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November 14, 2007 at 12:34 PM in reply to: Top tier SD RE has dropped 5.8% from peak . . . overall SD RE dopped 9.4% #99370November 14, 2007 at 12:34 PM in reply to: Top tier SD RE has dropped 5.8% from peak . . . overall SD RE dopped 9.4% #99431
drunkle
Participantthanks rich. your explanation clears things up a bit, particularly the fact that they’re using same home sales.
as for the distribution curve, i agree that that’s probably what they’re doing. it’s just weird and seems inaccurate or at least skewed. to have such large price spreads in the low and high end, particularly at the high end, would seem to dilute the data.
edit: rather, instead of dilute the data, dilute the results…
November 14, 2007 at 12:34 PM in reply to: Top tier SD RE has dropped 5.8% from peak . . . overall SD RE dopped 9.4% #99448drunkle
Participantthanks rich. your explanation clears things up a bit, particularly the fact that they’re using same home sales.
as for the distribution curve, i agree that that’s probably what they’re doing. it’s just weird and seems inaccurate or at least skewed. to have such large price spreads in the low and high end, particularly at the high end, would seem to dilute the data.
edit: rather, instead of dilute the data, dilute the results…
November 14, 2007 at 12:34 PM in reply to: Top tier SD RE has dropped 5.8% from peak . . . overall SD RE dopped 9.4% #99455drunkle
Participantthanks rich. your explanation clears things up a bit, particularly the fact that they’re using same home sales.
as for the distribution curve, i agree that that’s probably what they’re doing. it’s just weird and seems inaccurate or at least skewed. to have such large price spreads in the low and high end, particularly at the high end, would seem to dilute the data.
edit: rather, instead of dilute the data, dilute the results…
drunkle
Participantjust you wait till 2008
more declines in 2009
will it end in 2010?
buy a dozen in 2011
no more elves in 2012
…
land of plenty in 2020drunkle
Participantjust you wait till 2008
more declines in 2009
will it end in 2010?
buy a dozen in 2011
no more elves in 2012
…
land of plenty in 2020drunkle
Participantjust you wait till 2008
more declines in 2009
will it end in 2010?
buy a dozen in 2011
no more elves in 2012
…
land of plenty in 2020drunkle
Participantjust you wait till 2008
more declines in 2009
will it end in 2010?
buy a dozen in 2011
no more elves in 2012
…
land of plenty in 2020November 13, 2007 at 5:46 PM in reply to: Dow Drops to 13042 at week’s end. Let’s make bets and discuss at next meet up… #99154drunkle
Participant“This thread is a good example of the wishful/bearish thinking on Piggington’s. The DOW was up over 300 pts today. How about 13,300? But let me guess. We won’t hear any positive commentary.”
i put my 401 back into janus the other day. hooray for apple.
positive enough?
November 13, 2007 at 5:46 PM in reply to: Dow Drops to 13042 at week’s end. Let’s make bets and discuss at next meet up… #99215drunkle
Participant“This thread is a good example of the wishful/bearish thinking on Piggington’s. The DOW was up over 300 pts today. How about 13,300? But let me guess. We won’t hear any positive commentary.”
i put my 401 back into janus the other day. hooray for apple.
positive enough?
November 13, 2007 at 5:46 PM in reply to: Dow Drops to 13042 at week’s end. Let’s make bets and discuss at next meet up… #99230drunkle
Participant“This thread is a good example of the wishful/bearish thinking on Piggington’s. The DOW was up over 300 pts today. How about 13,300? But let me guess. We won’t hear any positive commentary.”
i put my 401 back into janus the other day. hooray for apple.
positive enough?
November 13, 2007 at 5:46 PM in reply to: Dow Drops to 13042 at week’s end. Let’s make bets and discuss at next meet up… #99237drunkle
Participant“This thread is a good example of the wishful/bearish thinking on Piggington’s. The DOW was up over 300 pts today. How about 13,300? But let me guess. We won’t hear any positive commentary.”
i put my 401 back into janus the other day. hooray for apple.
positive enough?
November 13, 2007 at 5:41 PM in reply to: Top tier SD RE has dropped 5.8% from peak . . . overall SD RE dopped 9.4% #99145drunkle
Participanti want to know what’s with the weird breakdown:
Middle 1/3 (482K to 678K)
like, there are homes that broke through the low and up into the middle, but will fall back down. likewise, the plethora of middle homes that are deep into high territory yet.
i’m assuming that the breaks are according to the actual number of homes vs price, but… matter of fact, how they did their analysis at all is confusing. how do you track price changes when price is part of your categorization?
maybe if they had made the spreads strictly by price spread regardless of number of homes at a particular price point, would be easier to visualize…
November 13, 2007 at 5:41 PM in reply to: Top tier SD RE has dropped 5.8% from peak . . . overall SD RE dopped 9.4% #99207drunkle
Participanti want to know what’s with the weird breakdown:
Middle 1/3 (482K to 678K)
like, there are homes that broke through the low and up into the middle, but will fall back down. likewise, the plethora of middle homes that are deep into high territory yet.
i’m assuming that the breaks are according to the actual number of homes vs price, but… matter of fact, how they did their analysis at all is confusing. how do you track price changes when price is part of your categorization?
maybe if they had made the spreads strictly by price spread regardless of number of homes at a particular price point, would be easier to visualize…
November 13, 2007 at 5:41 PM in reply to: Top tier SD RE has dropped 5.8% from peak . . . overall SD RE dopped 9.4% #99222drunkle
Participanti want to know what’s with the weird breakdown:
Middle 1/3 (482K to 678K)
like, there are homes that broke through the low and up into the middle, but will fall back down. likewise, the plethora of middle homes that are deep into high territory yet.
i’m assuming that the breaks are according to the actual number of homes vs price, but… matter of fact, how they did their analysis at all is confusing. how do you track price changes when price is part of your categorization?
maybe if they had made the spreads strictly by price spread regardless of number of homes at a particular price point, would be easier to visualize…
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