Average SD family 2000 vs 2010

[CA renter]

[quote=AN][quote=CA renter]
Federal workers who’ve seen this kind of increase are very likely to see steep cuts in the coming 10 years. IMHO, the public sector (at all levels) leads the next leg down.[/quote]
Lets revisit this thread in 10 years. I don’t have a crystal ball, so I can’t really give you any opposition. However, SANDAG have their own crystal ball and their crystal ball seem to be giving different number than yours: http://profilewarehouse.sandag.org/profiles/fcst/reg999fcst.pdf. What’s your thought?[/quote]

I didn’t give any numbers other than a 10-year timeframe, and am not referring specifically to San Diego.

There is no way around it, government entities are going to take a hit. Look at all the hysteria about public pay and the public deficits — at all levels. Once the govt jobs are eliminated and the pay/benefits reduced, the rug will be ripped out from under U.S. workers — public AND private — because the public sector has set a floor for wages and benefits for ALL workers. If private sector jobs didn’t provide adequate pay and benefits, people could just migrate to public sector jobs. As the public sector shrinks and the number of jobs are reduced (as will inevitably happen over the coming years), this option will disappear, and the private sector will not have to compete with the public sector for good employees. Additionally, as the pay and benefits in the public sector go down, the pay/benefits in the private sector will go down as well. All those screaming about the “evil” unions today will sorely regret their demise in the future.

[Eugene]

[quote=sdrealtor][quote=AN]Another interesting data I found is median age. in 1990, the median age in SD county was 31. In 2000, it went up to 33.2. In 2010, it’s 35.3.[/quote]

That is a very big change for a place to go through. Probably due to the shift away from a military dominated town to one that now has a major presence in private industries combined with people aging in place.[/quote]

That and falling birth rates. On the other hand, dynamics of the median age may yet reverse itself (briefly) because the median age for Hispanic people is still only 27.6 and they account for about two thirds of total population growth.

Looking too closely at profilewarehouse isn’t recommended, what they have is only estimates, and estimates come with assorted errors. One interesting error is in their estimates for 91902. I actually emailed them about it a year or two ago, but it’s still not fixed. Who’ll be the first to spot it?

[Eugene]

[quote=sdrealtor][quote=AN]Another interesting data I found is median age. in 1990, the median age in SD county was 31. In 2000, it went up to 33.2. In 2010, it’s 35.3.[/quote]

That is a very big change for a place to go through. Probably due to the shift away from a military dominated town to one that now has a major presence in private industries combined with people aging in place.[/quote]

That and falling birth rates. On the other hand, dynamics of the median age may yet reverse itself (briefly) because the median age for Hispanic people is still only 27.6 and they account for about two thirds of total population growth.

Looking too closely at profilewarehouse isn’t recommended, what they have is only estimates, and estimates come with assorted errors. One interesting error is in their estimates for 91902. I actually emailed them about it a year or two ago, but it’s still not fixed. Who’ll be the first to spot it?

[Eugene]

[quote=sdrealtor][quote=AN]Another interesting data I found is median age. in 1990, the median age in SD county was 31. In 2000, it went up to 33.2. In 2010, it’s 35.3.[/quote]

That is a very big change for a place to go through. Probably due to the shift away from a military dominated town to one that now has a major presence in private industries combined with people aging in place.[/quote]

That and falling birth rates. On the other hand, dynamics of the median age may yet reverse itself (briefly) because the median age for Hispanic people is still only 27.6 and they account for about two thirds of total population growth.

Looking too closely at profilewarehouse isn’t recommended, what they have is only estimates, and estimates come with assorted errors. One interesting error is in their estimates for 91902. I actually emailed them about it a year or two ago, but it’s still not fixed. Who’ll be the first to spot it?

[Eugene]

[quote=sdrealtor][quote=AN]Another interesting data I found is median age. in 1990, the median age in SD county was 31. In 2000, it went up to 33.2. In 2010, it’s 35.3.[/quote]

That is a very big change for a place to go through. Probably due to the shift away from a military dominated town to one that now has a major presence in private industries combined with people aging in place.[/quote]

That and falling birth rates. On the other hand, dynamics of the median age may yet reverse itself (briefly) because the median age for Hispanic people is still only 27.6 and they account for about two thirds of total population growth.

Looking too closely at profilewarehouse isn’t recommended, what they have is only estimates, and estimates come with assorted errors. One interesting error is in their estimates for 91902. I actually emailed them about it a year or two ago, but it’s still not fixed. Who’ll be the first to spot it?

[Eugene]

[quote=sdrealtor][quote=AN]Another interesting data I found is median age. in 1990, the median age in SD county was 31. In 2000, it went up to 33.2. In 2010, it’s 35.3.[/quote]

That is a very big change for a place to go through. Probably due to the shift away from a military dominated town to one that now has a major presence in private industries combined with people aging in place.[/quote]

That and falling birth rates. On the other hand, dynamics of the median age may yet reverse itself (briefly) because the median age for Hispanic people is still only 27.6 and they account for about two thirds of total population growth.

