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SD Realtor
14 years ago

I think we could be coming to
I think we could be coming to an inflection point. One of the problems however is that SD County is way to diverse. I see areas of steady inventory growth and very poor active pending ratios. I also see areas of solid activity as well and some surprising strength in the price ranges we would not expect to see.

So yes for the past several weeks we have seen growth for a variety of reasons, yes the homebuyers credit contraction hurt, but IMO the unrealistic pricing due to a 2009 rally has added to a stagnanation of alot of supply. Lack of buyers is not as much of a problem. Buyers are more insightful now and wary of further downturn so that reluctance to buy into the rally has helped to blunt it. I think by the end of the summer we will have a clear direction. Things move slowly but personally our group is exercising alot more caution at the sales we go to because a trap may be coming.

34f3f3f
14 years ago
Reply to  SD Realtor

Thanks Rich for pointing out
Thanks Rich for pointing out that price declines are inverted on the graph. That foxed me for a while, as you’d instinctively expect declines to be in the lower half.

Where do your think this growing inventory is mostly coming from; foreclosures, or organic sales? We’ve read so much about this relationship in the past, and in the same breath as the shadow inventory, only to be informed later that lenders (may) have exercised a level of control over it.

pemeliza
14 years ago

I am not a realtor but I do
I am not a realtor but I do follow 92103 closely. Most of the inventory increase in that area is from organic sellers.

SD Realtor
14 years ago
Reply to  pemeliza

In a nutshell both. We were
In a nutshell both. We were going to look into a sale for a clairemont home in 92111. We backed off because in a quarter mile radius there were 4 investor owned places that all had price drops already. In other areas it is not like that. In 92103 for instance the number of at least detached homes that go at auction is miniscule. In 91913 it is not like that. Thus the variance is wild from area to area.