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SD Realtor
ParticipantI don’t think it is to challenging to predict the curve will never look like the bubble curve. That is why it was a bubble. I think paying attention to national stats and prognostications is interesting but can be misleading for a San Diego shopper.
I am still sticking to a couple rational thoughts.
1 – I will not even look at national trends if I am concerned with San Diego real estate.
2 – Within San Diego I know that variances between regions are substantial. (Wake me up when the medians in Carmel Valley = El Cajon)
3 – The demand in many of the regions with good school districts and more desired areas is substantial.
4 – That the govt and the banks have effectively been able to manipulate the market by controlling inventory flow.
5 – That IMO prices will be strongly driven by interest rates. This will take awhile but may be able to be the pile driver that breaks the gridlock.
6 – That depreciation will vary in different price strata.
ParticipantI don’t think it is to challenging to predict the curve will never look like the bubble curve. That is why it was a bubble. I think paying attention to national stats and prognostications is interesting but can be misleading for a San Diego shopper.
I am still sticking to a couple rational thoughts.
1 – I will not even look at national trends if I am concerned with San Diego real estate.
2 – Within San Diego I know that variances between regions are substantial. (Wake me up when the medians in Carmel Valley = El Cajon)
3 – The demand in many of the regions with good school districts and more desired areas is substantial.
4 – That the govt and the banks have effectively been able to manipulate the market by controlling inventory flow.
5 – That IMO prices will be strongly driven by interest rates. This will take awhile but may be able to be the pile driver that breaks the gridlock.
6 – That depreciation will vary in different price strata.
ParticipantI don’t think it is to challenging to predict the curve will never look like the bubble curve. That is why it was a bubble. I think paying attention to national stats and prognostications is interesting but can be misleading for a San Diego shopper.
I am still sticking to a couple rational thoughts.
1 – I will not even look at national trends if I am concerned with San Diego real estate.
2 – Within San Diego I know that variances between regions are substantial. (Wake me up when the medians in Carmel Valley = El Cajon)
3 – The demand in many of the regions with good school districts and more desired areas is substantial.
4 – That the govt and the banks have effectively been able to manipulate the market by controlling inventory flow.
5 – That IMO prices will be strongly driven by interest rates. This will take awhile but may be able to be the pile driver that breaks the gridlock.
6 – That depreciation will vary in different price strata.
ParticipantYes to what you said. The debt levels and higher interest rates is pretty much what I write about all the time. With that said San Diego will still be priced higher then the most everywhere else. Especially if you use a price to income measure.
Once interest rates rocket San Diego will get punished and prices will drop. However it will not be proportional and affordability will still be elusive to many people, especially those without large downpayments.
ParticipantYes to what you said. The debt levels and higher interest rates is pretty much what I write about all the time. With that said San Diego will still be priced higher then the most everywhere else. Especially if you use a price to income measure.
Once interest rates rocket San Diego will get punished and prices will drop. However it will not be proportional and affordability will still be elusive to many people, especially those without large downpayments.
ParticipantYes to what you said. The debt levels and higher interest rates is pretty much what I write about all the time. With that said San Diego will still be priced higher then the most everywhere else. Especially if you use a price to income measure.
Once interest rates rocket San Diego will get punished and prices will drop. However it will not be proportional and affordability will still be elusive to many people, especially those without large downpayments.
ParticipantYes to what you said. The debt levels and higher interest rates is pretty much what I write about all the time. With that said San Diego will still be priced higher then the most everywhere else. Especially if you use a price to income measure.
Once interest rates rocket San Diego will get punished and prices will drop. However it will not be proportional and affordability will still be elusive to many people, especially those without large downpayments.
ParticipantYes to what you said. The debt levels and higher interest rates is pretty much what I write about all the time. With that said San Diego will still be priced higher then the most everywhere else. Especially if you use a price to income measure.
Once interest rates rocket San Diego will get punished and prices will drop. However it will not be proportional and affordability will still be elusive to many people, especially those without large downpayments.
ParticipantMy prognostication is that it will remain that way.
Or you can argue for the sake of being Brian and try to rationalize a scenario that it will not. We will see whose advice turns out to be more correct for the foreseeable future.
ParticipantMy prognostication is that it will remain that way.
Or you can argue for the sake of being Brian and try to rationalize a scenario that it will not. We will see whose advice turns out to be more correct for the foreseeable future.
ParticipantMy prognostication is that it will remain that way.
Or you can argue for the sake of being Brian and try to rationalize a scenario that it will not. We will see whose advice turns out to be more correct for the foreseeable future.
ParticipantMy prognostication is that it will remain that way.
Or you can argue for the sake of being Brian and try to rationalize a scenario that it will not. We will see whose advice turns out to be more correct for the foreseeable future.
ParticipantMy prognostication is that it will remain that way.
Or you can argue for the sake of being Brian and try to rationalize a scenario that it will not. We will see whose advice turns out to be more correct for the foreseeable future.
ParticipantYes and equilibrium is that San Diego has always been well overpriced compared to pretty much everywhere else in the country.
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