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January 21, 2008 at 2:14 PM in reply to: We are now within 5% of BOTTOM in for $600K and up SD RE market. #140108January 21, 2008 at 2:14 PM in reply to: We are now within 5% of BOTTOM in for $600K and up SD RE market. #140130
SD Realtor
ParticipantHi Schizo
Regarding your post…
8. I’ve been a Pig for more than a year. Posted a lot back 4-5 months ago and been lurking since then. I am now working with loan broker on financing and agressively looking to buy in the next 30 days (Scripps, Newer PQ, 4S Ranch).
I consider myself a specialist in these areas. I think you are reaching a point of frustration that many of my clients have reached. That is, for all of the short sales in these places, just about every one of them already has offers into the lender. For all of the distress and problematic things about the market we talk about, some of these places indeed seem somewhat immune. While you may take these price levels holding up as a sign that we are at the bottom, I would not agree.
Conversely many people I work with simply do not have time nor patience to wait the market out. This is not going to happen overnight. Why that cannot be acknowledged always puzzles me. So what do people do? Well many of my clients acknowledge the situation and decide to either move forward or not move forward. The bottom line though is it would be foolish for me to say, “well we are x% off the bottom.” The fact is that I have no clue where the bottom will be. I do REALLY REALLY BELIEVE it will not be for awhile. Whether we are 5% away or 35% away is the real question. Ask me in 2010 and I will know.
I show homes in PQ and go to 4S almost every week. I have already gone on record to say don’t be surprised to see a bump this spring. It happens? It is called normal market cycles. However to think that the secular trend is over with is not an assumption I would make. It doesn’t behoove me to address your points one by one. Like I said I have many clients and they are going to buy not because they think the market is at or near a bottom, but because they want to own a home. I give them my analysis and they understand and thank me for being honest.
If you want a home, buy a home. However I don’t think buying a home because you think that this is the bottom of the market is a prudent move. Buy a home and be honest with yourself and family and enjoy the home!
SD Realtor
January 21, 2008 at 2:14 PM in reply to: We are now within 5% of BOTTOM in for $600K and up SD RE market. #140157ParticipantHi Schizo
Regarding your post…
8. I’ve been a Pig for more than a year. Posted a lot back 4-5 months ago and been lurking since then. I am now working with loan broker on financing and agressively looking to buy in the next 30 days (Scripps, Newer PQ, 4S Ranch).
I consider myself a specialist in these areas. I think you are reaching a point of frustration that many of my clients have reached. That is, for all of the short sales in these places, just about every one of them already has offers into the lender. For all of the distress and problematic things about the market we talk about, some of these places indeed seem somewhat immune. While you may take these price levels holding up as a sign that we are at the bottom, I would not agree.
Conversely many people I work with simply do not have time nor patience to wait the market out. This is not going to happen overnight. Why that cannot be acknowledged always puzzles me. So what do people do? Well many of my clients acknowledge the situation and decide to either move forward or not move forward. The bottom line though is it would be foolish for me to say, “well we are x% off the bottom.” The fact is that I have no clue where the bottom will be. I do REALLY REALLY BELIEVE it will not be for awhile. Whether we are 5% away or 35% away is the real question. Ask me in 2010 and I will know.
I show homes in PQ and go to 4S almost every week. I have already gone on record to say don’t be surprised to see a bump this spring. It happens? It is called normal market cycles. However to think that the secular trend is over with is not an assumption I would make. It doesn’t behoove me to address your points one by one. Like I said I have many clients and they are going to buy not because they think the market is at or near a bottom, but because they want to own a home. I give them my analysis and they understand and thank me for being honest.
If you want a home, buy a home. However I don’t think buying a home because you think that this is the bottom of the market is a prudent move. Buy a home and be honest with yourself and family and enjoy the home!
SD Realtor
January 21, 2008 at 2:14 PM in reply to: We are now within 5% of BOTTOM in for $600K and up SD RE market. #140204ParticipantHi Schizo
Regarding your post…
8. I’ve been a Pig for more than a year. Posted a lot back 4-5 months ago and been lurking since then. I am now working with loan broker on financing and agressively looking to buy in the next 30 days (Scripps, Newer PQ, 4S Ranch).
I consider myself a specialist in these areas. I think you are reaching a point of frustration that many of my clients have reached. That is, for all of the short sales in these places, just about every one of them already has offers into the lender. For all of the distress and problematic things about the market we talk about, some of these places indeed seem somewhat immune. While you may take these price levels holding up as a sign that we are at the bottom, I would not agree.
