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Akula1992Participant
I have been tracking this market from the confines of the East Coast and all I really have is anecdotal data – which is to say that I have no real data. I have two friends that own houses in the village section and both are trying to sell but neither have had any luck. Both have lowered their asking prices between 15 and 20% and both houses appear to be fairly priced but(for an SFR). I suppose we will just have to see.
IIRC, I read elsewhere that during the last housing decline it hit Coronado just like it hit everywhere else. It just happened that this market was the last to capitulate. I expect the same thing will happen this go around as well with one reservation: The last time the slope of the curve for declines was rather shallow and lasted long enough for pretty much everyone to be shaken out. The decline this time is so steep that the duration of the down market might not be long enough to shake out all the owners that are on the edge. If a) Coronado is the last to go, and b) home prices fall so far so fast that outlying markets start recovering, it might not be enough to induce the kind of market fear in Coronado that is needed to produce the really big declines. Through a purely academic lens this is very interesting to watch.
Akula1992ParticipantI have been tracking this market from the confines of the East Coast and all I really have is anecdotal data – which is to say that I have no real data. I have two friends that own houses in the village section and both are trying to sell but neither have had any luck. Both have lowered their asking prices between 15 and 20% and both houses appear to be fairly priced but(for an SFR). I suppose we will just have to see.
IIRC, I read elsewhere that during the last housing decline it hit Coronado just like it hit everywhere else. It just happened that this market was the last to capitulate. I expect the same thing will happen this go around as well with one reservation: The last time the slope of the curve for declines was rather shallow and lasted long enough for pretty much everyone to be shaken out. The decline this time is so steep that the duration of the down market might not be long enough to shake out all the owners that are on the edge. If a) Coronado is the last to go, and b) home prices fall so far so fast that outlying markets start recovering, it might not be enough to induce the kind of market fear in Coronado that is needed to produce the really big declines. Through a purely academic lens this is very interesting to watch.
Akula1992ParticipantI have been tracking this market from the confines of the East Coast and all I really have is anecdotal data – which is to say that I have no real data. I have two friends that own houses in the village section and both are trying to sell but neither have had any luck. Both have lowered their asking prices between 15 and 20% and both houses appear to be fairly priced but(for an SFR). I suppose we will just have to see.
IIRC, I read elsewhere that during the last housing decline it hit Coronado just like it hit everywhere else. It just happened that this market was the last to capitulate. I expect the same thing will happen this go around as well with one reservation: The last time the slope of the curve for declines was rather shallow and lasted long enough for pretty much everyone to be shaken out. The decline this time is so steep that the duration of the down market might not be long enough to shake out all the owners that are on the edge. If a) Coronado is the last to go, and b) home prices fall so far so fast that outlying markets start recovering, it might not be enough to induce the kind of market fear in Coronado that is needed to produce the really big declines. Through a purely academic lens this is very interesting to watch.
Akula1992ParticipantI have been tracking this market from the confines of the East Coast and all I really have is anecdotal data – which is to say that I have no real data. I have two friends that own houses in the village section and both are trying to sell but neither have had any luck. Both have lowered their asking prices between 15 and 20% and both houses appear to be fairly priced but(for an SFR). I suppose we will just have to see.
IIRC, I read elsewhere that during the last housing decline it hit Coronado just like it hit everywhere else. It just happened that this market was the last to capitulate. I expect the same thing will happen this go around as well with one reservation: The last time the slope of the curve for declines was rather shallow and lasted long enough for pretty much everyone to be shaken out. The decline this time is so steep that the duration of the down market might not be long enough to shake out all the owners that are on the edge. If a) Coronado is the last to go, and b) home prices fall so far so fast that outlying markets start recovering, it might not be enough to induce the kind of market fear in Coronado that is needed to produce the really big declines. Through a purely academic lens this is very interesting to watch.
Akula1992ParticipantI have been tracking this market from the confines of the East Coast and all I really have is anecdotal data – which is to say that I have no real data. I have two friends that own houses in the village section and both are trying to sell but neither have had any luck. Both have lowered their asking prices between 15 and 20% and both houses appear to be fairly priced but(for an SFR). I suppose we will just have to see.
