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drunkle
Participantno, the original 1/1000 odds that your first pick was correct (or conversely, 999/1000 that you picked incorrectly) remains the same even after elimination simply because there were that many choices at the start. that is, your 1/1000 chance does not improve to 1/2 with the elimination of incorrect choices.
if you make a choice *after* elimination, then it’s 50 50 because the door you may have chosen prior to elimination may be eliminated. but since you chose prior, it’s 1/1000 that you pick the right one and 999/1000 that you didn’t. 999/1000 odds that you chose incorrectly, given the removal of 998 doors, it’s almost a certainty that the remaining door that you didn’t chose is the winnar.
drunkle
Participantno, the original 1/1000 odds that your first pick was correct (or conversely, 999/1000 that you picked incorrectly) remains the same even after elimination simply because there were that many choices at the start. that is, your 1/1000 chance does not improve to 1/2 with the elimination of incorrect choices.
if you make a choice *after* elimination, then it’s 50 50 because the door you may have chosen prior to elimination may be eliminated. but since you chose prior, it’s 1/1000 that you pick the right one and 999/1000 that you didn’t. 999/1000 odds that you chose incorrectly, given the removal of 998 doors, it’s almost a certainty that the remaining door that you didn’t chose is the winnar.
drunkle
Participantno, the original 1/1000 odds that your first pick was correct (or conversely, 999/1000 that you picked incorrectly) remains the same even after elimination simply because there were that many choices at the start. that is, your 1/1000 chance does not improve to 1/2 with the elimination of incorrect choices.
if you make a choice *after* elimination, then it’s 50 50 because the door you may have chosen prior to elimination may be eliminated. but since you chose prior, it’s 1/1000 that you pick the right one and 999/1000 that you didn’t. 999/1000 odds that you chose incorrectly, given the removal of 998 doors, it’s almost a certainty that the remaining door that you didn’t chose is the winnar.
drunkle
Participantno, the original 1/1000 odds that your first pick was correct (or conversely, 999/1000 that you picked incorrectly) remains the same even after elimination simply because there were that many choices at the start. that is, your 1/1000 chance does not improve to 1/2 with the elimination of incorrect choices.
if you make a choice *after* elimination, then it’s 50 50 because the door you may have chosen prior to elimination may be eliminated. but since you chose prior, it’s 1/1000 that you pick the right one and 999/1000 that you didn’t. 999/1000 odds that you chose incorrectly, given the removal of 998 doors, it’s almost a certainty that the remaining door that you didn’t chose is the winnar.
drunkle
Participantdidn’t feel it.
san diego is due for a big one, isn’t it? rose canyon comes up on google, but i think there are a couple other active faults, besides or branching off of the san andreas.
figure, baja was created somehow and that’s a pretty interesting looking (and close) piece of geography.
drunkle
Participantdidn’t feel it.
san diego is due for a big one, isn’t it? rose canyon comes up on google, but i think there are a couple other active faults, besides or branching off of the san andreas.
figure, baja was created somehow and that’s a pretty interesting looking (and close) piece of geography.
drunkle
Participantdidn’t feel it.
san diego is due for a big one, isn’t it? rose canyon comes up on google, but i think there are a couple other active faults, besides or branching off of the san andreas.
figure, baja was created somehow and that’s a pretty interesting looking (and close) piece of geography.
drunkle
Participantdidn’t feel it.
san diego is due for a big one, isn’t it? rose canyon comes up on google, but i think there are a couple other active faults, besides or branching off of the san andreas.
figure, baja was created somehow and that’s a pretty interesting looking (and close) piece of geography.
drunkle
Participantdidn’t feel it.
san diego is due for a big one, isn’t it? rose canyon comes up on google, but i think there are a couple other active faults, besides or branching off of the san andreas.
figure, baja was created somehow and that’s a pretty interesting looking (and close) piece of geography.
drunkle
Participantit’s much easier to think about with higher numbers. ie., 1000 doors; your odds of picking the winner is 1:1000. the odds of the car being behind any one of the remaining doors is 999:1000. eliminating all of the other incorrect doors means that the chance of the car being in the door you didn’t pick is 999:1000.
drunkle
Participantit’s much easier to think about with higher numbers. ie., 1000 doors; your odds of picking the winner is 1:1000. the odds of the car being behind any one of the remaining doors is 999:1000. eliminating all of the other incorrect doors means that the chance of the car being in the door you didn’t pick is 999:1000.
drunkle
Participantit’s much easier to think about with higher numbers. ie., 1000 doors; your odds of picking the winner is 1:1000. the odds of the car being behind any one of the remaining doors is 999:1000. eliminating all of the other incorrect doors means that the chance of the car being in the door you didn’t pick is 999:1000.
drunkle
Participantit’s much easier to think about with higher numbers. ie., 1000 doors; your odds of picking the winner is 1:1000. the odds of the car being behind any one of the remaining doors is 999:1000. eliminating all of the other incorrect doors means that the chance of the car being in the door you didn’t pick is 999:1000.
drunkle
Participantit’s much easier to think about with higher numbers. ie., 1000 doors; your odds of picking the winner is 1:1000. the odds of the car being behind any one of the remaining doors is 999:1000. eliminating all of the other incorrect doors means that the chance of the car being in the door you didn’t pick is 999:1000.
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