time now, looking just at homes with the same schools listed, this one sold for 250 and is quite nice, newer with a 3 car
http://www.openhouseok.com/showhome.oht?&city=norman&address=617+Rivermont&st=ok
this one is 3200 sq for 230k
http://www.openhouseok.com/showhome.oht?&city=norman&address=311+Cherry+Creek+Dr&st=ok
this one is only 2100 sq and is pending at 224k
http://www.openhouseok.com/showhome.oht?&city=norman&address=909+Meadow+Ridge+Rd&st=ok
2000 sq ft for 200k
http://www.openhouseok.com/showhome.oht?&city=norman&address=229+Deerhurst+Dr&st=ok
2250sq for 189k
http://www.openhouseok.com/showhome.oht?&city=norman&address=709+Inverness&st=ok
2300 sq for 165k
http://www.openhouseok.com/showhome.oht?&city=norman&address=4207+Blue+Sage+Rd&st=ok
Your zestimate is 200-250k, somewhat validating my 225k estimate. The three closest sales within 2 streets are 207, 189 and 184, all three were smaller at about 2000 sq. but the 207 was your next door neighbor in July, before the economy fell apart in the media.
2 streets away on briarcrest is a listing for more sq ft for 225k, and it’s zillow range is 270-350k, so I’m guessing that you zillow range isn’t completely undervalued. I don’t like zillows estimates but it just another tool to look at.
Once again, I am on the other side of the country, but you asked and I was bored, I think at 269k your house is priced better but still overpriced, at 225k it will sell at 250 you might get looks and might get an offer. I think you wasted 4 months at 300k, you need to realize time is not on your side, if you get minimal traffic and no offers in 30 days, go 249k and take it from there.
That one on the corner for 450k is the highest listing I could find close by and they paid 185k in 1999, I think they are dreaming, don’t use listings to determine comps, use sales.
Median for the zip is 182k.
On the bright side, all of the zip code trends are actually positive, both the 30 day and the 1 year average values are stable or slightly positive, so you aren’t facing the massive depreciation we are out in so cal.
temeculaguy
ParticipantI have time now, looking just at homes with the same schools listed, this one sold for 250 and is quite nice, newer with a 3 car
http://www.openhouseok.com/showhome.oht?&city=norman&address=617+Rivermont&st=ok
this one is 3200 sq for 230k
http://www.openhouseok.com/showhome.oht?&city=norman&address=311+Cherry+Creek+Dr&st=ok
this one is only 2100 sq and is pending at 224k
http://www.openhouseok.com/showhome.oht?&city=norman&address=909+Meadow+Ridge+Rd&st=ok
2000 sq ft for 200k
http://www.openhouseok.com/showhome.oht?&city=norman&address=229+Deerhurst+Dr&st=ok
2250sq for 189k
http://www.openhouseok.com/showhome.oht?&city=norman&address=709+Inverness&st=ok
2300 sq for 165k
http://www.openhouseok.com/showhome.oht?&city=norman&address=4207+Blue+Sage+Rd&st=ok
Your zestimate is 200-250k, somewhat validating my 225k estimate. The three closest sales within 2 streets are 207, 189 and 184, all three were smaller at about 2000 sq. but the 207 was your next door neighbor in July, before the economy fell apart in the media.
2 streets away on briarcrest is a listing for more sq ft for 225k, and it’s zillow range is 270-350k, so I’m guessing that you zillow range isn’t completely undervalued. I don’t like zillows estimates but it just another tool to look at.
Once again, I am on the other side of the country, but you asked and I was bored, I think at 269k your house is priced better but still overpriced, at 225k it will sell at 250 you might get looks and might get an offer. I think you wasted 4 months at 300k, you need to realize time is not on your side, if you get minimal traffic and no offers in 30 days, go 249k and take it from there.
That one on the corner for 450k is the highest listing I could find close by and they paid 185k in 1999, I think they are dreaming, don’t use listings to determine comps, use sales.
Median for the zip is 182k.
On the bright side, all of the zip code trends are actually positive, both the 30 day and the 1 year average values are stable or slightly positive, so you aren’t facing the massive depreciation we are out in so cal.
temeculaguy
ParticipantI have time now, looking just at homes with the same schools listed, this one sold for 250 and is quite nice, newer with a 3 car
http://www.openhouseok.com/showhome.oht?&city=norman&address=617+Rivermont&st=ok
this one is 3200 sq for 230k
http://www.openhouseok.com/showhome.oht?&city=norman&address=311+Cherry+Creek+Dr&st=ok
this one is only 2100 sq and is pending at 224k
http://www.openhouseok.com/showhome.oht?&city=norman&address=909+Meadow+Ridge+Rd&st=ok
2000 sq ft for 200k
http://www.openhouseok.com/showhome.oht?&city=norman&address=229+Deerhurst+Dr&st=ok
2250sq for 189k
http://www.openhouseok.com/showhome.oht?&city=norman&address=709+Inverness&st=ok
2300 sq for 165k
http://www.openhouseok.com/showhome.oht?&city=norman&address=4207+Blue+Sage+Rd&st=ok
Your zestimate is 200-250k, somewhat validating my 225k estimate. The three closest sales within 2 streets are 207, 189 and 184, all three were smaller at about 2000 sq. but the 207 was your next door neighbor in July, before the economy fell apart in the media.