IIRC, I read elsewhere that during the last housing decline it hit Coronado just like it hit everywhere else. It just happened that this market was the last to capitulate. I expect the same thing will happen this go around as well with one reservation: The last time the slope of the curve for declines was rather shallow and lasted long enough for pretty much everyone to be shaken out. The decline this time is so steep that the duration of the down market might not be long enough to shake out all the owners that are on the edge. If a) Coronado is the last to go, and b) home prices fall so far so fast that outlying markets start recovering, it might not be enough to induce the kind of market fear in Coronado that is needed to produce the really big declines. Through a purely academic lens this is very interesting to watch.
Akula1992ParticipantBugs. I think I agree with you.
Nevertheless, every time I see a poster of Obama with the words, “HOPE” in big letters on it I have one thought that comes from years and years of military training: Hope is not a military course of action.
I want a plan. A verifiable, concrete and workable course of action. The first candidate that can do that has my vote.
Akula1992ParticipantBugs. I think I agree with you.
Nevertheless, every time I see a poster of Obama with the words, “HOPE” in big letters on it I have one thought that comes from years and years of military training: Hope is not a military course of action.
I want a plan. A verifiable, concrete and workable course of action. The first candidate that can do that has my vote.
Akula1992ParticipantBugs. I think I agree with you.
Nevertheless, every time I see a poster of Obama with the words, “HOPE” in big letters on it I have one thought that comes from years and years of military training: Hope is not a military course of action.
I want a plan. A verifiable, concrete and workable course of action. The first candidate that can do that has my vote.
Akula1992ParticipantBugs. I think I agree with you.
Nevertheless, every time I see a poster of Obama with the words, “HOPE” in big letters on it I have one thought that comes from years and years of military training: Hope is not a military course of action.
I want a plan. A verifiable, concrete and workable course of action. The first candidate that can do that has my vote.
Akula1992ParticipantBugs. I think I agree with you.
Nevertheless, every time I see a poster of Obama with the words, “HOPE” in big letters on it I have one thought that comes from years and years of military training: Hope is not a military course of action.
I want a plan. A verifiable, concrete and workable course of action. The first candidate that can do that has my vote.
Akula1992ParticipantDWCAP,
Thanks, but it isn’t my analogy. I’m not quite that clever.
Now what I think would be a lot of fun is to get a bunch of us in a room together to actually discuss this topic. I’m afraid I make more sense in person than in prose. My undergrad degree is a BS in ECON(how a propos) and I just enjoy discussing Economics in general.
A friend of mine from a few years back had a pretty awesome educational background. She was undergrad at Princeton and got her Masters at Carnegie Mellon. She was hauling down the big bucks working in New York. She decided to give that up and when I met her she was finishing her PhD at Harvard. She mentioned to me at the time that she was dooming herself to a life of poverty by getting the PhD. Seems that while she was very employable with the MS degree she was less so with the more advanced degree. This was borne out by her past doctoral wages, I’m afraid to say.
An associate of mine shared some of his beliefs that seem to fall closely with my own. Since he is much more elegant than me, I will use his words:
“I believe that democracy is the worst possible form of government, except for all the others.
I believe that liberals are builders, and conservatives are defenders. I believe that both are important.
I believe that government’s primary functions should be to defend the borders and deliver the mail in a timely fashion. Everything else is pretty much discretionary, open to debate and subject to revision. People don’t really want to be governed, but they need to be. Still, I believe that government is best which governs least.
I believe freedom is more important than equality. If the only way to make things more equal is to reduce freedom, I’m not interested. Human nature being what it is, equality will have to be enforced, while freedom will have to be defended. I’d rather be a defender than an enforcer.
I believe that taxes are a necessary evil. The fact that they are necessary should not obscure the fact that they are evil. You work to provide for your family, and the government asks a share of the bread wrung from the sweat of your brow. Societies have responsibilities, but only because they collectively choose to. There is a social contract in effect: We do owe our less advantaged brothers and sisters the chance to pull themselves up out of the mire. But they owe it to us to take that chance.
I believe that the taxation system is fundamentally coercive: It may be your money, you may have earned it through your labor, but if you don’t pay, eventually a man with a gun will show up at your doorstep and take you away.
I believe in privacy.
I believe in charity.
I believe in virtue.
I believe that charity is a private virtue.
I believe in personal responsibility.
I believe that choices are actions, and that actions have consequences. If you didn’t pick up on this growing up, you weren’t paying attention.
