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December 9, 2008 at 9:55 AM in reply to: How high goes the rally on Obama infrastructure spending? #313310December 9, 2008 at 9:55 AM in reply to: How high goes the rally on Obama infrastructure spending? #313665
Chris Scoreboard Johnston
ParticipantWhen you see large funds category of COT report heavily long during a decline you know it is the PPT that is a very abnormal pattern, they are normally the drivers of the trends, not opposite. You basically have to have bottomless pockets to do that, and only one group of people have that, the good ole US Government. They hide in accounts at the big houses like Goldman for example. Any other funds would have capitulated out like we are seeing in commodities right now, when faced with losses that big.
December 9, 2008 at 9:55 AM in reply to: How high goes the rally on Obama infrastructure spending? #313696Chris Scoreboard Johnston
ParticipantWhen you see large funds category of COT report heavily long during a decline you know it is the PPT that is a very abnormal pattern, they are normally the drivers of the trends, not opposite. You basically have to have bottomless pockets to do that, and only one group of people have that, the good ole US Government. They hide in accounts at the big houses like Goldman for example. Any other funds would have capitulated out like we are seeing in commodities right now, when faced with losses that big.
December 9, 2008 at 9:55 AM in reply to: How high goes the rally on Obama infrastructure spending? #313719Chris Scoreboard Johnston
ParticipantWhen you see large funds category of COT report heavily long during a decline you know it is the PPT that is a very abnormal pattern, they are normally the drivers of the trends, not opposite. You basically have to have bottomless pockets to do that, and only one group of people have that, the good ole US Government. They hide in accounts at the big houses like Goldman for example. Any other funds would have capitulated out like we are seeing in commodities right now, when faced with losses that big.
December 9, 2008 at 9:55 AM in reply to: How high goes the rally on Obama infrastructure spending? #313789Chris Scoreboard Johnston
ParticipantWhen you see large funds category of COT report heavily long during a decline you know it is the PPT that is a very abnormal pattern, they are normally the drivers of the trends, not opposite. You basically have to have bottomless pockets to do that, and only one group of people have that, the good ole US Government. They hide in accounts at the big houses like Goldman for example. Any other funds would have capitulated out like we are seeing in commodities right now, when faced with losses that big.
December 8, 2008 at 7:21 PM in reply to: How high goes the rally on Obama infrastructure spending? #313088Chris Scoreboard Johnston
ParticipantBased on my review of the COT report as well as someone else’s who is more of an expert with it than I am, it has become clear that the PPT is behind this rally. Nobobdy else could carry the kind of losses that the large speculators seem to have by buying this whole downmove except the PPT. As a result it is possible it could be a very sharp rally. Guessing price levels is going to be tough, Fib analysis I think is very erratic in general, but it calls for 1025 which is .50 to the Aug High or 1093 which is .618 to that same high. This is SP 500 futes. I won’t make a trade based on those but will watch price action if we reach there to see if a reversal is setting up. You might also want to watch the 200 day MA which I think is worthless but alot of institutions makes plays at it.
December 8, 2008 at 7:21 PM in reply to: How high goes the rally on Obama infrastructure spending? #313445Chris Scoreboard Johnston
ParticipantBased on my review of the COT report as well as someone else’s who is more of an expert with it than I am, it has become clear that the PPT is behind this rally. Nobobdy else could carry the kind of losses that the large speculators seem to have by buying this whole downmove except the PPT. As a result it is possible it could be a very sharp rally. Guessing price levels is going to be tough, Fib analysis I think is very erratic in general, but it calls for 1025 which is .50 to the Aug High or 1093 which is .618 to that same high. This is SP 500 futes. I won’t make a trade based on those but will watch price action if we reach there to see if a reversal is setting up. You might also want to watch the 200 day MA which I think is worthless but alot of institutions makes plays at it.
December 8, 2008 at 7:21 PM in reply to: How high goes the rally on Obama infrastructure spending? #313476Chris Scoreboard Johnston
ParticipantBased on my review of the COT report as well as someone else’s who is more of an expert with it than I am, it has become clear that the PPT is behind this rally. Nobobdy else could carry the kind of losses that the large speculators seem to have by buying this whole downmove except the PPT. As a result it is possible it could be a very sharp rally. Guessing price levels is going to be tough, Fib analysis I think is very erratic in general, but it calls for 1025 which is .50 to the Aug High or 1093 which is .618 to that same high. This is SP 500 futes. I won’t make a trade based on those but will watch price action if we reach there to see if a reversal is setting up. You might also want to watch the 200 day MA which I think is worthless but alot of institutions makes plays at it.