2 streets away on briarcrest is a listing for more sq ft for 225k, and it’s zillow range is 270-350k, so I’m guessing that you zillow range isn’t completely undervalued. I don’t like zillows estimates but it just another tool to look at.
Once again, I am on the other side of the country, but you asked and I was bored, I think at 269k your house is priced better but still overpriced, at 225k it will sell at 250 you might get looks and might get an offer. I think you wasted 4 months at 300k, you need to realize time is not on your side, if you get minimal traffic and no offers in 30 days, go 249k and take it from there.
That one on the corner for 450k is the highest listing I could find close by and they paid 185k in 1999, I think they are dreaming, don’t use listings to determine comps, use sales.
Median for the zip is 182k.
On the bright side, all of the zip code trends are actually positive, both the 30 day and the 1 year average values are stable or slightly positive, so you aren’t facing the massive depreciation we are out in so cal.
November 16, 2008 at 10:57 AM in reply to: I Need a Buyers Agent Referral – Temecula and Murrieta #305446temeculaguy
ParticipantIn nearly 20 years, I never found one up here as you described. I know some effecient ones, some hot ones, some smart ones and some nice ones. You have 14 months according to your plan, figure it out on your own and find a realtor with a knack for negotiation when the time comes. Realtors are situational professionals, you just need them for situations, not a lifetime and you certainly don’t need to find one a year before you need them.
Taxes and mello roos are easy, hell I can look them up on my iphone.
http://www.cityoftemecula.org/Temecula/Government/IS_GIS/GIS/
click on “launch the map viewer” then zoom in where you want and you can find the apn and owner (it’s a few months behind). Take the APN to the riverside county assessor screen and click on “pay taxes online” then enter the apn to get the itemized bill. The base property tax is the part that is based on value, all the rest are fixed in mello roos style. Some distressed properties have a lot of back fees, run the neigboring houses to get the true rate and run some with assessed values and earlier pruchase prices to get one close to what you will pay, but stay in the tract because it changes.
https://taxpayments.co.riverside.ca.us/Search.aspx
(you may have to click the apn finder if you only have the forst 9 digits which are found on mls listings, it’s not rocket science, once you figure it out you will be a tax wizard)
When you find out the “add on” taxes in a tract, write it down and you are done with that tract, it will always be that. In 14 months you will know the taxes for every tract that appeals to you, off the top of your head, like me, or maybe I’m just obsessive and need medicine.
November 16, 2008 at 10:57 AM in reply to: I Need a Buyers Agent Referral – Temecula and Murrieta #305813temeculaguy
ParticipantIn nearly 20 years, I never found one up here as you described. I know some effecient ones, some hot ones, some smart ones and some nice ones. You have 14 months according to your plan, figure it out on your own and find a realtor with a knack for negotiation when the time comes. Realtors are situational professionals, you just need them for situations, not a lifetime and you certainly don’t need to find one a year before you need them.
Taxes and mello roos are easy, hell I can look them up on my iphone.
http://www.cityoftemecula.org/Temecula/Government/IS_GIS/GIS/
click on “launch the map viewer” then zoom in where you want and you can find the apn and owner (it’s a few months behind). Take the APN to the riverside county assessor screen and click on “pay taxes online” then enter the apn to get the itemized bill. The base property tax is the part that is based on value, all the rest are fixed in mello roos style. Some distressed properties have a lot of back fees, run the neigboring houses to get the true rate and run some with assessed values and earlier pruchase prices to get one close to what you will pay, but stay in the tract because it changes.
https://taxpayments.co.riverside.ca.us/Search.aspx
(you may have to click the apn finder if you only have the forst 9 digits which are found on mls listings, it’s not rocket science, once you figure it out you will be a tax wizard)
When you find out the “add on” taxes in a tract, write it down and you are done with that tract, it will always be that. In 14 months you will know the taxes for every tract that appeals to you, off the top of your head, like me, or maybe I’m just obsessive and need medicine.