I believe that a market economy offers the best opportunity to live a good life to the most number of people. If you believe differently, I’d like to see your analysis.
I believe that if I choose to work hard in high school to get to a good college, work hard at my career in pursuit of a better life for my family, and save money for my retirement, that shouldn’t make me a piggy bank to plunder for those who didn’t make those choices. If you choose to teach or “help people,” because that’s important to you, you shouldn’t be surprised if the market disfavors those choices in favor of those who actually make tangible things for other folks to buy. That’s what markets do, and ours is a market economy. You should be content instead with the non-remunerative rewards of your chosen field.
I believe that if everyone took responsibility for those people and those things that they can directly impact (family comes to mind, friends and neighbors come next), that the world would be a far better place. Think globally, act family.
I believe it’s time for another beer.
I believe in sin.
I believe that envy is a sin.
I believe some people should be ashamed.
I believe that legislatures should legislate, executives should execute, and judiciaries should interpret.
I believe that what any of the three branches of government usurp the role of one of the others we have in some measure ceased to be that which we were justifiably proud of having been – a glorious experiment in personal liberty by self-government which is not yet demonstrably and finally a success.
I believe that Roe v. Wade was poorly found. I do not think judges should emanate into the penumbra. I find nothing in the Constitution that permits them to do so.
Notwithstanding the preceding, I believe in stare decisis.
I believe that the principal element in “the freedom of choice” should involve choosing to keep one’s knees together. Get that one right, everything else falls into place.
I believe that humanity is not a birthright, but a testable proposition. I believe that society has the right to defend itself against people who commit horrible crimes, and punish them proportionately. I believe that right includes the ultimate sanction. I believe that there are those who look like us that are not of us, who by their acts of inhumanity have proven that they are not human in that fundamental way that separates us from other mammals. I shed no tears when vicious murderers are put down, pour encourager les autres.
I believe that the DH rule spoils the game.
I believe that not all change is progress.
I believe in the law of unintended consequences.
I believe in learning from those who went before: Quo desiderat pacem, para bellum
I believe in passion.
I believe that rational analysis will always win in an argument with passionate beliefs.
I believe that wrestling with pigs is counterproductive. You just get dirty, and the pig enjoys it.
I believe that people of good will may disagree. I believe the other guy often has a point. I think he probably got there through a valid process. I don’t believe that disagreeing with him necessarily makes me a bad person. I believe that anyone who truly believes that it does is not worth arguing with. If you don’t agree, please see preceding belief.”
I still read that every now and then and I have redacted a couple things that I do not personally believe in, but it still cuts pretty close to home
Akula1992ParticipantDWCAP,
Thanks, but it isn’t my analogy. I’m not quite that clever.
Now what I think would be a lot of fun is to get a bunch of us in a room together to actually discuss this topic. I’m afraid I make more sense in person than in prose. My undergrad degree is a BS in ECON(how a propos) and I just enjoy discussing Economics in general.
A friend of mine from a few years back had a pretty awesome educational background. She was undergrad at Princeton and got her Masters at Carnegie Mellon. She was hauling down the big bucks working in New York. She decided to give that up and when I met her she was finishing her PhD at Harvard. She mentioned to me at the time that she was dooming herself to a life of poverty by getting the PhD. Seems that while she was very employable with the MS degree she was less so with the more advanced degree. This was borne out by her past doctoral wages, I’m afraid to say.
An associate of mine shared some of his beliefs that seem to fall closely with my own. Since he is much more elegant than me, I will use his words:
“I believe that democracy is the worst possible form of government, except for all the others.
I believe that liberals are builders, and conservatives are defenders. I believe that both are important.
I believe that government’s primary functions should be to defend the borders and deliver the mail in a timely fashion. Everything else is pretty much discretionary, open to debate and subject to revision. People don’t really want to be governed, but they need to be. Still, I believe that government is best which governs least.
I believe freedom is more important than equality. If the only way to make things more equal is to reduce freedom, I’m not interested. Human nature being what it is, equality will have to be enforced, while freedom will have to be defended. I’d rather be a defender than an enforcer.
I believe that taxes are a necessary evil. The fact that they are necessary should not obscure the fact that they are evil. You work to provide for your family, and the government asks a share of the bread wrung from the sweat of your brow. Societies have responsibilities, but only because they collectively choose to. There is a social contract in effect: We do owe our less advantaged brothers and sisters the chance to pull themselves up out of the mire. But they owe it to us to take that chance.
