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peterb
ParticipantThe economic environment we’re headed into will not bode well for those that can be declared as scape goats. Tight money will create conservative politics. It alwasy does. Back lash is coming.
ParticipantThe economic environment we’re headed into will not bode well for those that can be declared as scape goats. Tight money will create conservative politics. It alwasy does. Back lash is coming.
ParticipantThe economic environment we’re headed into will not bode well for those that can be declared as scape goats. Tight money will create conservative politics. It alwasy does. Back lash is coming.
ParticipantUnderdose, I think that in order to have housing actually rise in price, we will need to have wages increase so that the debt can be sustained. Or the interest rate would have to be in the 1% to 2% range. I dont know if either of these could be accomplished in todays environment. I doubt very much that wages will be rising any time soon with unemployment in CA at 7.7% and 6.1% nationally. So that leaves lowering the interest rate. A few trillion US$ in T Bills outta do it. But what kind of premium will our lenders want for such a folly?
ParticipantUnderdose, I think that in order to have housing actually rise in price, we will need to have wages increase so that the debt can be sustained. Or the interest rate would have to be in the 1% to 2% range. I dont know if either of these could be accomplished in todays environment. I doubt very much that wages will be rising any time soon with unemployment in CA at 7.7% and 6.1% nationally. So that leaves lowering the interest rate. A few trillion US$ in T Bills outta do it. But what kind of premium will our lenders want for such a folly?
ParticipantUnderdose, I think that in order to have housing actually rise in price, we will need to have wages increase so that the debt can be sustained. Or the interest rate would have to be in the 1% to 2% range. I dont know if either of these could be accomplished in todays environment. I doubt very much that wages will be rising any time soon with unemployment in CA at 7.7% and 6.1% nationally. So that leaves lowering the interest rate. A few trillion US$ in T Bills outta do it. But what kind of premium will our lenders want for such a folly?
ParticipantUnderdose, I think that in order to have housing actually rise in price, we will need to have wages increase so that the debt can be sustained. Or the interest rate would have to be in the 1% to 2% range. I dont know if either of these could be accomplished in todays environment. I doubt very much that wages will be rising any time soon with unemployment in CA at 7.7% and 6.1% nationally. So that leaves lowering the interest rate. A few trillion US$ in T Bills outta do it. But what kind of premium will our lenders want for such a folly?
ParticipantUnderdose, I think that in order to have housing actually rise in price, we will need to have wages increase so that the debt can be sustained. Or the interest rate would have to be in the 1% to 2% range. I dont know if either of these could be accomplished in todays environment. I doubt very much that wages will be rising any time soon with unemployment in CA at 7.7% and 6.1% nationally. So that leaves lowering the interest rate. A few trillion US$ in T Bills outta do it. But what kind of premium will our lenders want for such a folly?
ParticipantRB- looks like the TED spread is confirming your thesis. Our govt only has as much power over this as their lenders will allow. So, it’s really their call. The Chinese have indicated that the party is pretty much over from this time on.
ParticipantRB- looks like the TED spread is confirming your thesis. Our govt only has as much power over this as their lenders will allow. So, it’s really their call. The Chinese have indicated that the party is pretty much over from this time on.
ParticipantRB- looks like the TED spread is confirming your thesis. Our govt only has as much power over this as their lenders will allow. So, it’s really their call. The Chinese have indicated that the party is pretty much over from this time on.
ParticipantRB- looks like the TED spread is confirming your thesis. Our govt only has as much power over this as their lenders will allow. So, it’s really their call. The Chinese have indicated that the party is pretty much over from this time on.
ParticipantRB- looks like the TED spread is confirming your thesis. Our govt only has as much power over this as their lenders will allow. So, it’s really their call. The Chinese have indicated that the party is pretty much over from this time on.
ParticipantNo doubt that higher rates = lower house prices, in my mind. It’s trying to figure out if rates really will rise and stay there for a while. And it looks like they will just based on risk of default and risk of inflation.
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