November 16, 2008 at 10:57 AM in reply to: I Need a Buyers Agent Referral – Temecula and Murrieta #305824temeculaguy
ParticipantIn nearly 20 years, I never found one up here as you described. I know some effecient ones, some hot ones, some smart ones and some nice ones. You have 14 months according to your plan, figure it out on your own and find a realtor with a knack for negotiation when the time comes. Realtors are situational professionals, you just need them for situations, not a lifetime and you certainly don’t need to find one a year before you need them.
Taxes and mello roos are easy, hell I can look them up on my iphone.
http://www.cityoftemecula.org/Temecula/Government/IS_GIS/GIS/
click on “launch the map viewer” then zoom in where you want and you can find the apn and owner (it’s a few months behind). Take the APN to the riverside county assessor screen and click on “pay taxes online” then enter the apn to get the itemized bill. The base property tax is the part that is based on value, all the rest are fixed in mello roos style. Some distressed properties have a lot of back fees, run the neigboring houses to get the true rate and run some with assessed values and earlier pruchase prices to get one close to what you will pay, but stay in the tract because it changes.
https://taxpayments.co.riverside.ca.us/Search.aspx
(you may have to click the apn finder if you only have the forst 9 digits which are found on mls listings, it’s not rocket science, once you figure it out you will be a tax wizard)
When you find out the “add on” taxes in a tract, write it down and you are done with that tract, it will always be that. In 14 months you will know the taxes for every tract that appeals to you, off the top of your head, like me, or maybe I’m just obsessive and need medicine.
November 16, 2008 at 10:57 AM in reply to: I Need a Buyers Agent Referral – Temecula and Murrieta #305841temeculaguy
ParticipantIn nearly 20 years, I never found one up here as you described. I know some effecient ones, some hot ones, some smart ones and some nice ones. You have 14 months according to your plan, figure it out on your own and find a realtor with a knack for negotiation when the time comes. Realtors are situational professionals, you just need them for situations, not a lifetime and you certainly don’t need to find one a year before you need them.
Taxes and mello roos are easy, hell I can look them up on my iphone.
http://www.cityoftemecula.org/Temecula/Government/IS_GIS/GIS/
click on “launch the map viewer” then zoom in where you want and you can find the apn and owner (it’s a few months behind). Take the APN to the riverside county assessor screen and click on “pay taxes online” then enter the apn to get the itemized bill. The base property tax is the part that is based on value, all the rest are fixed in mello roos style. Some distressed properties have a lot of back fees, run the neigboring houses to get the true rate and run some with assessed values and earlier pruchase prices to get one close to what you will pay, but stay in the tract because it changes.
https://taxpayments.co.riverside.ca.us/Search.aspx
(you may have to click the apn finder if you only have the forst 9 digits which are found on mls listings, it’s not rocket science, once you figure it out you will be a tax wizard)
When you find out the “add on” taxes in a tract, write it down and you are done with that tract, it will always be that. In 14 months you will know the taxes for every tract that appeals to you, off the top of your head, like me, or maybe I’m just obsessive and need medicine.
November 16, 2008 at 10:57 AM in reply to: I Need a Buyers Agent Referral – Temecula and Murrieta #305903temeculaguy
ParticipantIn nearly 20 years, I never found one up here as you described. I know some effecient ones, some hot ones, some smart ones and some nice ones. You have 14 months according to your plan, figure it out on your own and find a realtor with a knack for negotiation when the time comes. Realtors are situational professionals, you just need them for situations, not a lifetime and you certainly don’t need to find one a year before you need them.
Taxes and mello roos are easy, hell I can look them up on my iphone.
http://www.cityoftemecula.org/Temecula/Government/IS_GIS/GIS/
click on “launch the map viewer” then zoom in where you want and you can find the apn and owner (it’s a few months behind). Take the APN to the riverside county assessor screen and click on “pay taxes online” then enter the apn to get the itemized bill. The base property tax is the part that is based on value, all the rest are fixed in mello roos style. Some distressed properties have a lot of back fees, run the neigboring houses to get the true rate and run some with assessed values and earlier pruchase prices to get one close to what you will pay, but stay in the tract because it changes.
https://taxpayments.co.riverside.ca.us/Search.aspx
(you may have to click the apn finder if you only have the forst 9 digits which are found on mls listings, it’s not rocket science, once you figure it out you will be a tax wizard)
When you find out the “add on” taxes in a tract, write it down and you are done with that tract, it will always be that. In 14 months you will know the taxes for every tract that appeals to you, off the top of your head, like me, or maybe I’m just obsessive and need medicine.
temeculaguy
Participantocrenter, I was going to say the same thing, but it’s your thunder, btw, thanks for the props with the reference on your blog, I’m famous now.
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