Forum Replies Created
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AuthorPosts
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SDEngineer
Participant“Oh, it’s a stick. I can’t imagine ever driving an automatic, and certainly not the TT. Do they make a TT that’s automatic? That should be criminal.”
You’d be surprised – the new manumatic types of transmissions that are appearing on the sporty cars are a lot better than they used to be. I was a manual snob until recently (I had had automatics before, and couldn’t stand them), but my wife refuses to learn to drive a stick, and I had resigned myself to getting an automatic so that she could take the “fun car” from time to time.
Got a Infiniti G37 with their automatic, and it really changed my opinion. I can drive it just like a manual using the paddle shifters – the tranny never overrules me (I can even hit the rev limiter if I’m not paying attention), and the tranny even *blips* the throttle to maintain engine revs in the sweet spot (and get rid of shift-shock) when shifting as if it were heel and toeing. And the wife can stick it in “D” and still have fun (the shift points and responsiveness are very good even when not driving it in manumatic mode).
SDEngineer
Participant“Oh, it’s a stick. I can’t imagine ever driving an automatic, and certainly not the TT. Do they make a TT that’s automatic? That should be criminal.”
You’d be surprised – the new manumatic types of transmissions that are appearing on the sporty cars are a lot better than they used to be. I was a manual snob until recently (I had had automatics before, and couldn’t stand them), but my wife refuses to learn to drive a stick, and I had resigned myself to getting an automatic so that she could take the “fun car” from time to time.
Got a Infiniti G37 with their automatic, and it really changed my opinion. I can drive it just like a manual using the paddle shifters – the tranny never overrules me (I can even hit the rev limiter if I’m not paying attention), and the tranny even *blips* the throttle to maintain engine revs in the sweet spot (and get rid of shift-shock) when shifting as if it were heel and toeing. And the wife can stick it in “D” and still have fun (the shift points and responsiveness are very good even when not driving it in manumatic mode).
SDEngineer
Participant“Oh, it’s a stick. I can’t imagine ever driving an automatic, and certainly not the TT. Do they make a TT that’s automatic? That should be criminal.”
You’d be surprised – the new manumatic types of transmissions that are appearing on the sporty cars are a lot better than they used to be. I was a manual snob until recently (I had had automatics before, and couldn’t stand them), but my wife refuses to learn to drive a stick, and I had resigned myself to getting an automatic so that she could take the “fun car” from time to time.
Got a Infiniti G37 with their automatic, and it really changed my opinion. I can drive it just like a manual using the paddle shifters – the tranny never overrules me (I can even hit the rev limiter if I’m not paying attention), and the tranny even *blips* the throttle to maintain engine revs in the sweet spot (and get rid of shift-shock) when shifting as if it were heel and toeing. And the wife can stick it in “D” and still have fun (the shift points and responsiveness are very good even when not driving it in manumatic mode).
SDEngineer
Participant“Oh, it’s a stick. I can’t imagine ever driving an automatic, and certainly not the TT. Do they make a TT that’s automatic? That should be criminal.”
You’d be surprised – the new manumatic types of transmissions that are appearing on the sporty cars are a lot better than they used to be. I was a manual snob until recently (I had had automatics before, and couldn’t stand them), but my wife refuses to learn to drive a stick, and I had resigned myself to getting an automatic so that she could take the “fun car” from time to time.
Got a Infiniti G37 with their automatic, and it really changed my opinion. I can drive it just like a manual using the paddle shifters – the tranny never overrules me (I can even hit the rev limiter if I’m not paying attention), and the tranny even *blips* the throttle to maintain engine revs in the sweet spot (and get rid of shift-shock) when shifting as if it were heel and toeing. And the wife can stick it in “D” and still have fun (the shift points and responsiveness are very good even when not driving it in manumatic mode).
SDEngineer
Participant“Oh, it’s a stick. I can’t imagine ever driving an automatic, and certainly not the TT. Do they make a TT that’s automatic? That should be criminal.”
You’d be surprised – the new manumatic types of transmissions that are appearing on the sporty cars are a lot better than they used to be. I was a manual snob until recently (I had had automatics before, and couldn’t stand them), but my wife refuses to learn to drive a stick, and I had resigned myself to getting an automatic so that she could take the “fun car” from time to time.
Got a Infiniti G37 with their automatic, and it really changed my opinion. I can drive it just like a manual using the paddle shifters – the tranny never overrules me (I can even hit the rev limiter if I’m not paying attention), and the tranny even *blips* the throttle to maintain engine revs in the sweet spot (and get rid of shift-shock) when shifting as if it were heel and toeing. And the wife can stick it in “D” and still have fun (the shift points and responsiveness are very good even when not driving it in manumatic mode).