Conversely many people I work with simply do not have time nor patience to wait the market out. This is not going to happen overnight. Why that cannot be acknowledged always puzzles me. So what do people do? Well many of my clients acknowledge the situation and decide to either move forward or not move forward. The bottom line though is it would be foolish for me to say, “well we are x% off the bottom.” The fact is that I have no clue where the bottom will be. I do REALLY REALLY BELIEVE it will not be for awhile. Whether we are 5% away or 35% away is the real question. Ask me in 2010 and I will know.
I show homes in PQ and go to 4S almost every week. I have already gone on record to say don’t be surprised to see a bump this spring. It happens? It is called normal market cycles. However to think that the secular trend is over with is not an assumption I would make. It doesn’t behoove me to address your points one by one. Like I said I have many clients and they are going to buy not because they think the market is at or near a bottom, but because they want to own a home. I give them my analysis and they understand and thank me for being honest.
If you want a home, buy a home. However I don’t think buying a home because you think that this is the bottom of the market is a prudent move. Buy a home and be honest with yourself and family and enjoy the home!
SD Realtor
ParticipantAgreed we were short handed but didn’t agree with the play calling down in the red zone.
Vrabel is known for that punk ass stuff and I saw it 100% as well. Nothing from the refs and rivers threw the pick on that play which sucked. The refs pretty much let them play today.
A rivers/manning sb would have been fun.
SD Realtor
ParticipantAgreed we were short handed but didn’t agree with the play calling down in the red zone.
Vrabel is known for that punk ass stuff and I saw it 100% as well. Nothing from the refs and rivers threw the pick on that play which sucked. The refs pretty much let them play today.
A rivers/manning sb would have been fun.
SD Realtor
ParticipantAgreed we were short handed but didn’t agree with the play calling down in the red zone.
Vrabel is known for that punk ass stuff and I saw it 100% as well. Nothing from the refs and rivers threw the pick on that play which sucked. The refs pretty much let them play today.
A rivers/manning sb would have been fun.
SD Realtor
ParticipantAgreed we were short handed but didn’t agree with the play calling down in the red zone.
Vrabel is known for that punk ass stuff and I saw it 100% as well. Nothing from the refs and rivers threw the pick on that play which sucked. The refs pretty much let them play today.
A rivers/manning sb would have been fun.
SD Realtor
ParticipantAgreed we were short handed but didn’t agree with the play calling down in the red zone.
Vrabel is known for that punk ass stuff and I saw it 100% as well. Nothing from the refs and rivers threw the pick on that play which sucked. The refs pretty much let them play today.
A rivers/manning sb would have been fun.
SD Realtor
ParticipantFLU as much as I would like to pin this on you and your run of bad luck I cannot. In fact this game gave the chargers more luck and ample opportunity than I would have ever imagined.
The bottom line is that unfortunately we have to pin this loss on our coaching staff. You CANNOT get to the opponents 10 yard line 4 times and come away with 12 points. Not against the Patriots, not against anyone. When we got into the red zone there was no imagination, we did not utilize the size of our receivers, we did not attempt any gadget plays such as a shovel pass or a quick pass, we did not even try any play action. It was so damn painful to watch. You cannot call a freeking timeout on 3rd and 1 and run off tackle and lose 2 yards. Sneak it on 3rd and sneak it on 4th and you get the friggin yard. The same repetitive crap may work in the regular season against the a 500 team but when you are on the road in the afc championship you HAVE to do something a bit different. YOU DONT BEAT NEW ENGLAND WITH FIELD GOALS.
To me this game hurt worse then if we had been blown off the field. However I never saw 1 single flare to the backs. New England was hip to our screens but eventually they figured out that rivers could not throw the ball more then 30 yards with his bum knee and tightened up and took away the seams. Chambers and Jackson played great. Even Rivers played well.
I do believe it is time for Kaeding to go. He may be accurate but he is just not much more then a 2008 version of Rolf Bernershke and I would rather roll the dice with a Seabass any time.
Defensively we were valiant and I think we played alot more man which really helped. Yet when we softened up the zone Brady picked us apart outside. Why is it New England can run the quick pass outside and always pick up yardage but we cannot nor do we even try it. There were also a few times when the zone could not rotate outside quick enough and one time moss was alone for a quick 14 and at least 2-3 times faulk and even the fullback #44 was sitting there pretty wide open… I still wish we qould have chose to sell out a little more. I think we actually did rattle Brady the few times we got some pressure on. We DID force some bad passes out of him. It can happen.
Yet when it came down to it we couldn’t stop them. We were tired and we got tired because our O couldn’t score. Even our long drives were not long drives. We moved down the field relatively quick and in larger chunks not 14 play drives. The D was out of gas by the 4th. No big plays to speak of by either Sean but the cornerbacks were men today.
