[ocrenter]

[img_assist|nid=12142|title=merriam mountain|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=396|height=308]

very rough terrain for sure. took a look and compared this to SEH and 4S and Carmel Valley, and Stonebridge, this beats them all. average elevation of 1000 to 1500 feet above sea level.

[ocrenter]

[img_assist|nid=12142|title=merriam mountain|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=396|height=308]

very rough terrain for sure. took a look and compared this to SEH and 4S and Carmel Valley, and Stonebridge, this beats them all. average elevation of 1000 to 1500 feet above sea level.

[ocrenter]

the data is interesting.

if you add up students from all of the feeder elementaries, every grade average about 500 students. the middle school is averaging around 500 students per grade as well. that is very consistent at every grade level.

but once you go to Scripps High, suddenly in 9th grade there’s 200 additional kids for a total of over 700 students.

so we know SDUSD is busing in close to 30% of the high school freshman class.

now let’s look at the demographic numbers.

the bulk of Scripps’ population is between 40-60, that population is 12,000 strong. you figure this is also the population that is supplying most of the kids in school.

there’s a sharp drop off in population from 6500 40-50 year olds to 3000 30-40 year olds in Scripps Ranch.

that’s a greater than 50% drop off in population.

so if Scripps Ranch as a community is not replenishing its reproductive population, then the future is a school filled with 50% bused student base.

give it 10-15 years and pull this post up, you’ll see.

[ocrenter]

the data is interesting.

if you add up students from all of the feeder elementaries, every grade average about 500 students. the middle school is averaging around 500 students per grade as well. that is very consistent at every grade level.

but once you go to Scripps High, suddenly in 9th grade there’s 200 additional kids for a total of over 700 students.

so we know SDUSD is busing in close to 30% of the high school freshman class.

now let’s look at the demographic numbers.

the bulk of Scripps’ population is between 40-60, that population is 12,000 strong. you figure this is also the population that is supplying most of the kids in school.

there’s a sharp drop off in population from 6500 40-50 year olds to 3000 30-40 year olds in Scripps Ranch.

that’s a greater than 50% drop off in population.

so if Scripps Ranch as a community is not replenishing its reproductive population, then the future is a school filled with 50% bused student base.

give it 10-15 years and pull this post up, you’ll see.

[ocrenter]

the data is interesting.

if you add up students from all of the feeder elementaries, every grade average about 500 students. the middle school is averaging around 500 students per grade as well. that is very consistent at every grade level.

but once you go to Scripps High, suddenly in 9th grade there’s 200 additional kids for a total of over 700 students.

so we know SDUSD is busing in close to 30% of the high school freshman class.

now let’s look at the demographic numbers.

the bulk of Scripps’ population is between 40-60, that population is 12,000 strong. you figure this is also the population that is supplying most of the kids in school.

there’s a sharp drop off in population from 6500 40-50 year olds to 3000 30-40 year olds in Scripps Ranch.

that’s a greater than 50% drop off in population.

so if Scripps Ranch as a community is not replenishing its reproductive population, then the future is a school filled with 50% bused student base.

give it 10-15 years and pull this post up, you’ll see.

[ocrenter]

the data is interesting.

if you add up students from all of the feeder elementaries, every grade average about 500 students. the middle school is averaging around 500 students per grade as well. that is very consistent at every grade level.

but once you go to Scripps High, suddenly in 9th grade there’s 200 additional kids for a total of over 700 students.

so we know SDUSD is busing in close to 30% of the high school freshman class.

now let’s look at the demographic numbers.

the bulk of Scripps’ population is between 40-60, that population is 12,000 strong. you figure this is also the population that is supplying most of the kids in school.

there’s a sharp drop off in population from 6500 40-50 year olds to 3000 30-40 year olds in Scripps Ranch.

that’s a greater than 50% drop off in population.

so if Scripps Ranch as a community is not replenishing its reproductive population, then the future is a school filled with 50% bused student base.

give it 10-15 years and pull this post up, you’ll see.

[ocrenter]

the data is interesting.

if you add up students from all of the feeder elementaries, every grade average about 500 students. the middle school is averaging around 500 students per grade as well. that is very consistent at every grade level.

but once you go to Scripps High, suddenly in 9th grade there’s 200 additional kids for a total of over 700 students.

so we know SDUSD is busing in close to 30% of the high school freshman class.

now let’s look at the demographic numbers.

the bulk of Scripps’ population is between 40-60, that population is 12,000 strong. you figure this is also the population that is supplying most of the kids in school.

there’s a sharp drop off in population from 6500 40-50 year olds to 3000 30-40 year olds in Scripps Ranch.

that’s a greater than 50% drop off in population.

so if Scripps Ranch as a community is not replenishing its reproductive population, then the future is a school filled with 50% bused student base.

give it 10-15 years and pull this post up, you’ll see.