Looking too closely at profilewarehouse isn’t recommended, what they have is only estimates, and estimates come with assorted errors. One interesting error is in their estimates for 91902. I actually emailed them about it a year or two ago, but it’s still not fixed. Who’ll be the first to spot it?

[Scarlett]

[quote=AN]Another interesting data I found is median age. in 1990, the median age in SD county was 31. In 2000, it went up to 33.2. In 2010, it’s 35.3.[/quote]

That would support my hypothesis that we lost or not attract as many young people as in the past due to home affordability, fewer or worse paid entry jobs/junior positions or a combination of those. That (age) is an important factor in determining the median household income.

[Scarlett]

[quote=AN]Another interesting data I found is median age. in 1990, the median age in SD county was 31. In 2000, it went up to 33.2. In 2010, it’s 35.3.[/quote]

That would support my hypothesis that we lost or not attract as many young people as in the past due to home affordability, fewer or worse paid entry jobs/junior positions or a combination of those. That (age) is an important factor in determining the median household income.

[Scarlett]

[quote=AN]Another interesting data I found is median age. in 1990, the median age in SD county was 31. In 2000, it went up to 33.2. In 2010, it’s 35.3.[/quote]

That would support my hypothesis that we lost or not attract as many young people as in the past due to home affordability, fewer or worse paid entry jobs/junior positions or a combination of those. That (age) is an important factor in determining the median household income.

[Scarlett]

[quote=AN]Another interesting data I found is median age. in 1990, the median age in SD county was 31. In 2000, it went up to 33.2. In 2010, it’s 35.3.[/quote]

That would support my hypothesis that we lost or not attract as many young people as in the past due to home affordability, fewer or worse paid entry jobs/junior positions or a combination of those. That (age) is an important factor in determining the median household income.

[Scarlett]

[quote=AN]Another interesting data I found is median age. in 1990, the median age in SD county was 31. In 2000, it went up to 33.2. In 2010, it’s 35.3.[/quote]

That would support my hypothesis that we lost or not attract as many young people as in the past due to home affordability, fewer or worse paid entry jobs/junior positions or a combination of those. That (age) is an important factor in determining the median household income.

[sdrealtor]

I’d love to know but intuitively i dont agree with Scarlet. When I first came to SD in the mid 80’s I couldnt beleive how little industry there was here not related to the military or tourism. While those are still very large segments of our economy we have grown far beyond that. I beleive it has more to do with a shift from a military/tourisn dominated area (i.e. who are very young) and a shift toward more high tech industries (i.e. young professionals with college and grad degrees). It has also become a much higher profile retirement destination than it was in the past. While SD was well know in other parts of the western US for what it offered, it is only in the last 10 to 20 years that the east coast and much of the world have discovered what a gem SD is.

[sdrealtor]

I’d love to know but intuitively i dont agree with Scarlet. When I first came to SD in the mid 80’s I couldnt beleive how little industry there was here not related to the military or tourism. While those are still very large segments of our economy we have grown far beyond that. I beleive it has more to do with a shift from a military/tourisn dominated area (i.e. who are very young) and a shift toward more high tech industries (i.e. young professionals with college and grad degrees). It has also become a much higher profile retirement destination than it was in the past. While SD was well know in other parts of the western US for what it offered, it is only in the last 10 to 20 years that the east coast and much of the world have discovered what a gem SD is.

[sdrealtor]

I’d love to know but intuitively i dont agree with Scarlet. When I first came to SD in the mid 80’s I couldnt beleive how little industry there was here not related to the military or tourism. While those are still very large segments of our economy we have grown far beyond that. I beleive it has more to do with a shift from a military/tourisn dominated area (i.e. who are very young) and a shift toward more high tech industries (i.e. young professionals with college and grad degrees). It has also become a much higher profile retirement destination than it was in the past. While SD was well know in other parts of the western US for what it offered, it is only in the last 10 to 20 years that the east coast and much of the world have discovered what a gem SD is.

[sdrealtor]

I’d love to know but intuitively i dont agree with Scarlet. When I first came to SD in the mid 80’s I couldnt beleive how little industry there was here not related to the military or tourism. While those are still very large segments of our economy we have grown far beyond that. I beleive it has more to do with a shift from a military/tourisn dominated area (i.e. who are very young) and a shift toward more high tech industries (i.e. young professionals with college and grad degrees). It has also become a much higher profile retirement destination than it was in the past. While SD was well know in other parts of the western US for what it offered, it is only in the last 10 to 20 years that the east coast and much of the world have discovered what a gem SD is.

[Author]

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