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April 29, 2008 at 10:56 PM in reply to: Inflation as a risk factor; it may be time to buy soon #196411April 29, 2008 at 10:56 PM in reply to: Inflation as a risk factor; it may be time to buy soon #196445
capeman
Participantstockstradr, you’re going to have to get some evidence on the money printing theory before making an argument like this. There is no evidence of money printing and in fact the Fed is currently removing money from the system.
Also it is not the government that prints money but rather the Fed which is a bank. Banks don’t like to be paid back with inflated dollars so I’m not seeing their motivation in promoting/allowing a long term inflationary scenario.
April 29, 2008 at 10:56 PM in reply to: Inflation as a risk factor; it may be time to buy soon #196468capeman
Participantstockstradr, you’re going to have to get some evidence on the money printing theory before making an argument like this. There is no evidence of money printing and in fact the Fed is currently removing money from the system.
Also it is not the government that prints money but rather the Fed which is a bank. Banks don’t like to be paid back with inflated dollars so I’m not seeing their motivation in promoting/allowing a long term inflationary scenario.
April 29, 2008 at 10:56 PM in reply to: Inflation as a risk factor; it may be time to buy soon #196489capeman
Participantstockstradr, you’re going to have to get some evidence on the money printing theory before making an argument like this. There is no evidence of money printing and in fact the Fed is currently removing money from the system.
Also it is not the government that prints money but rather the Fed which is a bank. Banks don’t like to be paid back with inflated dollars so I’m not seeing their motivation in promoting/allowing a long term inflationary scenario.
April 29, 2008 at 10:56 PM in reply to: Inflation as a risk factor; it may be time to buy soon #196528capeman
Participantstockstradr, you’re going to have to get some evidence on the money printing theory before making an argument like this. There is no evidence of money printing and in fact the Fed is currently removing money from the system.
Also it is not the government that prints money but rather the Fed which is a bank. Banks don’t like to be paid back with inflated dollars so I’m not seeing their motivation in promoting/allowing a long term inflationary scenario.
April 28, 2008 at 8:50 PM in reply to: Inflation as a risk factor; it may be time to buy soon #195926capeman
ParticipantI have to agree with barnaby on this one. When you’ve got $trillions$ of dollars in bad paper about to disappear when they finally get marked to market (someday in the not so distant future) your inflation thesis goes out the window. Buying a house at low interest rates under that assumption will likely lose you a lot more than the 10% you’ve seen fly out of your stock portfolio. On the brighter side only losing 10% so far in stocks you’re doing a lot better than those with 401Ks and mutual funds.
April 28, 2008 at 8:50 PM in reply to: Inflation as a risk factor; it may be time to buy soon #195958capeman
ParticipantI have to agree with barnaby on this one. When you’ve got $trillions$ of dollars in bad paper about to disappear when they finally get marked to market (someday in the not so distant future) your inflation thesis goes out the window. Buying a house at low interest rates under that assumption will likely lose you a lot more than the 10% you’ve seen fly out of your stock portfolio. On the brighter side only losing 10% so far in stocks you’re doing a lot better than those with 401Ks and mutual funds.
April 28, 2008 at 8:50 PM in reply to: Inflation as a risk factor; it may be time to buy soon #195982capeman
ParticipantI have to agree with barnaby on this one. When you’ve got $trillions$ of dollars in bad paper about to disappear when they finally get marked to market (someday in the not so distant future) your inflation thesis goes out the window. Buying a house at low interest rates under that assumption will likely lose you a lot more than the 10% you’ve seen fly out of your stock portfolio. On the brighter side only losing 10% so far in stocks you’re doing a lot better than those with 401Ks and mutual funds.
April 28, 2008 at 8:50 PM in reply to: Inflation as a risk factor; it may be time to buy soon #196002capeman
ParticipantI have to agree with barnaby on this one. When you’ve got $trillions$ of dollars in bad paper about to disappear when they finally get marked to market (someday in the not so distant future) your inflation thesis goes out the window. Buying a house at low interest rates under that assumption will likely lose you a lot more than the 10% you’ve seen fly out of your stock portfolio. On the brighter side only losing 10% so far in stocks you’re doing a lot better than those with 401Ks and mutual funds.
April 28, 2008 at 8:50 PM in reply to: Inflation as a risk factor; it may be time to buy soon #196045capeman
ParticipantI have to agree with barnaby on this one. When you’ve got $trillions$ of dollars in bad paper about to disappear when they finally get marked to market (someday in the not so distant future) your inflation thesis goes out the window. Buying a house at low interest rates under that assumption will likely lose you a lot more than the 10% you’ve seen fly out of your stock portfolio. On the brighter side only losing 10% so far in stocks you’re doing a lot better than those with 401Ks and mutual funds.
capeman
ParticipantOC – I don’t know how they’re model works but you can download historical data for a house then download the same history 6 months to a year later and the entire historical has changed. Either they are constantly shifting their models, which if they are they should be explaining that to remain credible, or the process is being automated and filled based on what could be fraudulent data that is being published. Either way without explaining what is going on there is absolutely no credibility to their service.
capeman
ParticipantOC – I don’t know how they’re model works but you can download historical data for a house then download the same history 6 months to a year later and the entire historical has changed. Either they are constantly shifting their models, which if they are they should be explaining that to remain credible, or the process is being automated and filled based on what could be fraudulent data that is being published. Either way without explaining what is going on there is absolutely no credibility to their service.
capeman
ParticipantOC – I don’t know how they’re model works but you can download historical data for a house then download the same history 6 months to a year later and the entire historical has changed. Either they are constantly shifting their models, which if they are they should be explaining that to remain credible, or the process is being automated and filled based on what could be fraudulent data that is being published. Either way without explaining what is going on there is absolutely no credibility to their service.
capeman
ParticipantOC – I don’t know how they’re model works but you can download historical data for a house then download the same history 6 months to a year later and the entire historical has changed. Either they are constantly shifting their models, which if they are they should be explaining that to remain credible, or the process is being automated and filled based on what could be fraudulent data that is being published. Either way without explaining what is going on there is absolutely no credibility to their service.
capeman
ParticipantOC – I don’t know how they’re model works but you can download historical data for a house then download the same history 6 months to a year later and the entire historical has changed. Either they are constantly shifting their models, which if they are they should be explaining that to remain credible, or the process is being automated and filled based on what could be fraudulent data that is being published. Either way without explaining what is going on there is absolutely no credibility to their service.
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