[stockstradr]

Stockstrader is supposedly married to a hottie chinese teacher that works in palo alto unified. (Still want to see pictures of your trip :))

I posted a link to photos in the other thread, the “Easy money on the next leg…” thread.

[stockstradr]

Stockstrader is supposedly married to a hottie chinese teacher that works in palo alto unified. (Still want to see pictures of your trip :))

I posted a link to photos in the other thread, the “Easy money on the next leg…” thread.

[stockstradr]

Stockstrader is supposedly married to a hottie chinese teacher that works in palo alto unified. (Still want to see pictures of your trip :))

I posted a link to photos in the other thread, the “Easy money on the next leg…” thread.

[stockstradr]

Someone asked about photos of us in China.

I think I can get away with sharing these, without compromising our identity. I prefer to keep our names private.

http://s483.photobucket.com/albums/rr195/stockstradr/

Can you view those photos without my explicity “sharing” them?

[stockstradr]

Someone asked about photos of us in China.

I think I can get away with sharing these, without compromising our identity. I prefer to keep our names private.

http://s483.photobucket.com/albums/rr195/stockstradr/

Can you view those photos without my explicity “sharing” them?

[stockstradr]

Someone asked about photos of us in China.

I think I can get away with sharing these, without compromising our identity. I prefer to keep our names private.

http://s483.photobucket.com/albums/rr195/stockstradr/

Can you view those photos without my explicity “sharing” them?

[stockstradr]

Someone asked about photos of us in China.

I think I can get away with sharing these, without compromising our identity. I prefer to keep our names private.

http://s483.photobucket.com/albums/rr195/stockstradr/

Can you view those photos without my explicity “sharing” them?

[stockstradr]

Someone asked about photos of us in China.

I think I can get away with sharing these, without compromising our identity. I prefer to keep our names private.

http://s483.photobucket.com/albums/rr195/stockstradr/

Can you view those photos without my explicity “sharing” them?

[stockstradr]

peterb writes: They feel there’s a very good chance we will test the lows from Octobers crash in the next 5 trading days.

They may be right about that! I’m a bit stunned markets dropped over 5% today.

Let’s hope they are also right about the rally to follow.

Today I’m rather worried I missed the top of this Fool’s Rally with my expectation it would go to 1,100 or higher. Maybe 1,000 (S&P500) WAS the top?

Here’s what I DO like about the projection for a 1-3 months rally: we won’t see 4th quarter GDP numbers until early next year. Those numbers will be horrible. I’m implying the economic data may be ONLY moderately bad for a couple months, until it gets MUCH MUCH WORSE about 1 to 3 months from now. Plus we got the credit markets continuing to unfreeze.

I still got my *fingers crossed* this Fool’s Rally resumes soon and continues to carry markets up higher.

[stockstradr]

peterb writes: They feel there’s a very good chance we will test the lows from Octobers crash in the next 5 trading days.

They may be right about that! I’m a bit stunned markets dropped over 5% today.

Let’s hope they are also right about the rally to follow.

Today I’m rather worried I missed the top of this Fool’s Rally with my expectation it would go to 1,100 or higher. Maybe 1,000 (S&P500) WAS the top?

Here’s what I DO like about the projection for a 1-3 months rally: we won’t see 4th quarter GDP numbers until early next year. Those numbers will be horrible. I’m implying the economic data may be ONLY moderately bad for a couple months, until it gets MUCH MUCH WORSE about 1 to 3 months from now. Plus we got the credit markets continuing to unfreeze.

I still got my *fingers crossed* this Fool’s Rally resumes soon and continues to carry markets up higher.

[stockstradr]

peterb writes: They feel there’s a very good chance we will test the lows from Octobers crash in the next 5 trading days.

They may be right about that! I’m a bit stunned markets dropped over 5% today.

Let’s hope they are also right about the rally to follow.