December 8, 2008 at 7:21 PM in reply to: How high goes the rally on Obama infrastructure spending? #313498Chris Scoreboard Johnston
ParticipantBased on my review of the COT report as well as someone else’s who is more of an expert with it than I am, it has become clear that the PPT is behind this rally. Nobobdy else could carry the kind of losses that the large speculators seem to have by buying this whole downmove except the PPT. As a result it is possible it could be a very sharp rally. Guessing price levels is going to be tough, Fib analysis I think is very erratic in general, but it calls for 1025 which is .50 to the Aug High or 1093 which is .618 to that same high. This is SP 500 futes. I won’t make a trade based on those but will watch price action if we reach there to see if a reversal is setting up. You might also want to watch the 200 day MA which I think is worthless but alot of institutions makes plays at it.
December 8, 2008 at 7:21 PM in reply to: How high goes the rally on Obama infrastructure spending? #313568Chris Scoreboard Johnston
ParticipantBased on my review of the COT report as well as someone else’s who is more of an expert with it than I am, it has become clear that the PPT is behind this rally. Nobobdy else could carry the kind of losses that the large speculators seem to have by buying this whole downmove except the PPT. As a result it is possible it could be a very sharp rally. Guessing price levels is going to be tough, Fib analysis I think is very erratic in general, but it calls for 1025 which is .50 to the Aug High or 1093 which is .618 to that same high. This is SP 500 futes. I won’t make a trade based on those but will watch price action if we reach there to see if a reversal is setting up. You might also want to watch the 200 day MA which I think is worthless but alot of institutions makes plays at it.
Chris Scoreboard Johnston
ParticipantIt appears PeterB and I agree on quite a few things. I am not sure if you are a trader or not but you certainly seem to have a good grasp on several things related to the markets.
My research on the dollar shows that it should move higher for several years. There is a 16 yr cycle low that was due earlier this year that hit right on schedule, and now we are moving up according to what should be happening. If this pattern holds true we should have an 8 yr run in the Dollar upward. I especially like this pattern because it is oppposite of what the majority of people think, hence likely to be valid. I also like what it forecasts for Gold, much lower prices. I shorted Gold last week in line with what I posted here that I was looking to sell the short term rally. I already took the money because it was so much so fast I could not help myself. There should be selling opportunities in Gold and Buys in the Dollar for quite some time.
What the world waits for will never happen, and I think this is true for both of these markets at this juncture. 8 years up seems like alot, but until this pattern which is working perfectly in it’s early stages falters, that is going to be my view. I am really hoping for some short term dollar weakness to get aggressively long.
I really have no idea about the economics of these views, economists are notoriously poor traders. However, if we are Japan from the 80’s ( where I think we are ) this would all make sense on an econmics level.
I did a comprehensive study of Gold and how it reacted historically to stock market declines in my newsletter many months ago, which conclusively shows no relationship either way between GOLD and stock market declines. It is not a safe haven, do not get suckered into that story, it is a ruse to sell coins. It’s relationship is with inflation not stock prices.
For the record I am not hawking the newsletter, I do not do it anymore, I got tired of the hassle of writing it.
Chris Scoreboard Johnston
ParticipantIt appears PeterB and I agree on quite a few things. I am not sure if you are a trader or not but you certainly seem to have a good grasp on several things related to the markets.
My research on the dollar shows that it should move higher for several years. There is a 16 yr cycle low that was due earlier this year that hit right on schedule, and now we are moving up according to what should be happening. If this pattern holds true we should have an 8 yr run in the Dollar upward. I especially like this pattern because it is oppposite of what the majority of people think, hence likely to be valid. I also like what it forecasts for Gold, much lower prices. I shorted Gold last week in line with what I posted here that I was looking to sell the short term rally. I already took the money because it was so much so fast I could not help myself. There should be selling opportunities in Gold and Buys in the Dollar for quite some time.
What the world waits for will never happen, and I think this is true for both of these markets at this juncture. 8 years up seems like alot, but until this pattern which is working perfectly in it’s early stages falters, that is going to be my view. I am really hoping for some short term dollar weakness to get aggressively long.
I really have no idea about the economics of these views, economists are notoriously poor traders. However, if we are Japan from the 80’s ( where I think we are ) this would all make sense on an econmics level.
