Forum Replies Created
-
AuthorPosts
-
vegasrenter
Participant“it’s much easier to think about with higher numbers. ie., 1000 doors; your odds of picking the winner is 1:1000. the odds of the car being behind any one of the remaining doors is 999:1000. eliminating all of the other incorrect doors means that the chance of the car being in the door you didn’t pick is 999:1000.”
In this case, your odds BEFORE the game starts is pretty good; 999/1000. BUT once the 998 doors are open, the odds of the first choice door or the switch choice door holding the car are the same: 1/1000 of the original number, or 1/2 of the remaining unknown doors. Switching makes no difference. Knowledge of what was behind the 998 open doors does not create any knowledge of what is behind the remaining 2 closed doors.
I reserve the right to be wrong, given that some really smart guys see it the other way, but it seems pretty simple. There’s no difference between the remaining 2 closed doors.
Participant“it’s much easier to think about with higher numbers. ie., 1000 doors; your odds of picking the winner is 1:1000. the odds of the car being behind any one of the remaining doors is 999:1000. eliminating all of the other incorrect doors means that the chance of the car being in the door you didn’t pick is 999:1000.”
In this case, your odds BEFORE the game starts is pretty good; 999/1000. BUT once the 998 doors are open, the odds of the first choice door or the switch choice door holding the car are the same: 1/1000 of the original number, or 1/2 of the remaining unknown doors. Switching makes no difference. Knowledge of what was behind the 998 open doors does not create any knowledge of what is behind the remaining 2 closed doors.
I reserve the right to be wrong, given that some really smart guys see it the other way, but it seems pretty simple. There’s no difference between the remaining 2 closed doors.
Participant“it’s much easier to think about with higher numbers. ie., 1000 doors; your odds of picking the winner is 1:1000. the odds of the car being behind any one of the remaining doors is 999:1000. eliminating all of the other incorrect doors means that the chance of the car being in the door you didn’t pick is 999:1000.”
In this case, your odds BEFORE the game starts is pretty good; 999/1000. BUT once the 998 doors are open, the odds of the first choice door or the switch choice door holding the car are the same: 1/1000 of the original number, or 1/2 of the remaining unknown doors. Switching makes no difference. Knowledge of what was behind the 998 open doors does not create any knowledge of what is behind the remaining 2 closed doors.
I reserve the right to be wrong, given that some really smart guys see it the other way, but it seems pretty simple. There’s no difference between the remaining 2 closed doors.
Participant“it’s much easier to think about with higher numbers. ie., 1000 doors; your odds of picking the winner is 1:1000. the odds of the car being behind any one of the remaining doors is 999:1000. eliminating all of the other incorrect doors means that the chance of the car being in the door you didn’t pick is 999:1000.”
In this case, your odds BEFORE the game starts is pretty good; 999/1000. BUT once the 998 doors are open, the odds of the first choice door or the switch choice door holding the car are the same: 1/1000 of the original number, or 1/2 of the remaining unknown doors. Switching makes no difference. Knowledge of what was behind the 998 open doors does not create any knowledge of what is behind the remaining 2 closed doors.
I reserve the right to be wrong, given that some really smart guys see it the other way, but it seems pretty simple. There’s no difference between the remaining 2 closed doors.
Participant“Some people just like to hate. They have no rational reasoning to explain it.”
I just love these kind of statements from the Bush haters.
Also, the idea that Hillary-haters don’t like women is absurd. I know lots of Hillary-haters that loved Margaret Thatcher – It’s a matter of having class. And a John Wayne size dose of true grit, if I remember correctly.
Participant“Some people just like to hate. They have no rational reasoning to explain it.”
I just love these kind of statements from the Bush haters.
Also, the idea that Hillary-haters don’t like women is absurd. I know lots of Hillary-haters that loved Margaret Thatcher – It’s a matter of having class. And a John Wayne size dose of true grit, if I remember correctly.
Participant“Some people just like to hate. They have no rational reasoning to explain it.”
I just love these kind of statements from the Bush haters.
Also, the idea that Hillary-haters don’t like women is absurd. I know lots of Hillary-haters that loved Margaret Thatcher – It’s a matter of having class. And a John Wayne size dose of true grit, if I remember correctly.
Participant“Some people just like to hate. They have no rational reasoning to explain it.”
I just love these kind of statements from the Bush haters.
Also, the idea that Hillary-haters don’t like women is absurd. I know lots of Hillary-haters that loved Margaret Thatcher – It’s a matter of having class. And a John Wayne size dose of true grit, if I remember correctly.
Participant“Some people just like to hate. They have no rational reasoning to explain it.”
I just love these kind of statements from the Bush haters.
Also, the idea that Hillary-haters don’t like women is absurd. I know lots of Hillary-haters that loved Margaret Thatcher – It’s a matter of having class. And a John Wayne size dose of true grit, if I remember correctly.
ParticipantWhat builder and development was this?
ParticipantWhat builder and development was this?
ParticipantWhat builder and development was this?
ParticipantWhat builder and development was this?
ParticipantWhat builder and development was this?
-
AuthorPosts