SDEngineer
ParticipantNesposito:
Some bubble areas were more bubbly than others, but the nation as a whole has experienced this housing bubble.
San Diego is no different from the other inflated cities, all of which are dropping at this point. New York didn’t have as much of a bubble to begin with (very high salaries had always supported a very high median home price in the city), but even so, their prices are also now dropping. The SF Bay area is also dropping like a rock right now, just not quite as much of a rock as San Diego, Phoenix, Miami, and Las Vegas, which is why those cities are getting the majority of the press.
San Diego did hit the hyperinflation phase of the bubble about a year earlier than most of the other cities, and we also topped out earlier, but at this point, the Case-Shiller indexes (and the other indexes) now have pretty much all of the bubble cities in free-fall with regards to prices.
SDEngineer
ParticipantNesposito:
Some bubble areas were more bubbly than others, but the nation as a whole has experienced this housing bubble.
San Diego is no different from the other inflated cities, all of which are dropping at this point. New York didn’t have as much of a bubble to begin with (very high salaries had always supported a very high median home price in the city), but even so, their prices are also now dropping. The SF Bay area is also dropping like a rock right now, just not quite as much of a rock as San Diego, Phoenix, Miami, and Las Vegas, which is why those cities are getting the majority of the press.
San Diego did hit the hyperinflation phase of the bubble about a year earlier than most of the other cities, and we also topped out earlier, but at this point, the Case-Shiller indexes (and the other indexes) now have pretty much all of the bubble cities in free-fall with regards to prices.
SDEngineer
ParticipantNesposito:
Some bubble areas were more bubbly than others, but the nation as a whole has experienced this housing bubble.
San Diego is no different from the other inflated cities, all of which are dropping at this point. New York didn’t have as much of a bubble to begin with (very high salaries had always supported a very high median home price in the city), but even so, their prices are also now dropping. The SF Bay area is also dropping like a rock right now, just not quite as much of a rock as San Diego, Phoenix, Miami, and Las Vegas, which is why those cities are getting the majority of the press.
San Diego did hit the hyperinflation phase of the bubble about a year earlier than most of the other cities, and we also topped out earlier, but at this point, the Case-Shiller indexes (and the other indexes) now have pretty much all of the bubble cities in free-fall with regards to prices.
SDEngineer
ParticipantNesposito:
Some bubble areas were more bubbly than others, but the nation as a whole has experienced this housing bubble.
San Diego is no different from the other inflated cities, all of which are dropping at this point. New York didn’t have as much of a bubble to begin with (very high salaries had always supported a very high median home price in the city), but even so, their prices are also now dropping. The SF Bay area is also dropping like a rock right now, just not quite as much of a rock as San Diego, Phoenix, Miami, and Las Vegas, which is why those cities are getting the majority of the press.
San Diego did hit the hyperinflation phase of the bubble about a year earlier than most of the other cities, and we also topped out earlier, but at this point, the Case-Shiller indexes (and the other indexes) now have pretty much all of the bubble cities in free-fall with regards to prices.
SDEngineer
ParticipantNesposito:
Some bubble areas were more bubbly than others, but the nation as a whole has experienced this housing bubble.
San Diego is no different from the other inflated cities, all of which are dropping at this point. New York didn’t have as much of a bubble to begin with (very high salaries had always supported a very high median home price in the city), but even so, their prices are also now dropping. The SF Bay area is also dropping like a rock right now, just not quite as much of a rock as San Diego, Phoenix, Miami, and Las Vegas, which is why those cities are getting the majority of the press.
San Diego did hit the hyperinflation phase of the bubble about a year earlier than most of the other cities, and we also topped out earlier, but at this point, the Case-Shiller indexes (and the other indexes) now have pretty much all of the bubble cities in free-fall with regards to prices.
SDEngineer
ParticipantJP:
I certainly wasn’t trying to question the Case-Shiller numbers, they’re one of the tools I’ve been using to attempt to figure the market out. They certainly do indicate the higher value areas were in a BIG bubble – just not nearly as much of a bubble as the lower value areas.