Today I’m rather worried I missed the top of this Fool’s Rally with my expectation it would go to 1,100 or higher. Maybe 1,000 (S&P500) WAS the top?

Here’s what I DO like about the projection for a 1-3 months rally: we won’t see 4th quarter GDP numbers until early next year. Those numbers will be horrible. I’m implying the economic data may be ONLY moderately bad for a couple months, until it gets MUCH MUCH WORSE about 1 to 3 months from now. Plus we got the credit markets continuing to unfreeze.

I still got my *fingers crossed* this Fool’s Rally resumes soon and continues to carry markets up higher.

[stockstradr]

peterb writes: They feel there’s a very good chance we will test the lows from Octobers crash in the next 5 trading days.

They may be right about that! I’m a bit stunned markets dropped over 5% today.

Let’s hope they are also right about the rally to follow.

Today I’m rather worried I missed the top of this Fool’s Rally with my expectation it would go to 1,100 or higher. Maybe 1,000 (S&P500) WAS the top?

Here’s what I DO like about the projection for a 1-3 months rally: we won’t see 4th quarter GDP numbers until early next year. Those numbers will be horrible. I’m implying the economic data may be ONLY moderately bad for a couple months, until it gets MUCH MUCH WORSE about 1 to 3 months from now. Plus we got the credit markets continuing to unfreeze.

I still got my *fingers crossed* this Fool’s Rally resumes soon and continues to carry markets up higher.

[stockstradr]

peterb writes: They feel there’s a very good chance we will test the lows from Octobers crash in the next 5 trading days.

They may be right about that! I’m a bit stunned markets dropped over 5% today.

Let’s hope they are also right about the rally to follow.

Today I’m rather worried I missed the top of this Fool’s Rally with my expectation it would go to 1,100 or higher. Maybe 1,000 (S&P500) WAS the top?

Here’s what I DO like about the projection for a 1-3 months rally: we won’t see 4th quarter GDP numbers until early next year. Those numbers will be horrible. I’m implying the economic data may be ONLY moderately bad for a couple months, until it gets MUCH MUCH WORSE about 1 to 3 months from now. Plus we got the credit markets continuing to unfreeze.

I still got my *fingers crossed* this Fool’s Rally resumes soon and continues to carry markets up higher.

[stockstradr]

OK, responding to various new posts:

stansd writes: You must be filthy rich with all these correct calls…with all that money sloshing around.

ANSWER: I wish I was filthy rich. However, it is true that my 401K is now up 45% net compared to Oct. 2007 valuation. If I can only keep up that level of appreciation for a few years running..I may end up filthy rich.

mercedes7 writes: Do you really think this rally will take us to 1200 on the spx? Where do you see the dow? What do you trade? SDS?

ANSWER: Keep in mind I’m just GUESSING like everyone else. Having acknowledged that, my instincts tell me the Fool’s Rally carries us above 1100 on S&P500, but I view 1,200 as only a possibility – meaning I’ll start shorting at 1050, and 1100 but I won’t wait until 1,200 before building a short position. Yes, I love to trade the ProShares ETF’s, such as “SDS” “QLD” As for the DOW, it is such a narrow index (30 stocks) I don’t pay much attention to it.

fat_lazy_union_worker writes: I always thought in an deflation, everything comes down, including gold.

I agree with that! Now I also agree with everything Rich T. has written on gold as well (very bullish long-term on gold). However, I believe I have a subtle difference with Rich T. on gold pricing during the short-term (during the recession, 12-18 months) when I am more inclined to only dabble in gold or ignore it, because I’m concerned about short-term instability in gold prices. This is due to difficult-to-predict outcome of competing deflationary pressure vs. buying pressure in anticipating of dollar collapse. So far I’ve been right in following the experts (Roubini) who predicted gold prices would likely fall as the recession heats up, reducing demand. Look how we’ve fallen off the $1,000/ounce highs. However, long-term, smart money is in agreement: gold will soar in value as the dollar collapses.