Well as we always say here in San Diego… maybe next year.
SD Realtor
ParticipantFLU as much as I would like to pin this on you and your run of bad luck I cannot. In fact this game gave the chargers more luck and ample opportunity than I would have ever imagined.
The bottom line is that unfortunately we have to pin this loss on our coaching staff. You CANNOT get to the opponents 10 yard line 4 times and come away with 12 points. Not against the Patriots, not against anyone. When we got into the red zone there was no imagination, we did not utilize the size of our receivers, we did not attempt any gadget plays such as a shovel pass or a quick pass, we did not even try any play action. It was so damn painful to watch. You cannot call a freeking timeout on 3rd and 1 and run off tackle and lose 2 yards. Sneak it on 3rd and sneak it on 4th and you get the friggin yard. The same repetitive crap may work in the regular season against the a 500 team but when you are on the road in the afc championship you HAVE to do something a bit different. YOU DONT BEAT NEW ENGLAND WITH FIELD GOALS.
To me this game hurt worse then if we had been blown off the field. However I never saw 1 single flare to the backs. New England was hip to our screens but eventually they figured out that rivers could not throw the ball more then 30 yards with his bum knee and tightened up and took away the seams. Chambers and Jackson played great. Even Rivers played well.
I do believe it is time for Kaeding to go. He may be accurate but he is just not much more then a 2008 version of Rolf Bernershke and I would rather roll the dice with a Seabass any time.
Defensively we were valiant and I think we played alot more man which really helped. Yet when we softened up the zone Brady picked us apart outside. Why is it New England can run the quick pass outside and always pick up yardage but we cannot nor do we even try it. There were also a few times when the zone could not rotate outside quick enough and one time moss was alone for a quick 14 and at least 2-3 times faulk and even the fullback #44 was sitting there pretty wide open… I still wish we qould have chose to sell out a little more. I think we actually did rattle Brady the few times we got some pressure on. We DID force some bad passes out of him. It can happen.
Yet when it came down to it we couldn’t stop them. We were tired and we got tired because our O couldn’t score. Even our long drives were not long drives. We moved down the field relatively quick and in larger chunks not 14 play drives. The D was out of gas by the 4th. No big plays to speak of by either Sean but the cornerbacks were men today.
Well as we always say here in San Diego… maybe next year.
SD Realtor
ParticipantFLU as much as I would like to pin this on you and your run of bad luck I cannot. In fact this game gave the chargers more luck and ample opportunity than I would have ever imagined.
The bottom line is that unfortunately we have to pin this loss on our coaching staff. You CANNOT get to the opponents 10 yard line 4 times and come away with 12 points. Not against the Patriots, not against anyone. When we got into the red zone there was no imagination, we did not utilize the size of our receivers, we did not attempt any gadget plays such as a shovel pass or a quick pass, we did not even try any play action. It was so damn painful to watch. You cannot call a freeking timeout on 3rd and 1 and run off tackle and lose 2 yards. Sneak it on 3rd and sneak it on 4th and you get the friggin yard. The same repetitive crap may work in the regular season against the a 500 team but when you are on the road in the afc championship you HAVE to do something a bit different. YOU DONT BEAT NEW ENGLAND WITH FIELD GOALS.
To me this game hurt worse then if we had been blown off the field. However I never saw 1 single flare to the backs. New England was hip to our screens but eventually they figured out that rivers could not throw the ball more then 30 yards with his bum knee and tightened up and took away the seams. Chambers and Jackson played great. Even Rivers played well.
I do believe it is time for Kaeding to go. He may be accurate but he is just not much more then a 2008 version of Rolf Bernershke and I would rather roll the dice with a Seabass any time.
Defensively we were valiant and I think we played alot more man which really helped. Yet when we softened up the zone Brady picked us apart outside. Why is it New England can run the quick pass outside and always pick up yardage but we cannot nor do we even try it. There were also a few times when the zone could not rotate outside quick enough and one time moss was alone for a quick 14 and at least 2-3 times faulk and even the fullback #44 was sitting there pretty wide open… I still wish we qould have chose to sell out a little more. I think we actually did rattle Brady the few times we got some pressure on. We DID force some bad passes out of him. It can happen.
Yet when it came down to it we couldn’t stop them. We were tired and we got tired because our O couldn’t score. Even our long drives were not long drives. We moved down the field relatively quick and in larger chunks not 14 play drives. The D was out of gas by the 4th. No big plays to speak of by either Sean but the cornerbacks were men today.
Well as we always say here in San Diego… maybe next year.
