Forum Replies Created
-
AuthorPosts
-
sdnativeson
Participantwith a nod to flu
http://mathforum.org/dr.math/faq/faq.monty.hall.htmlsdnativeson
Participantwith a nod to flu
http://mathforum.org/dr.math/faq/faq.monty.hall.htmlsdnativeson
Participantwith a nod to flu
http://mathforum.org/dr.math/faq/faq.monty.hall.htmlsdnativeson
Participantwith a nod to flu
http://mathforum.org/dr.math/faq/faq.monty.hall.htmlsdnativeson
ParticipantLet me say I appreciate your candor,I agree 47% is significant, although misleading based upon the hyper inflated values, regardless of the state of the economy.
I can remember early to mid 90’s in the “million dollar” areas, I did in fact come close to that exact scenario. Never much cared for Fairbanks though, I did almost as well in Pt.Loma.
I am not familar with Mira Mesa today, I hear there are some nice neighborhoods, big homes, canyon lots on the North side. The majority of it?
IMHO, 250 and lower.Reading your 5th paragraph, I really don’t see how it contradicts my opinion(s). San Diego is too big (among other reasons) to wind up like Palm Springs. There are a other variables that are omitted that I believe add some validity to my opinion.
The high end areas, La Jolla, Rancho Santa Fe, Del Mar, select Mission Hills etc. no I don’t expect them to adjust to those median ratios. Clairemont? Talmadge, La Mesa yes, I do. Will I be proven wrong? Possibly. But you said it, in a roundabout way, living here will make no sense.
sdnativeson
ParticipantLet me say I appreciate your candor,I agree 47% is significant, although misleading based upon the hyper inflated values, regardless of the state of the economy.
I can remember early to mid 90’s in the “million dollar” areas, I did in fact come close to that exact scenario. Never much cared for Fairbanks though, I did almost as well in Pt.Loma.
I am not familar with Mira Mesa today, I hear there are some nice neighborhoods, big homes, canyon lots on the North side. The majority of it?
IMHO, 250 and lower.Reading your 5th paragraph, I really don’t see how it contradicts my opinion(s). San Diego is too big (among other reasons) to wind up like Palm Springs. There are a other variables that are omitted that I believe add some validity to my opinion.
The high end areas, La Jolla, Rancho Santa Fe, Del Mar, select Mission Hills etc. no I don’t expect them to adjust to those median ratios. Clairemont? Talmadge, La Mesa yes, I do. Will I be proven wrong? Possibly. But you said it, in a roundabout way, living here will make no sense.
sdnativeson
ParticipantLet me say I appreciate your candor,I agree 47% is significant, although misleading based upon the hyper inflated values, regardless of the state of the economy.
I can remember early to mid 90’s in the “million dollar” areas, I did in fact come close to that exact scenario. Never much cared for Fairbanks though, I did almost as well in Pt.Loma.
I am not familar with Mira Mesa today, I hear there are some nice neighborhoods, big homes, canyon lots on the North side. The majority of it?
IMHO, 250 and lower.Reading your 5th paragraph, I really don’t see how it contradicts my opinion(s). San Diego is too big (among other reasons) to wind up like Palm Springs. There are a other variables that are omitted that I believe add some validity to my opinion.
The high end areas, La Jolla, Rancho Santa Fe, Del Mar, select Mission Hills etc. no I don’t expect them to adjust to those median ratios. Clairemont? Talmadge, La Mesa yes, I do. Will I be proven wrong? Possibly. But you said it, in a roundabout way, living here will make no sense.
sdnativeson
ParticipantLet me say I appreciate your candor,I agree 47% is significant, although misleading based upon the hyper inflated values, regardless of the state of the economy.
I can remember early to mid 90’s in the “million dollar” areas, I did in fact come close to that exact scenario. Never much cared for Fairbanks though, I did almost as well in Pt.Loma.
I am not familar with Mira Mesa today, I hear there are some nice neighborhoods, big homes, canyon lots on the North side. The majority of it?
IMHO, 250 and lower.Reading your 5th paragraph, I really don’t see how it contradicts my opinion(s). San Diego is too big (among other reasons) to wind up like Palm Springs. There are a other variables that are omitted that I believe add some validity to my opinion.
