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October 26, 2007 at 8:23 AM in reply to: 4 closure Ranch errr scratch that “Fire proof” Ranch = new nickname for 4S Ranch #92044October 26, 2007 at 8:23 AM in reply to: 4 closure Ranch errr scratch that “Fire proof” Ranch = new nickname for 4S Ranch #92058
(former)FormerSanDiegan
ParticipantIf 4S is less likely to burn than other places people will be more likley to buy here
Barrio Logan is pretty fire proof. I don’t see people flocking there to prop up home values.
(former)FormerSanDiegan
ParticipantI work in the Disaster Recovery industry, so trust me, I know. Natural disasters are not good for the local economy.
However, the fact that there are disasters must be good for your personal economy, sinc eit is evidentally your field.
Curious: What area of Disaster Recovery ?Who is going to pay for the cost to fight the fires? FEMA? The Feds? State and Local taxes?
This equals dollars coming from Sacramento and Washington, DC to Southern California that otherwise would have been spent other places for other things.
FWIW, longer term, I think the economic impact is small either way, relative to the overall regional economy.
(former)FormerSanDiegan
ParticipantI work in the Disaster Recovery industry, so trust me, I know. Natural disasters are not good for the local economy.
However, the fact that there are disasters must be good for your personal economy, sinc eit is evidentally your field.
Curious: What area of Disaster Recovery ?Who is going to pay for the cost to fight the fires? FEMA? The Feds? State and Local taxes?
This equals dollars coming from Sacramento and Washington, DC to Southern California that otherwise would have been spent other places for other things.
FWIW, longer term, I think the economic impact is small either way, relative to the overall regional economy.
(former)FormerSanDiegan
ParticipantI work in the Disaster Recovery industry, so trust me, I know. Natural disasters are not good for the local economy.
However, the fact that there are disasters must be good for your personal economy, sinc eit is evidentally your field.
Curious: What area of Disaster Recovery ?Who is going to pay for the cost to fight the fires? FEMA? The Feds? State and Local taxes?
This equals dollars coming from Sacramento and Washington, DC to Southern California that otherwise would have been spent other places for other things.
FWIW, longer term, I think the economic impact is small either way, relative to the overall regional economy.
(former)FormerSanDiegan
ParticipantMonthly new home sales are typically all over the map. Because of the low volume, the monthly stats are extremely noisy, relative to existing home sales.
I find the monthly new home sales figures almost worthless.
(former)FormerSanDiegan
ParticipantMonthly new home sales are typically all over the map. Because of the low volume, the monthly stats are extremely noisy, relative to existing home sales.
I find the monthly new home sales figures almost worthless.
(former)FormerSanDiegan
ParticipantMonthly new home sales are typically all over the map. Because of the low volume, the monthly stats are extremely noisy, relative to existing home sales.
I find the monthly new home sales figures almost worthless.
(former)FormerSanDiegan
Participant… the current frontier of the Harris and Poomacha/Witch fires are on the eastern edge of their respective burn areas.
Yeah, fires always burn to the west, you can’t get pregnant the first time, and real estate always goes up.
(former)FormerSanDiegan
Participant… the current frontier of the Harris and Poomacha/Witch fires are on the eastern edge of their respective burn areas.
Yeah, fires always burn to the west, you can’t get pregnant the first time, and real estate always goes up.
(former)FormerSanDiegan
Participant… the current frontier of the Harris and Poomacha/Witch fires are on the eastern edge of their respective burn areas.
Yeah, fires always burn to the west, you can’t get pregnant the first time, and real estate always goes up.
(former)FormerSanDiegan
Participant“Serious fires are caused by Fire + Santa Ana winds. Santa Ana winds ALWAYS blow in a westerly direction. Maybe west by northwest or west by southwest or directly west but NEVER north, south, or east. This is a simple fact of the phenomena that creates the Santa Anas a high pressure zone over Las Vegas or Utah to the east.”
You may be correct that 4S is somewhat protected.
However, fires move out in a cone,primarily to the west, but this cone can approach as much as 180 degrees. An example is the witch fire. (see diagram below).
Also, Santa Ana winds always end with a reversal to the normal on-shore flow. Although this cooler and less velocity wind reduces the threat of fires, the change-over period can cause erratic movement of fires in various directions. AT that point the direction of the fire is influenced by the availability of fuel as much as the wind.
[img_assist|nid=5264|title=fire directions|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=466|height=349]
(former)FormerSanDiegan
Participant“Serious fires are caused by Fire + Santa Ana winds. Santa Ana winds ALWAYS blow in a westerly direction. Maybe west by northwest or west by southwest or directly west but NEVER north, south, or east. This is a simple fact of the phenomena that creates the Santa Anas a high pressure zone over Las Vegas or Utah to the east.”
You may be correct that 4S is somewhat protected.
However, fires move out in a cone,primarily to the west, but this cone can approach as much as 180 degrees. An example is the witch fire. (see diagram below).
Also, Santa Ana winds always end with a reversal to the normal on-shore flow. Although this cooler and less velocity wind reduces the threat of fires, the change-over period can cause erratic movement of fires in various directions. AT that point the direction of the fire is influenced by the availability of fuel as much as the wind.
[img_assist|nid=5264|title=fire directions|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=466|height=349]
(former)FormerSanDiegan
Participant“Serious fires are caused by Fire + Santa Ana winds. Santa Ana winds ALWAYS blow in a westerly direction. Maybe west by northwest or west by southwest or directly west but NEVER north, south, or east. This is a simple fact of the phenomena that creates the Santa Anas a high pressure zone over Las Vegas or Utah to the east.”
You may be correct that 4S is somewhat protected.
However, fires move out in a cone,primarily to the west, but this cone can approach as much as 180 degrees. An example is the witch fire. (see diagram below).
Also, Santa Ana winds always end with a reversal to the normal on-shore flow. Although this cooler and less velocity wind reduces the threat of fires, the change-over period can cause erratic movement of fires in various directions. AT that point the direction of the fire is influenced by the availability of fuel as much as the wind.
[img_assist|nid=5264|title=fire directions|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=466|height=349]
(former)FormerSanDiegan
ParticipantDuck is correct. There will be an influx of dollars from insurance companies that was formerly going to buy bonds and other securities. In the short run this includes funds for temporary housing, as well as goods lost in the fires. Later on this will be funds for construction. This will be far greater than the temporary interruptions to businesses that are occuring this week.
So, although you are correct that it is a net loss globally, it’s a net plus for the region.
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