SD Realtor
ParticipantFLU as much as I would like to pin this on you and your run of bad luck I cannot. In fact this game gave the chargers more luck and ample opportunity than I would have ever imagined.
The bottom line is that unfortunately we have to pin this loss on our coaching staff. You CANNOT get to the opponents 10 yard line 4 times and come away with 12 points. Not against the Patriots, not against anyone. When we got into the red zone there was no imagination, we did not utilize the size of our receivers, we did not attempt any gadget plays such as a shovel pass or a quick pass, we did not even try any play action. It was so damn painful to watch. You cannot call a freeking timeout on 3rd and 1 and run off tackle and lose 2 yards. Sneak it on 3rd and sneak it on 4th and you get the friggin yard. The same repetitive crap may work in the regular season against the a 500 team but when you are on the road in the afc championship you HAVE to do something a bit different. YOU DONT BEAT NEW ENGLAND WITH FIELD GOALS.
To me this game hurt worse then if we had been blown off the field. However I never saw 1 single flare to the backs. New England was hip to our screens but eventually they figured out that rivers could not throw the ball more then 30 yards with his bum knee and tightened up and took away the seams. Chambers and Jackson played great. Even Rivers played well.
I do believe it is time for Kaeding to go. He may be accurate but he is just not much more then a 2008 version of Rolf Bernershke and I would rather roll the dice with a Seabass any time.
Defensively we were valiant and I think we played alot more man which really helped. Yet when we softened up the zone Brady picked us apart outside. Why is it New England can run the quick pass outside and always pick up yardage but we cannot nor do we even try it. There were also a few times when the zone could not rotate outside quick enough and one time moss was alone for a quick 14 and at least 2-3 times faulk and even the fullback #44 was sitting there pretty wide open… I still wish we qould have chose to sell out a little more. I think we actually did rattle Brady the few times we got some pressure on. We DID force some bad passes out of him. It can happen.
Yet when it came down to it we couldn’t stop them. We were tired and we got tired because our O couldn’t score. Even our long drives were not long drives. We moved down the field relatively quick and in larger chunks not 14 play drives. The D was out of gas by the 4th. No big plays to speak of by either Sean but the cornerbacks were men today.
Well as we always say here in San Diego… maybe next year.
SD Realtor
ParticipantFLU as much as I would like to pin this on you and your run of bad luck I cannot. In fact this game gave the chargers more luck and ample opportunity than I would have ever imagined.
The bottom line is that unfortunately we have to pin this loss on our coaching staff. You CANNOT get to the opponents 10 yard line 4 times and come away with 12 points. Not against the Patriots, not against anyone. When we got into the red zone there was no imagination, we did not utilize the size of our receivers, we did not attempt any gadget plays such as a shovel pass or a quick pass, we did not even try any play action. It was so damn painful to watch. You cannot call a freeking timeout on 3rd and 1 and run off tackle and lose 2 yards. Sneak it on 3rd and sneak it on 4th and you get the friggin yard. The same repetitive crap may work in the regular season against the a 500 team but when you are on the road in the afc championship you HAVE to do something a bit different. YOU DONT BEAT NEW ENGLAND WITH FIELD GOALS.
To me this game hurt worse then if we had been blown off the field. However I never saw 1 single flare to the backs. New England was hip to our screens but eventually they figured out that rivers could not throw the ball more then 30 yards with his bum knee and tightened up and took away the seams. Chambers and Jackson played great. Even Rivers played well.
I do believe it is time for Kaeding to go. He may be accurate but he is just not much more then a 2008 version of Rolf Bernershke and I would rather roll the dice with a Seabass any time.
Defensively we were valiant and I think we played alot more man which really helped. Yet when we softened up the zone Brady picked us apart outside. Why is it New England can run the quick pass outside and always pick up yardage but we cannot nor do we even try it. There were also a few times when the zone could not rotate outside quick enough and one time moss was alone for a quick 14 and at least 2-3 times faulk and even the fullback #44 was sitting there pretty wide open… I still wish we qould have chose to sell out a little more. I think we actually did rattle Brady the few times we got some pressure on. We DID force some bad passes out of him. It can happen.
Yet when it came down to it we couldn’t stop them. We were tired and we got tired because our O couldn’t score. Even our long drives were not long drives. We moved down the field relatively quick and in larger chunks not 14 play drives. The D was out of gas by the 4th. No big plays to speak of by either Sean but the cornerbacks were men today.
Well as we always say here in San Diego… maybe next year.
SD Realtor
ParticipantBubblesitter you and me both. I posted last month about the bond insurers getting hit and I REALLY wish I would have shorted them back then..
SD Realtor
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