Rich Toscano’s charts which he posts here are very eye-opening. See here:
for one of his recent posts after the release of the January Case-Shiller numbers (bear in mind, we’ve seen another 3 months of depreciation since then). You can see that the high areas never got quite as overvalued as the lower areas, and haven’t fallen nearly as much from peak as them at this point – but there’s no indication that they won’t fall, just that they didn’t have as far to fall to begin with, and presumably had less subprimes to worry about along with owners with greater personal means to postpone financial problems. You’ll note that according to Rich’s charts, the low end areas have experienced the brunt of the depreciation so far, but the high and mid areas are still overpriced and will presumably revert to medians soon – and now all three groupings have roughly as far to fall to return to parity.
BTW, I think “normal” appreciation over a 8 year period would be somewhere around 30-40%. Housing generally tracks real inflation pretty accurately (though our recent inflation numbers are badly understated as a result of changes to the calculations they made in the late 90’s which have resulted in essentially ignoring a lot of energy and food inflation).
SDEngineer
ParticipantJP:
I certainly wasn’t trying to question the Case-Shiller numbers, they’re one of the tools I’ve been using to attempt to figure the market out. They certainly do indicate the higher value areas were in a BIG bubble – just not nearly as much of a bubble as the lower value areas.
Rich Toscano’s charts which he posts here are very eye-opening. See here:
for one of his recent posts after the release of the January Case-Shiller numbers (bear in mind, we’ve seen another 3 months of depreciation since then). You can see that the high areas never got quite as overvalued as the lower areas, and haven’t fallen nearly as much from peak as them at this point – but there’s no indication that they won’t fall, just that they didn’t have as far to fall to begin with, and presumably had less subprimes to worry about along with owners with greater personal means to postpone financial problems. You’ll note that according to Rich’s charts, the low end areas have experienced the brunt of the depreciation so far, but the high and mid areas are still overpriced and will presumably revert to medians soon – and now all three groupings have roughly as far to fall to return to parity.
BTW, I think “normal” appreciation over a 8 year period would be somewhere around 30-40%. Housing generally tracks real inflation pretty accurately (though our recent inflation numbers are badly understated as a result of changes to the calculations they made in the late 90’s which have resulted in essentially ignoring a lot of energy and food inflation).
SDEngineer
ParticipantJP:
I certainly wasn’t trying to question the Case-Shiller numbers, they’re one of the tools I’ve been using to attempt to figure the market out. They certainly do indicate the higher value areas were in a BIG bubble – just not nearly as much of a bubble as the lower value areas.
Rich Toscano’s charts which he posts here are very eye-opening. See here:
for one of his recent posts after the release of the January Case-Shiller numbers (bear in mind, we’ve seen another 3 months of depreciation since then). You can see that the high areas never got quite as overvalued as the lower areas, and haven’t fallen nearly as much from peak as them at this point – but there’s no indication that they won’t fall, just that they didn’t have as far to fall to begin with, and presumably had less subprimes to worry about along with owners with greater personal means to postpone financial problems. You’ll note that according to Rich’s charts, the low end areas have experienced the brunt of the depreciation so far, but the high and mid areas are still overpriced and will presumably revert to medians soon – and now all three groupings have roughly as far to fall to return to parity.
BTW, I think “normal” appreciation over a 8 year period would be somewhere around 30-40%. Housing generally tracks real inflation pretty accurately (though our recent inflation numbers are badly understated as a result of changes to the calculations they made in the late 90’s which have resulted in essentially ignoring a lot of energy and food inflation).
SDEngineer
ParticipantJP:
I certainly wasn’t trying to question the Case-Shiller numbers, they’re one of the tools I’ve been using to attempt to figure the market out. They certainly do indicate the higher value areas were in a BIG bubble – just not nearly as much of a bubble as the lower value areas.
Rich Toscano’s charts which he posts here are very eye-opening. See here:
for one of his recent posts after the release of the January Case-Shiller numbers (bear in mind, we’ve seen another 3 months of depreciation since then). You can see that the high areas never got quite as overvalued as the lower areas, and haven’t fallen nearly as much from peak as them at this point – but there’s no indication that they won’t fall, just that they didn’t have as far to fall to begin with, and presumably had less subprimes to worry about along with owners with greater personal means to postpone financial problems. You’ll note that according to Rich’s charts, the low end areas have experienced the brunt of the depreciation so far, but the high and mid areas are still overpriced and will presumably revert to medians soon – and now all three groupings have roughly as far to fall to return to parity.
BTW, I think “normal” appreciation over a 8 year period would be somewhere around 30-40%. Housing generally tracks real inflation pretty accurately (though our recent inflation numbers are badly understated as a result of changes to the calculations they made in the late 90’s which have resulted in essentially ignoring a lot of energy and food inflation).
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