The high end areas, La Jolla, Rancho Santa Fe, Del Mar, select Mission Hills etc. no I don’t expect them to adjust to those median ratios. Clairemont? Talmadge, La Mesa yes, I do. Will I be proven wrong? Possibly. But you said it, in a roundabout way, living here will make no sense.
sdnativeson
ParticipantLet me say I appreciate your candor,I agree 47% is significant, although misleading based upon the hyper inflated values, regardless of the state of the economy.
I can remember early to mid 90’s in the “million dollar” areas, I did in fact come close to that exact scenario. Never much cared for Fairbanks though, I did almost as well in Pt.Loma.
I am not familar with Mira Mesa today, I hear there are some nice neighborhoods, big homes, canyon lots on the North side. The majority of it?
IMHO, 250 and lower.Reading your 5th paragraph, I really don’t see how it contradicts my opinion(s). San Diego is too big (among other reasons) to wind up like Palm Springs. There are a other variables that are omitted that I believe add some validity to my opinion.
The high end areas, La Jolla, Rancho Santa Fe, Del Mar, select Mission Hills etc. no I don’t expect them to adjust to those median ratios. Clairemont? Talmadge, La Mesa yes, I do. Will I be proven wrong? Possibly. But you said it, in a roundabout way, living here will make no sense.
sdnativeson
ParticipantWe have a contestant we’ll call him ‘TheBreeze’ aka
‘TB’.
TB choses door #1, the probability that TB chose the door with the car is 1/3 and, the probability that it is behind one of the other doors is 2/3. By showing TB one of doors #2 or #3 which does not hide the car but a goat (#2 for instance), the host is giving TB an good idea of what is behind those two doors. The probability is still 2/3 that one of them hides the car, but now you know which of the two it would be: Door 3.The probability is still only 1/3 that the car is behind Door 1, but 2/3 that it is behind Door 3.
Anyone remember “Lets Make a Deal”?
sdnativeson
ParticipantWe have a contestant we’ll call him ‘TheBreeze’ aka
‘TB’.
TB choses door #1, the probability that TB chose the door with the car is 1/3 and, the probability that it is behind one of the other doors is 2/3. By showing TB one of doors #2 or #3 which does not hide the car but a goat (#2 for instance), the host is giving TB an good idea of what is behind those two doors. The probability is still 2/3 that one of them hides the car, but now you know which of the two it would be: Door 3.The probability is still only 1/3 that the car is behind Door 1, but 2/3 that it is behind Door 3.
Anyone remember “Lets Make a Deal”?
sdnativeson
ParticipantWe have a contestant we’ll call him ‘TheBreeze’ aka
‘TB’.
TB choses door #1, the probability that TB chose the door with the car is 1/3 and, the probability that it is behind one of the other doors is 2/3. By showing TB one of doors #2 or #3 which does not hide the car but a goat (#2 for instance), the host is giving TB an good idea of what is behind those two doors. The probability is still 2/3 that one of them hides the car, but now you know which of the two it would be: Door 3.The probability is still only 1/3 that the car is behind Door 1, but 2/3 that it is behind Door 3.
Anyone remember “Lets Make a Deal”?
sdnativeson
ParticipantWe have a contestant we’ll call him ‘TheBreeze’ aka
‘TB’.
TB choses door #1, the probability that TB chose the door with the car is 1/3 and, the probability that it is behind one of the other doors is 2/3. By showing TB one of doors #2 or #3 which does not hide the car but a goat (#2 for instance), the host is giving TB an good idea of what is behind those two doors. The probability is still 2/3 that one of them hides the car, but now you know which of the two it would be: Door 3.The probability is still only 1/3 that the car is behind Door 1, but 2/3 that it is behind Door 3.
Anyone remember “Lets Make a Deal”?
sdnativeson
ParticipantWe have a contestant we’ll call him ‘TheBreeze’ aka
‘TB’.
TB choses door #1, the probability that TB chose the door with the car is 1/3 and, the probability that it is behind one of the other doors is 2/3. By showing TB one of doors #2 or #3 which does not hide the car but a goat (#2 for instance), the host is giving TB an good idea of what is behind those two doors. The probability is still 2/3 that one of them hides the car, but now you know which of the two it would be: Door 3.The probability is still only 1/3 that the car is behind Door 1, but 2/3 that it is behind Door 3.
Anyone remember “Lets Make a Deal”?
-
AuthorPosts
