Home › Forums › Financial Markets/Economics › What are you planning to do in terms of asset allocation for 2015?
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December 26, 2014 at 4:53 PM #21353December 27, 2014 at 7:55 AM #781442The-ShovelerParticipant
Other than max’ing out the 401K and wife’s IRA, I don’t plan on doing much change.
I think 2015 will be a lot like 2014 except maybe the lower end gaining ground.December 27, 2014 at 3:59 PM #781452EconProfParticipantThat’s a good question and one everyone should be asking of themselves occasionally.
I am heavily into real estate in a weak area economically, but have done OK mainly because of the low interest rate environment. Have regularly refinanced into lower interest rate loans over the past 6 years. So cash flow is good because interest costs have been cut in half. Appreciation in values, not so good.
I am not at all into the stock market and wish I had been, since it is 2 1/2 times its low of about six years ago. Now it is so overvalued that I cannot imagine jumping in, which is exactly what I have thought for each of the past few years as it has gone up.December 27, 2014 at 7:09 PM #781454no_such_realityParticipantInvestment strategy 2015
1. Focus on my health. Goal 10% weight reduction thru proper eating
2. Premium annual passes to Disneyland for the family with a suitable set aside of dollar for the vists (child is still preschool). Our average visit is 13000 Steps so is a good blend of family tim end light continual activity
3. Big oil
4. My professional network
5. domestic and global large firms
6. Gold&Silver now if I could just figure out if it will crater or rocket. But it will probbly sit in a trading range.Hunting a new rental is too time consuming and the deals are pretty lean in OC now.
December 27, 2014 at 11:10 PM #781456scaredyclassicParticipantI think I’ll be investing heavily in home and land improvement with an eye toward renting the place out in the future
December 28, 2014 at 7:15 AM #781460CoronitaParticipant..No rubles?
December 28, 2014 at 7:47 AM #781461no_such_realityParticipantI’m not big speculating on currencies or most commodities I just don’t have a feel for it and know that by the time I figure it out there a lot of bigger guys already have and that puts me last to the party
December 30, 2014 at 7:22 PM #781525moneymakerParticipantWaiting for the big crash, then I’m all in.
December 31, 2014 at 6:31 AM #781542no_such_realityParticipant[quote=moneymaker]Waiting for the big crash, then I’m all in.[/quote]
I know people that have been doing that with housing since 2004…
January 2, 2015 at 1:44 PM #781578moneymakerParticipantI really thought the crash would have happened by now. I’m not sure why it hasn’t. Even though the jobs numbers look good, I’m pretty sure those jobs are on average lower paying than the jobs that were lost. If you read Rich’s article in the top right “This Chart Pretty Much Sums It Up” it is pretty obvious that there has to be a correction of sorts at some point. I’m better off this year than I was the year before, after I do my taxes I’ll feel better after taking the tax write off for solar.
January 2, 2015 at 8:50 PM #781579JazzmanParticipantI’d be interested to know if QE in Europe will have a similar effect on share values in Europe. It looks likely that QE will happen and shares are apparently cheap(er). It also looks very likely the USD will continue to gain strength. €1 = $1.21 at the moment so back to it’s all time average. Apart from that I only hold out hope that one day an passive index fund might look like good value. Finding a 5% net return on RE is a challenge even in sober states, where prices haven’t shot through the roof so much as inventory has all but dried up due to investor activity. RE still holds appeal for me but it takes a lot time to find anything. I put all excess money for household items, replacements, etc into collectables, antiques, and art. Anything from Christmas cards, cutlery, step ladders, tools, furniture, you name it. I figure these will all hold their value better than cash and may even appreciate. You just need a good eye and patience. The other investment is in continually updating my knowledge with courses and reading to gain a better understanding of these uncertain times.
January 3, 2015 at 4:01 AM #781588CA renterParticipantAgree with Jazzman. Time will tell. I’ve also been waiting for the next crash and am way too heavy in cash. Huge bummer. 🙁
The only good “investment” we’ve made in the past few years was buying our house in late 2011. Otherwise, it’s been mostly in cash and bonds that have been called or maturing too soon (wishing and hoping for another interest rate spike like we had in 2007).
Hope everyone thrives in 2015. Happy new year, Piggs!
January 3, 2015 at 8:05 AM #781590no_such_realityParticipantI think we are suffering a bit from not updating our investing yardsticks We are essentially still using criteria and expectations from 100 years ago. Sure we’ve shifted from dividend stocks to growth stocks accepting lack of dividends but we haven’t shifted our thinking from investment dollars being expensive to being cheap. The shift from retirement funds to 401ks and the growth of the state government funds have flooded investable products with cash.
Many years ago I read an article by a person saying stocks should have PEs that make them look more like bonds. I thought they were nuts at the time but I’m beginning to wonder if the stock market is more like the housing market with money being both cheap and plentiful.
Even if the market pulls back 30%. How fast will it come roaring back 40%?
Cut QE out and the market slows until the first companies put in a decent earning announcement.
Keep in mind there are twelve million high net worth individuals holding $46 trillion. And CalPers has over $260 billion representing 1.7 million with cash inflows of $12 billion a year for a net drain of about $5 billion annually. So while CalPers is a gorilla, they’re a dot in the aggregate
January 3, 2015 at 12:14 PM #781597UCGalParticipantI’m a little out of balance – but this is my target plan
Target (all index funds unless otherwise noted):
40% Large Cap stock
10% Small Cap stock
10% Int’l stock
(so 60% equities)25% domestic bonds
15% cash/CDs
(so 40% fixed income)The reason cash is so high is that I pull out 1 years worth of investment withdrawal at the beginning of the year. Cash will deplete over the course of the year.
We also have our very illiquid companion unit – it generates income but can’t be sold unless we sell our primary home. I don’t consider the primary home (and hence companion unit) in our “investable assets”.
I’m following a pretty simple “lazy portfolio”.
As far as new years resolutions – those aren’t financial (except to stay the course on my budget/investments)… I want to continue the dog walking exercise program for the new year. I want to eat healthy.
January 4, 2015 at 2:03 AM #781603CA renterParticipant[quote=no_such_reality]I think we are suffering a bit from not updating our investing yardsticks We are essentially still using criteria and expectations from 100 years ago. Sure we’ve shifted from dividend stocks to growth stocks accepting lack of dividends but we haven’t shifted our thinking from investment dollars being expensive to being cheap. The shift from retirement funds to 401ks and the growth of the state government funds have flooded investable products with cash.
Many years ago I read an article by a person saying stocks should have PEs that make them look more like bonds. I thought they were nuts at the time but I’m beginning to wonder if the stock market is more like the housing market with money being both cheap and plentiful.
Even if the market pulls back 30%. How fast will it come roaring back 40%?
Cut QE out and the market slows until the first companies put in a decent earning announcement.
Keep in mind there are twelve million high net worth individuals holding $46 trillion. And CalPers has over $260 billion representing 1.7 million with cash inflows of $12 billion a year for a net drain of about $5 billion annually. So while CalPers is a gorilla, they’re a dot in the aggregate[/quote]
Exactly. Too much money concentrated into too few hands all looking for places to grow their money into more money, which means that price of investable assets are too high, relatively speaking.
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