I believe that the taxation system is fundamentally coercive: It may be your money, you may have earned it through your labor, but if you don’t pay, eventually a man with a gun will show up at your doorstep and take you away.
I believe in privacy.
I believe in charity.
I believe in virtue.
I believe that charity is a private virtue.
I believe in personal responsibility.
I believe that choices are actions, and that actions have consequences. If you didn’t pick up on this growing up, you weren’t paying attention.
I believe that a market economy offers the best opportunity to live a good life to the most number of people. If you believe differently, I’d like to see your analysis.
I believe that if I choose to work hard in high school to get to a good college, work hard at my career in pursuit of a better life for my family, and save money for my retirement, that shouldn’t make me a piggy bank to plunder for those who didn’t make those choices. If you choose to teach or “help people,” because that’s important to you, you shouldn’t be surprised if the market disfavors those choices in favor of those who actually make tangible things for other folks to buy. That’s what markets do, and ours is a market economy. You should be content instead with the non-remunerative rewards of your chosen field.
I believe that if everyone took responsibility for those people and those things that they can directly impact (family comes to mind, friends and neighbors come next), that the world would be a far better place. Think globally, act family.
I believe it’s time for another beer.
I believe in sin.
I believe that envy is a sin.
I believe some people should be ashamed.
I believe that legislatures should legislate, executives should execute, and judiciaries should interpret.
I believe that what any of the three branches of government usurp the role of one of the others we have in some measure ceased to be that which we were justifiably proud of having been – a glorious experiment in personal liberty by self-government which is not yet demonstrably and finally a success.
I believe that Roe v. Wade was poorly found. I do not think judges should emanate into the penumbra. I find nothing in the Constitution that permits them to do so.
Notwithstanding the preceding, I believe in stare decisis.
I believe that the principal element in “the freedom of choice” should involve choosing to keep one’s knees together. Get that one right, everything else falls into place.
I believe that humanity is not a birthright, but a testable proposition. I believe that society has the right to defend itself against people who commit horrible crimes, and punish them proportionately. I believe that right includes the ultimate sanction. I believe that there are those who look like us that are not of us, who by their acts of inhumanity have proven that they are not human in that fundamental way that separates us from other mammals. I shed no tears when vicious murderers are put down, pour encourager les autres.
I believe that the DH rule spoils the game.
I believe that not all change is progress.
I believe in the law of unintended consequences.
I believe in learning from those who went before: Quo desiderat pacem, para bellum
I believe in passion.
I believe that rational analysis will always win in an argument with passionate beliefs.
I believe that wrestling with pigs is counterproductive. You just get dirty, and the pig enjoys it.
I believe that people of good will may disagree. I believe the other guy often has a point. I think he probably got there through a valid process. I don’t believe that disagreeing with him necessarily makes me a bad person. I believe that anyone who truly believes that it does is not worth arguing with. If you don’t agree, please see preceding belief.”
I still read that every now and then and I have redacted a couple things that I do not personally believe in, but it still cuts pretty close to home
Akula1992ParticipantDWCAP,
Thanks, but it isn’t my analogy. I’m not quite that clever.
Now what I think would be a lot of fun is to get a bunch of us in a room together to actually discuss this topic. I’m afraid I make more sense in person than in prose. My undergrad degree is a BS in ECON(how a propos) and I just enjoy discussing Economics in general.
A friend of mine from a few years back had a pretty awesome educational background. She was undergrad at Princeton and got her Masters at Carnegie Mellon. She was hauling down the big bucks working in New York. She decided to give that up and when I met her she was finishing her PhD at Harvard. She mentioned to me at the time that she was dooming herself to a life of poverty by getting the PhD. Seems that while she was very employable with the MS degree she was less so with the more advanced degree. This was borne out by her past doctoral wages, I’m afraid to say.
An associate of mine shared some of his beliefs that seem to fall closely with my own. Since he is much more elegant than me, I will use his words:
“I believe that democracy is the worst possible form of government, except for all the others.
I believe that liberals are builders, and conservatives are defenders. I believe that both are important.
