Forum Replies Created
-
AuthorPosts
-
zk
ParticipantIt says “quiet cul-de-sac,” but I doubt it. Make sure you go there at rush hour (and probably any other hour, for that matter) and see what the noise level is from the very-near-by 56 freeway.
Also, even though you’re right next to the freeway, you’ve got to drive a couple miles through some traffic lights to actually get on the freeway.
The schools are, I’m pretty sure, Poway school district. You hear they’re great, and I’m sure they’re fine. But I think they’ve overrated. Anyway, they’re not as good as the schools that you go to if you live in the more western parts of Carmel Valley.
In short, there are reasons the house is less than 600k. Which is not to say that it’s not worth it (nor that it is). Just a few observations.
zk
ParticipantI felt the exact same way when I bought my house in Carmel Valley in May ’10, as you can see from my post at the time:
http://piggington.com/i_finally_bought_a_house_in_carmel_valley_prices_there_will_now
I had the additional predicament of having to buy when the tax credit had bumped up prices about 30-50k in CV if I wanted the lot I got, and most or all of that bump is gone already. But that’s a bit less than 3-5%, so if our predictions are correct, we’ve got a ways to go.
I, too, waited years and years. I, too, kept thinking prices would correct fairly soon. Every time there was something in the news that would seem to cause prices to fall, I’d think, “here we go.” But it kept not happening. Of course, at the time, that was frustrating. Now, of course, it’s encouraging. Prices are pretty much where they were before the tax credits. We’ll see if they continue down from here.
Anyway, my point, if it’s any consolation, is that, after a while, it’s less worrisome, for me, anyway, than it is when you’re actually plunking down the money and signing for a loan. Even though my outlook hasn’t really changed. I still think there are further declines in the future, and I still think it’ll be a while before I break even and have no future declines in store. I don’t think it’ll be 20 years. I suppose that’s possible, but I think that’d have to be a pretty unlikely “worst case scenario.”
My outlook hasn’t really changed, but I don’t worry about it much or come around piggington as often or think about it much at all. I just enjoy living here with my family and not having to worry about timing it anymore. I imagine it’ll be the same for you. Congratulations on your new home and good luck.
zk
ParticipantI felt the exact same way when I bought my house in Carmel Valley in May ’10, as you can see from my post at the time:
http://piggington.com/i_finally_bought_a_house_in_carmel_valley_prices_there_will_now
I had the additional predicament of having to buy when the tax credit had bumped up prices about 30-50k in CV if I wanted the lot I got, and most or all of that bump is gone already. But that’s a bit less than 3-5%, so if our predictions are correct, we’ve got a ways to go.
I, too, waited years and years. I, too, kept thinking prices would correct fairly soon. Every time there was something in the news that would seem to cause prices to fall, I’d think, “here we go.” But it kept not happening. Of course, at the time, that was frustrating. Now, of course, it’s encouraging. Prices are pretty much where they were before the tax credits. We’ll see if they continue down from here.
Anyway, my point, if it’s any consolation, is that, after a while, it’s less worrisome, for me, anyway, than it is when you’re actually plunking down the money and signing for a loan. Even though my outlook hasn’t really changed. I still think there are further declines in the future, and I still think it’ll be a while before I break even and have no future declines in store. I don’t think it’ll be 20 years. I suppose that’s possible, but I think that’d have to be a pretty unlikely “worst case scenario.”
My outlook hasn’t really changed, but I don’t worry about it much or come around piggington as often or think about it much at all. I just enjoy living here with my family and not having to worry about timing it anymore. I imagine it’ll be the same for you. Congratulations on your new home and good luck.
zk
ParticipantI felt the exact same way when I bought my house in Carmel Valley in May ’10, as you can see from my post at the time:
http://piggington.com/i_finally_bought_a_house_in_carmel_valley_prices_there_will_now
I had the additional predicament of having to buy when the tax credit had bumped up prices about 30-50k in CV if I wanted the lot I got, and most or all of that bump is gone already. But that’s a bit less than 3-5%, so if our predictions are correct, we’ve got a ways to go.
I, too, waited years and years. I, too, kept thinking prices would correct fairly soon. Every time there was something in the news that would seem to cause prices to fall, I’d think, “here we go.” But it kept not happening. Of course, at the time, that was frustrating. Now, of course, it’s encouraging. Prices are pretty much where they were before the tax credits. We’ll see if they continue down from here.
Anyway, my point, if it’s any consolation, is that, after a while, it’s less worrisome, for me, anyway, than it is when you’re actually plunking down the money and signing for a loan. Even though my outlook hasn’t really changed. I still think there are further declines in the future, and I still think it’ll be a while before I break even and have no future declines in store. I don’t think it’ll be 20 years. I suppose that’s possible, but I think that’d have to be a pretty unlikely “worst case scenario.”