[ocrenter]

[quote=gn]ocrenter,

Is this because in the older parts of Scripps, the children of the homeowners are growing out of school age ? If that is true, then other neighborhoods like Carmel Valley would have the same problem, wouldn’t they ?[/quote]

sorry gn, was away.

to answer the question, the problem with scripps is demographics.

there’s no new housing developments. within the SCHS draw area. But there is plenty of new housing in adjacent poway school district areas that entice high earning families.

most homeowners, even if they would prefer to downsize and move away, if they can’t get the right price, they’ll stay put. therefore, new families with children don’t move in.

last major home developement within Scripps was nearly a decade ago. give another decade, and all of the kids from that era would have moved through the schools.

so the area would be primarily empty nesters. so where do you think students will be coming from 10-15 years down the line?

[ocrenter]

[quote=gn]ocrenter,

Is this because in the older parts of Scripps, the children of the homeowners are growing out of school age ? If that is true, then other neighborhoods like Carmel Valley would have the same problem, wouldn’t they ?[/quote]

sorry gn, was away.

to answer the question, the problem with scripps is demographics.

there’s no new housing developments. within the SCHS draw area. But there is plenty of new housing in adjacent poway school district areas that entice high earning families.

most homeowners, even if they would prefer to downsize and move away, if they can’t get the right price, they’ll stay put. therefore, new families with children don’t move in.

last major home developement within Scripps was nearly a decade ago. give another decade, and all of the kids from that era would have moved through the schools.

so the area would be primarily empty nesters. so where do you think students will be coming from 10-15 years down the line?

[ocrenter]

[quote=gn]ocrenter,

Is this because in the older parts of Scripps, the children of the homeowners are growing out of school age ? If that is true, then other neighborhoods like Carmel Valley would have the same problem, wouldn’t they ?[/quote]

sorry gn, was away.

to answer the question, the problem with scripps is demographics.

there’s no new housing developments. within the SCHS draw area. But there is plenty of new housing in adjacent poway school district areas that entice high earning families.

most homeowners, even if they would prefer to downsize and move away, if they can’t get the right price, they’ll stay put. therefore, new families with children don’t move in.

last major home developement within Scripps was nearly a decade ago. give another decade, and all of the kids from that era would have moved through the schools.

so the area would be primarily empty nesters. so where do you think students will be coming from 10-15 years down the line?

[ocrenter]

[quote=gn]ocrenter,

Is this because in the older parts of Scripps, the children of the homeowners are growing out of school age ? If that is true, then other neighborhoods like Carmel Valley would have the same problem, wouldn’t they ?[/quote]

sorry gn, was away.

to answer the question, the problem with scripps is demographics.

there’s no new housing developments. within the SCHS draw area. But there is plenty of new housing in adjacent poway school district areas that entice high earning families.

most homeowners, even if they would prefer to downsize and move away, if they can’t get the right price, they’ll stay put. therefore, new families with children don’t move in.

last major home developement within Scripps was nearly a decade ago. give another decade, and all of the kids from that era would have moved through the schools.

so the area would be primarily empty nesters. so where do you think students will be coming from 10-15 years down the line?

[ocrenter]

[quote=gn]ocrenter,

Is this because in the older parts of Scripps, the children of the homeowners are growing out of school age ? If that is true, then other neighborhoods like Carmel Valley would have the same problem, wouldn’t they ?[/quote]

sorry gn, was away.

to answer the question, the problem with scripps is demographics.

there’s no new housing developments. within the SCHS draw area. But there is plenty of new housing in adjacent poway school district areas that entice high earning families.

most homeowners, even if they would prefer to downsize and move away, if they can’t get the right price, they’ll stay put. therefore, new families with children don’t move in.

last major home developement within Scripps was nearly a decade ago. give another decade, and all of the kids from that era would have moved through the schools.

so the area would be primarily empty nesters. so where do you think students will be coming from 10-15 years down the line?

[ocrenter]

with Scripps, you are looking at gradually declining school age population. this means SDUSD will gradually bus more and more kids from outside Scripps to keep the school filled up.

[ocrenter]

with Scripps, you are looking at gradually declining school age population. this means SDUSD will gradually bus more and more kids from outside Scripps to keep the school filled up.

[ocrenter]

with Scripps, you are looking at gradually declining school age population. this means SDUSD will gradually bus more and more kids from outside Scripps to keep the school filled up.

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