I believe that government’s primary functions should be to defend the borders and deliver the mail in a timely fashion. Everything else is pretty much discretionary, open to debate and subject to revision. People don’t really want to be governed, but they need to be. Still, I believe that government is best which governs least.
I believe freedom is more important than equality. If the only way to make things more equal is to reduce freedom, I’m not interested. Human nature being what it is, equality will have to be enforced, while freedom will have to be defended. I’d rather be a defender than an enforcer.
I believe that taxes are a necessary evil. The fact that they are necessary should not obscure the fact that they are evil. You work to provide for your family, and the government asks a share of the bread wrung from the sweat of your brow. Societies have responsibilities, but only because they collectively choose to. There is a social contract in effect: We do owe our less advantaged brothers and sisters the chance to pull themselves up out of the mire. But they owe it to us to take that chance.
I believe that the taxation system is fundamentally coercive: It may be your money, you may have earned it through your labor, but if you don’t pay, eventually a man with a gun will show up at your doorstep and take you away.
I believe in privacy.
I believe in charity.
I believe in virtue.
I believe that charity is a private virtue.
I believe in personal responsibility.
I believe that choices are actions, and that actions have consequences. If you didn’t pick up on this growing up, you weren’t paying attention.
I believe that a market economy offers the best opportunity to live a good life to the most number of people. If you believe differently, I’d like to see your analysis.
I believe that if I choose to work hard in high school to get to a good college, work hard at my career in pursuit of a better life for my family, and save money for my retirement, that shouldn’t make me a piggy bank to plunder for those who didn’t make those choices. If you choose to teach or “help people,” because that’s important to you, you shouldn’t be surprised if the market disfavors those choices in favor of those who actually make tangible things for other folks to buy. That’s what markets do, and ours is a market economy. You should be content instead with the non-remunerative rewards of your chosen field.
I believe that if everyone took responsibility for those people and those things that they can directly impact (family comes to mind, friends and neighbors come next), that the world would be a far better place. Think globally, act family.
I believe it’s time for another beer.
I believe in sin.
I believe that envy is a sin.
I believe some people should be ashamed.
I believe that legislatures should legislate, executives should execute, and judiciaries should interpret.
I believe that what any of the three branches of government usurp the role of one of the others we have in some measure ceased to be that which we were justifiably proud of having been – a glorious experiment in personal liberty by self-government which is not yet demonstrably and finally a success.
I believe that Roe v. Wade was poorly found. I do not think judges should emanate into the penumbra. I find nothing in the Constitution that permits them to do so.
Notwithstanding the preceding, I believe in stare decisis.
I believe that the principal element in “the freedom of choice” should involve choosing to keep one’s knees together. Get that one right, everything else falls into place.
I believe that humanity is not a birthright, but a testable proposition. I believe that society has the right to defend itself against people who commit horrible crimes, and punish them proportionately. I believe that right includes the ultimate sanction. I believe that there are those who look like us that are not of us, who by their acts of inhumanity have proven that they are not human in that fundamental way that separates us from other mammals. I shed no tears when vicious murderers are put down, pour encourager les autres.
I believe that the DH rule spoils the game.
I believe that not all change is progress.
I believe in the law of unintended consequences.
I believe in learning from those who went before: Quo desiderat pacem, para bellum
I believe in passion.
I believe that rational analysis will always win in an argument with passionate beliefs.
I believe that wrestling with pigs is counterproductive. You just get dirty, and the pig enjoys it.
I believe that people of good will may disagree. I believe the other guy often has a point. I think he probably got there through a valid process. I don’t believe that disagreeing with him necessarily makes me a bad person. I believe that anyone who truly believes that it does is not worth arguing with. If you don’t agree, please see preceding belief.”
I still read that every now and then and I have redacted a couple things that I do not personally believe in, but it still cuts pretty close to home
Akula1992ParticipantDWCAP,
Thanks, but it isn’t my analogy. I’m not quite that clever.
Now what I think would be a lot of fun is to get a bunch of us in a room together to actually discuss this topic. I’m afraid I make more sense in person than in prose. My undergrad degree is a BS in ECON(how a propos) and I just enjoy discussing Economics in general.
A friend of mine from a few years back had a pretty awesome educational background. She was undergrad at Princeton and got her Masters at Carnegie Mellon. She was hauling down the big bucks working in New York. She decided to give that up and when I met her she was finishing her PhD at Harvard. She mentioned to me at the time that she was dooming herself to a life of poverty by getting the PhD. Seems that while she was very employable with the MS degree she was less so with the more advanced degree. This was borne out by her past doctoral wages, I’m afraid to say.
