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(former)FormerSanDiegan
Participant“If over-regulation is the problem, then perhaps the bubble won’t burst here after all. ”
Tell that to all the folks in South County who have already seen a 20% or more decline in median prices. I think it’s too late to speculate about reasons why the bubble won’t burst since it is already happening.
October 18, 2007 at 11:42 AM in reply to: The Boomers and coming, the Boomers are coming….or are they going? #89914ParticipantConsider the largest stock bubble in 80 years peaked a mere 5 years ago
Oops. Correction: 7 years ago.
October 18, 2007 at 11:42 AM in reply to: The Boomers and coming, the Boomers are coming….or are they going? #89923ParticipantConsider the largest stock bubble in 80 years peaked a mere 5 years ago
Oops. Correction: 7 years ago.
October 18, 2007 at 11:40 AM in reply to: The Boomers and coming, the Boomers are coming….or are they going? #89912Participantthe bear market in equities that should have started in 2000 with the crash of the NASDAQ was averted by some very heavy-handed manipulation
“should have started” ? Huh? Are you kidding me ?
Did someone miss the worst bear market in a generation ?
The S&P 500 (broad index) declined by about 48% in the ~36 month bear market from March 2000- March 2003.
This is rivaled in the past HALF-CENTURY by one other similar Bear market. A 48% decline in the S&P 500 from January 1973 to December 1974. That was nearly a 24-month bear market.
October 18, 2007 at 11:40 AM in reply to: The Boomers and coming, the Boomers are coming….or are they going? #89921Participantthe bear market in equities that should have started in 2000 with the crash of the NASDAQ was averted by some very heavy-handed manipulation
“should have started” ? Huh? Are you kidding me ?
Did someone miss the worst bear market in a generation ?
The S&P 500 (broad index) declined by about 48% in the ~36 month bear market from March 2000- March 2003.
This is rivaled in the past HALF-CENTURY by one other similar Bear market. A 48% decline in the S&P 500 from January 1973 to December 1974. That was nearly a 24-month bear market.
October 18, 2007 at 9:52 AM in reply to: The Boomers and coming, the Boomers are coming….or are they going? #89883Participantwhen a financial mania occurs and then subsides, the asset class that the mania was focussed on is typically shunned for at least a full generation
read any of the classic literature on financial manias and they discuss this
That classical literature needs to be updated. Consider the largest stock bubble in 80 years peaked a mere 5 years ago, yet the percentage of 401Ks invested in equities is near an all time high today. I wouldn’t consider that being shunned for a generation. That is, unless we are talking about a generation in dog years.
October 18, 2007 at 9:52 AM in reply to: The Boomers and coming, the Boomers are coming….or are they going? #89890Participantwhen a financial mania occurs and then subsides, the asset class that the mania was focussed on is typically shunned for at least a full generation
read any of the classic literature on financial manias and they discuss this
That classical literature needs to be updated. Consider the largest stock bubble in 80 years peaked a mere 5 years ago, yet the percentage of 401Ks invested in equities is near an all time high today. I wouldn’t consider that being shunned for a generation. That is, unless we are talking about a generation in dog years.
October 17, 2007 at 3:31 PM in reply to: Employment is down and so is early stock trading ` 200+ points…. #89685ParticipantIf I were you I would take my 10-15% + and look for another re-entry point. But then again I’m no Nostradamus.
October 17, 2007 at 3:31 PM in reply to: Employment is down and so is early stock trading ` 200+ points…. #89692ParticipantIf I were you I would take my 10-15% + and look for another re-entry point. But then again I’m no Nostradamus.
October 17, 2007 at 8:59 AM in reply to: “It’s going to be a long time before we see it bottom out and recover” #89565ParticipantIf they optimists are saying 2010, it won’t be until 2013.
I have a different take… I expect the experts and media to continually point to a potential bottom 12-18 months ahead.
Even when we do hit bottom they will be saying this and they will be wrong. Don’t worry that your target and theirs line up. They will line up then cross at some point. Then, those who are correct in calling the bottom will appear to be too optimistic relative to the experts and the media.Quote from Thornberg in LA Times today :
“This thing’s going to get worse when the peak of resets occur next year,” Thornberg, the L.A. economist, said. His prediction: Southern California sales and prices will decline into 2009.This time next year he will be produce an identical quote with the year 2010 inserted.
October 17, 2007 at 8:59 AM in reply to: “It’s going to be a long time before we see it bottom out and recover” #89573ParticipantIf they optimists are saying 2010, it won’t be until 2013.
I have a different take… I expect the experts and media to continually point to a potential bottom 12-18 months ahead.
Even when we do hit bottom they will be saying this and they will be wrong. Don’t worry that your target and theirs line up. They will line up then cross at some point. Then, those who are correct in calling the bottom will appear to be too optimistic relative to the experts and the media.Quote from Thornberg in LA Times today :
“This thing’s going to get worse when the peak of resets occur next year,” Thornberg, the L.A. economist, said. His prediction: Southern California sales and prices will decline into 2009.This time next year he will be produce an identical quote with the year 2010 inserted.
October 16, 2007 at 4:21 PM in reply to: Feng Shui, is it important for you when buying a house? #89492ParticipantI mean, is there some other feng shui reason for not having across from each other?
Yes. An effective kitchen design is based on the work triangle.
http://www.kitchens.com/01-Kitchen-Design/Kitchen-Space-Planning/work-triangle.asp
Now, although there are configurations that follow the work triangle methodology that include having the sink and stove across from eachother, this requires a complete 180-degree turn when moving from one to the other. Other configurations that require less than 180-degree turns are significantly more efficient, and are truer to the goal of the work triangle of creating a useful efficient space.
October 16, 2007 at 4:21 PM in reply to: Feng Shui, is it important for you when buying a house? #89501ParticipantI mean, is there some other feng shui reason for not having across from each other?
Yes. An effective kitchen design is based on the work triangle.
http://www.kitchens.com/01-Kitchen-Design/Kitchen-Space-Planning/work-triangle.asp
Now, although there are configurations that follow the work triangle methodology that include having the sink and stove across from eachother, this requires a complete 180-degree turn when moving from one to the other. Other configurations that require less than 180-degree turns are significantly more efficient, and are truer to the goal of the work triangle of creating a useful efficient space.
October 16, 2007 at 2:48 PM in reply to: Feng Shui, is it important for you when buying a house? #89460ParticipantI don’t know about Feng Shui …
but there are many reasons I would not to buy that split-level house, facing a T-junction, with the stairwell facing the front door with a pool in the backyard that you can see through the front door, in which the oven and kitchen sink directly face each other. Each of these is inherently a poor/ugly/bad design (well, except maybe the pool). -
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