LA_Renter writes: if you look at the content and dialogue here and contrast that to Barrons, CNBC talking heads, etc you are far better off in here than you are with traditional MSM and established economist.

I sure do agree with that! And all those Talking Heads on Bloomberg/CNBC/Barrons, they are supposed to be the high-paid “experts” on financial markets. What a joke they are.

Chris Scoreboard Johnston writes: (various whining and flaming, ranting posts)

Chris, either put up OR shut up. By “put up” I mean add some value by putting up YOUR PREDICTIONS. I’m sincerely interested in your predictions and analysis. I’m NOT interested in reading your ranting whining posts that flame other predictions.

Thought of the day:
It sure makes me doubt my prediction when I see the way the markets are selling off today. Makes me wonder, “Was I wrong about Fool’s Rally carrying us up to 1100? Maybe yesterday I should have sold my long oil and just gone short the indexes. For now I’ll sit tight and hope I’m right about S&P500 hitting 1100 soon. So far gold falling today. Maybe I was right *fingers crossed* to have dumped half my gold yesterday at $760”

[stockstradr]

OK, responding to various new posts:

stansd writes: You must be filthy rich with all these correct calls…with all that money sloshing around.

ANSWER: I wish I was filthy rich. However, it is true that my 401K is now up 45% net compared to Oct. 2007 valuation. If I can only keep up that level of appreciation for a few years running..I may end up filthy rich.

mercedes7 writes: Do you really think this rally will take us to 1200 on the spx? Where do you see the dow? What do you trade? SDS?

ANSWER: Keep in mind I’m just GUESSING like everyone else. Having acknowledged that, my instincts tell me the Fool’s Rally carries us above 1100 on S&P500, but I view 1,200 as only a possibility – meaning I’ll start shorting at 1050, and 1100 but I won’t wait until 1,200 before building a short position. Yes, I love to trade the ProShares ETF’s, such as “SDS” “QLD” As for the DOW, it is such a narrow index (30 stocks) I don’t pay much attention to it.

fat_lazy_union_worker writes: I always thought in an deflation, everything comes down, including gold.

I agree with that! Now I also agree with everything Rich T. has written on gold as well (very bullish long-term on gold). However, I believe I have a subtle difference with Rich T. on gold pricing during the short-term (during the recession, 12-18 months) when I am more inclined to only dabble in gold or ignore it, because I’m concerned about short-term instability in gold prices. This is due to difficult-to-predict outcome of competing deflationary pressure vs. buying pressure in anticipating of dollar collapse. So far I’ve been right in following the experts (Roubini) who predicted gold prices would likely fall as the recession heats up, reducing demand. Look how we’ve fallen off the $1,000/ounce highs. However, long-term, smart money is in agreement: gold will soar in value as the dollar collapses.

LA_Renter writes: if you look at the content and dialogue here and contrast that to Barrons, CNBC talking heads, etc you are far better off in here than you are with traditional MSM and established economist.

I sure do agree with that! And all those Talking Heads on Bloomberg/CNBC/Barrons, they are supposed to be the high-paid “experts” on financial markets. What a joke they are.

Chris Scoreboard Johnston writes: (various whining and flaming, ranting posts)

Chris, either put up OR shut up. By “put up” I mean add some value by putting up YOUR PREDICTIONS. I’m sincerely interested in your predictions and analysis. I’m NOT interested in reading your ranting whining posts that flame other predictions.

Thought of the day:
It sure makes me doubt my prediction when I see the way the markets are selling off today. Makes me wonder, “Was I wrong about Fool’s Rally carrying us up to 1100? Maybe yesterday I should have sold my long oil and just gone short the indexes. For now I’ll sit tight and hope I’m right about S&P500 hitting 1100 soon. So far gold falling today. Maybe I was right *fingers crossed* to have dumped half my gold yesterday at $760”

[Author]

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