An associate of mine shared some of his beliefs that seem to fall closely with my own. Since he is much more elegant than me, I will use his words:
“I believe that democracy is the worst possible form of government, except for all the others.
I believe that liberals are builders, and conservatives are defenders. I believe that both are important.
I believe that government’s primary functions should be to defend the borders and deliver the mail in a timely fashion. Everything else is pretty much discretionary, open to debate and subject to revision. People don’t really want to be governed, but they need to be. Still, I believe that government is best which governs least.
I believe freedom is more important than equality. If the only way to make things more equal is to reduce freedom, I’m not interested. Human nature being what it is, equality will have to be enforced, while freedom will have to be defended. I’d rather be a defender than an enforcer.
I believe that taxes are a necessary evil. The fact that they are necessary should not obscure the fact that they are evil. You work to provide for your family, and the government asks a share of the bread wrung from the sweat of your brow. Societies have responsibilities, but only because they collectively choose to. There is a social contract in effect: We do owe our less advantaged brothers and sisters the chance to pull themselves up out of the mire. But they owe it to us to take that chance.
I believe that the taxation system is fundamentally coercive: It may be your money, you may have earned it through your labor, but if you don’t pay, eventually a man with a gun will show up at your doorstep and take you away.
I believe in privacy.
I believe in charity.
I believe in virtue.
I believe that charity is a private virtue.
I believe in personal responsibility.
I believe that choices are actions, and that actions have consequences. If you didn’t pick up on this growing up, you weren’t paying attention.
I believe that a market economy offers the best opportunity to live a good life to the most number of people. If you believe differently, I’d like to see your analysis.
I believe that if I choose to work hard in high school to get to a good college, work hard at my career in pursuit of a better life for my family, and save money for my retirement, that shouldn’t make me a piggy bank to plunder for those who didn’t make those choices. If you choose to teach or “help people,” because that’s important to you, you shouldn’t be surprised if the market disfavors those choices in favor of those who actually make tangible things for other folks to buy. That’s what markets do, and ours is a market economy. You should be content instead with the non-remunerative rewards of your chosen field.
I believe that if everyone took responsibility for those people and those things that they can directly impact (family comes to mind, friends and neighbors come next), that the world would be a far better place. Think globally, act family.
I believe it’s time for another beer.
I believe in sin.
I believe that envy is a sin.
I believe some people should be ashamed.
I believe that legislatures should legislate, executives should execute, and judiciaries should interpret.
I believe that what any of the three branches of government usurp the role of one of the others we have in some measure ceased to be that which we were justifiably proud of having been – a glorious experiment in personal liberty by self-government which is not yet demonstrably and finally a success.
I believe that Roe v. Wade was poorly found. I do not think judges should emanate into the penumbra. I find nothing in the Constitution that permits them to do so.
Notwithstanding the preceding, I believe in stare decisis.
I believe that the principal element in “the freedom of choice” should involve choosing to keep one’s knees together. Get that one right, everything else falls into place.
I believe that humanity is not a birthright, but a testable proposition. I believe that society has the right to defend itself against people who commit horrible crimes, and punish them proportionately. I believe that right includes the ultimate sanction. I believe that there are those who look like us that are not of us, who by their acts of inhumanity have proven that they are not human in that fundamental way that separates us from other mammals. I shed no tears when vicious murderers are put down, pour encourager les autres.
I believe that the DH rule spoils the game.
I believe that not all change is progress.
I believe in the law of unintended consequences.
I believe in learning from those who went before: Quo desiderat pacem, para bellum
I believe in passion.
I believe that rational analysis will always win in an argument with passionate beliefs.
I believe that wrestling with pigs is counterproductive. You just get dirty, and the pig enjoys it.
I believe that people of good will may disagree. I believe the other guy often has a point. I think he probably got there through a valid process. I don’t believe that disagreeing with him necessarily makes me a bad person. I believe that anyone who truly believes that it does is not worth arguing with. If you don’t agree, please see preceding belief.”
I still read that every now and then and I have redacted a couple things that I do not personally believe in, but it still cuts pretty close to home
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AuthorPosts