The last of the RE Permabull Trolls???

[JWM in SD]

Seems to me that this site is getting a rash of trolls lately. Is this a sign of capitulation and desperation??

[poorgradstudent]

I think there’s more new names in general lately, probably a sign of more people interested in the real estate bubble, specifically local impact, as the mainstream media continues reporting on it. Most of the people who stick around range from moderately to extremely bearish, while newbies probably run the full spectrum.

[poorgradstudent]

I think there’s more new names in general lately, probably a sign of more people interested in the real estate bubble, specifically local impact, as the mainstream media continues reporting on it. Most of the people who stick around range from moderately to extremely bearish, while newbies probably run the full spectrum.

[Bugs]

I dunno about most of the bulls being trolls. I think that most of them just don’t have a handle on any of the data or the mind-numbing analyses it takes to glean any meaning from the data to even have opinions of their own yet. They mostly seem to be parroting back the lines that the NAR and MSM were feeding them for all these years.

A lot of people made a lot of money by following that herd in the past. I can see why some of them are reluctant to recognize that over the long haul the market runs in tandem with the trend for wages and population.

[Bugs]

I dunno about most of the bulls being trolls. I think that most of them just don’t have a handle on any of the data or the mind-numbing analyses it takes to glean any meaning from the data to even have opinions of their own yet. They mostly seem to be parroting back the lines that the NAR and MSM were feeding them for all these years.

A lot of people made a lot of money by following that herd in the past. I can see why some of them are reluctant to recognize that over the long haul the market runs in tandem with the trend for wages and population.

[JWM in SD]

I don’t completely agree bugs. These posts are fairly regular and definitely have a bias.

[JWM in SD]

I don’t completely agree bugs. These posts are fairly regular and definitely have a bias.

[(former)FormerSanDiegan]

I actually think it’s healthy to see these posts occasionally.
(Just maybe not as often as they happen). It’s a good idea to review current conditions every 3-6 months, re-think the logic and re-do the math. If a housing bull assumed that prices rise 12% per year and get it stuck in their head, they may be in trouble now. Conversely, if a housing bear assumes that prices will drop 40% from the peak and get that stuck in their head, they might miss the fact that by 2010 inflation will have already eaten up 15-20% and the 20% nominal price drop is the bottom. (the preceding numbers were for purposes of illustration and not an actual prediction… well, unless it actually happens that way).

Knowledge comes from questioning your assumptions.

[(former)FormerSanDiegan]

I actually think it’s healthy to see these posts occasionally.
(Just maybe not as often as they happen). It’s a good idea to review current conditions every 3-6 months, re-think the logic and re-do the math. If a housing bull assumed that prices rise 12% per year and get it stuck in their head, they may be in trouble now. Conversely, if a housing bear assumes that prices will drop 40% from the peak and get that stuck in their head, they might miss the fact that by 2010 inflation will have already eaten up 15-20% and the 20% nominal price drop is the bottom. (the preceding numbers were for purposes of illustration and not an actual prediction… well, unless it actually happens that way).

Knowledge comes from questioning your assumptions.

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