My outlook hasn’t really changed, but I don’t worry about it much or come around piggington as often or think about it much at all. I just enjoy living here with my family and not having to worry about timing it anymore. I imagine it’ll be the same for you. Congratulations on your new home and good luck.
zk
ParticipantI felt the exact same way when I bought my house in Carmel Valley in May ’10, as you can see from my post at the time:
http://piggington.com/i_finally_bought_a_house_in_carmel_valley_prices_there_will_now
I had the additional predicament of having to buy when the tax credit had bumped up prices about 30-50k in CV if I wanted the lot I got, and most or all of that bump is gone already. But that’s a bit less than 3-5%, so if our predictions are correct, we’ve got a ways to go.
I, too, waited years and years. I, too, kept thinking prices would correct fairly soon. Every time there was something in the news that would seem to cause prices to fall, I’d think, “here we go.” But it kept not happening. Of course, at the time, that was frustrating. Now, of course, it’s encouraging. Prices are pretty much where they were before the tax credits. We’ll see if they continue down from here.
Anyway, my point, if it’s any consolation, is that, after a while, it’s less worrisome, for me, anyway, than it is when you’re actually plunking down the money and signing for a loan. Even though my outlook hasn’t really changed. I still think there are further declines in the future, and I still think it’ll be a while before I break even and have no future declines in store. I don’t think it’ll be 20 years. I suppose that’s possible, but I think that’d have to be a pretty unlikely “worst case scenario.”
My outlook hasn’t really changed, but I don’t worry about it much or come around piggington as often or think about it much at all. I just enjoy living here with my family and not having to worry about timing it anymore. I imagine it’ll be the same for you. Congratulations on your new home and good luck.
zk
ParticipantI felt the exact same way when I bought my house in Carmel Valley in May ’10, as you can see from my post at the time:
http://piggington.com/i_finally_bought_a_house_in_carmel_valley_prices_there_will_now
I had the additional predicament of having to buy when the tax credit had bumped up prices about 30-50k in CV if I wanted the lot I got, and most or all of that bump is gone already. But that’s a bit less than 3-5%, so if our predictions are correct, we’ve got a ways to go.
I, too, waited years and years. I, too, kept thinking prices would correct fairly soon. Every time there was something in the news that would seem to cause prices to fall, I’d think, “here we go.” But it kept not happening. Of course, at the time, that was frustrating. Now, of course, it’s encouraging. Prices are pretty much where they were before the tax credits. We’ll see if they continue down from here.
Anyway, my point, if it’s any consolation, is that, after a while, it’s less worrisome, for me, anyway, than it is when you’re actually plunking down the money and signing for a loan. Even though my outlook hasn’t really changed. I still think there are further declines in the future, and I still think it’ll be a while before I break even and have no future declines in store. I don’t think it’ll be 20 years. I suppose that’s possible, but I think that’d have to be a pretty unlikely “worst case scenario.”
My outlook hasn’t really changed, but I don’t worry about it much or come around piggington as often or think about it much at all. I just enjoy living here with my family and not having to worry about timing it anymore. I imagine it’ll be the same for you. Congratulations on your new home and good luck.
June 12, 2011 at 8:25 PM in reply to: Robert Shiller – home prices could slide for 20 years? #702830zk
ParticipantThanks, Rich,
I enjoyed rereading your last few articles. Your writing, as always, is genius.
June 12, 2011 at 8:25 PM in reply to: Robert Shiller – home prices could slide for 20 years? #702835zk
ParticipantThanks, Rich,
I enjoyed rereading your last few articles. Your writing, as always, is genius.
June 12, 2011 at 8:25 PM in reply to: Robert Shiller – home prices could slide for 20 years? #702928zk
ParticipantThanks, Rich,
I enjoyed rereading your last few articles. Your writing, as always, is genius.
June 12, 2011 at 8:25 PM in reply to: Robert Shiller – home prices could slide for 20 years? #702933zk
ParticipantThanks, Rich,
I enjoyed rereading your last few articles. Your writing, as always, is genius.
June 12, 2011 at 8:25 PM in reply to: Robert Shiller – home prices could slide for 20 years? #703520zk
ParticipantThanks, Rich,
I enjoyed rereading your last few articles. Your writing, as always, is genius.
June 12, 2011 at 8:25 PM in reply to: Robert Shiller – home prices could slide for 20 years? #703525zk
ParticipantThanks, Rich,
I enjoyed rereading your last few articles. Your writing, as always, is genius.
June 12, 2011 at 8:25 PM in reply to: Robert Shiller – home prices could slide for 20 years? #703667zk
ParticipantThanks, Rich,
I enjoyed rereading your last few articles. Your writing, as always, is genius.
June 12, 2011 at 8:25 PM in reply to: Robert Shiller – home prices could slide for 20 years? #703672zk
ParticipantThanks, Rich,
I enjoyed rereading your last few articles. Your writing, as always, is genius.
-
AuthorPosts
