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gzz
gzz
5 years ago

Looks like low rates are not
Looks like low rates are not driving sales and inventory as much as expected. China conflict scaring away Chinese buyers?

San Diego is now the cheapest major city on the West Coast.

Hopefully a lot of employees of Google Amazon etc ask to be transferred to the SD office where they can get still buy a nice family home.

Also the biggest coastal city with a Republican mayor and pro-development city and county government.

spdrun
5 years ago
Reply to  gzz

^^^
It’s not only the Chinese

^^^

It’s not only the Chinese conflict — it’s instability and uncertainty about visa procedures scaring ALL non-US buyers. Would you buy a home in the US if you could be deported next month on some clown’s whim? Also, fundamentals (manufacturing, earnings, transportation/freight) aren’t looking as rosy as President 45 makes them out to be.

gzz
gzz
5 years ago
Reply to  spdrun

SPD, outside of Chinese
SPD, outside of Chinese buyers, fear of deportation does not make sense for high net worth foreigners. Even for the Chinese buyers, I don’t think the fear is actually a rational one. In fact, if I were Chinese I’d want a dollar-investment even more since China’s only real response to the tariffs is to weaken their currency against the dollar.

Also, the actual number of deportations is now about the same as under Obama. If Trump didn’t ramp them up when he had a GOP congress, he isn’t going to do it now.

Jared’s proposal is to actually increase higher skilled Asian immigrant visas, though of course no immigration bill is every going to become law in the next few years.

There is also the fact that Jared (and thus Trump’s grandchildren) is very invested in selling high end condos to buyers that are often foreign. The Kushners even have a EB5 “buy a condo, get a visa” project they are marketing right now. Unless it is sold out already, haven’t heard about it in the news recently.

carlsbadworker
5 years ago

Yes, according to data from
Yes, according to data from NAR, the foreign buyers dropped significantly:

https://www.cnbc.com/2019/07/17/foreign-purchases-of-american-homes-plunge-36percent-as-chinese-buyers-flee.html