I did a comprehensive study of Gold and how it reacted historically to stock market declines in my newsletter many months ago, which conclusively shows no relationship either way between GOLD and stock market declines. It is not a safe haven, do not get suckered into that story, it is a ruse to sell coins. It’s relationship is with inflation not stock prices.
For the record I am not hawking the newsletter, I do not do it anymore, I got tired of the hassle of writing it.
Chris Scoreboard Johnston
ParticipantIt appears PeterB and I agree on quite a few things. I am not sure if you are a trader or not but you certainly seem to have a good grasp on several things related to the markets.
My research on the dollar shows that it should move higher for several years. There is a 16 yr cycle low that was due earlier this year that hit right on schedule, and now we are moving up according to what should be happening. If this pattern holds true we should have an 8 yr run in the Dollar upward. I especially like this pattern because it is oppposite of what the majority of people think, hence likely to be valid. I also like what it forecasts for Gold, much lower prices. I shorted Gold last week in line with what I posted here that I was looking to sell the short term rally. I already took the money because it was so much so fast I could not help myself. There should be selling opportunities in Gold and Buys in the Dollar for quite some time.
What the world waits for will never happen, and I think this is true for both of these markets at this juncture. 8 years up seems like alot, but until this pattern which is working perfectly in it’s early stages falters, that is going to be my view. I am really hoping for some short term dollar weakness to get aggressively long.
I really have no idea about the economics of these views, economists are notoriously poor traders. However, if we are Japan from the 80’s ( where I think we are ) this would all make sense on an econmics level.
I did a comprehensive study of Gold and how it reacted historically to stock market declines in my newsletter many months ago, which conclusively shows no relationship either way between GOLD and stock market declines. It is not a safe haven, do not get suckered into that story, it is a ruse to sell coins. It’s relationship is with inflation not stock prices.
For the record I am not hawking the newsletter, I do not do it anymore, I got tired of the hassle of writing it.
Chris Scoreboard Johnston
ParticipantIt appears PeterB and I agree on quite a few things. I am not sure if you are a trader or not but you certainly seem to have a good grasp on several things related to the markets.
My research on the dollar shows that it should move higher for several years. There is a 16 yr cycle low that was due earlier this year that hit right on schedule, and now we are moving up according to what should be happening. If this pattern holds true we should have an 8 yr run in the Dollar upward. I especially like this pattern because it is oppposite of what the majority of people think, hence likely to be valid. I also like what it forecasts for Gold, much lower prices. I shorted Gold last week in line with what I posted here that I was looking to sell the short term rally. I already took the money because it was so much so fast I could not help myself. There should be selling opportunities in Gold and Buys in the Dollar for quite some time.
What the world waits for will never happen, and I think this is true for both of these markets at this juncture. 8 years up seems like alot, but until this pattern which is working perfectly in it’s early stages falters, that is going to be my view. I am really hoping for some short term dollar weakness to get aggressively long.
I really have no idea about the economics of these views, economists are notoriously poor traders. However, if we are Japan from the 80’s ( where I think we are ) this would all make sense on an econmics level.
I did a comprehensive study of Gold and how it reacted historically to stock market declines in my newsletter many months ago, which conclusively shows no relationship either way between GOLD and stock market declines. It is not a safe haven, do not get suckered into that story, it is a ruse to sell coins. It’s relationship is with inflation not stock prices.
For the record I am not hawking the newsletter, I do not do it anymore, I got tired of the hassle of writing it.
Chris Scoreboard Johnston
ParticipantIt appears PeterB and I agree on quite a few things. I am not sure if you are a trader or not but you certainly seem to have a good grasp on several things related to the markets.
My research on the dollar shows that it should move higher for several years. There is a 16 yr cycle low that was due earlier this year that hit right on schedule, and now we are moving up according to what should be happening. If this pattern holds true we should have an 8 yr run in the Dollar upward. I especially like this pattern because it is oppposite of what the majority of people think, hence likely to be valid. I also like what it forecasts for Gold, much lower prices. I shorted Gold last week in line with what I posted here that I was looking to sell the short term rally. I already took the money because it was so much so fast I could not help myself. There should be selling opportunities in Gold and Buys in the Dollar for quite some time.
What the world waits for will never happen, and I think this is true for both of these markets at this juncture. 8 years up seems like alot, but until this pattern which is working perfectly in it’s early stages falters, that is going to be my view. I am really hoping for some short term dollar weakness to get aggressively long.
I really have no idea about the economics of these views, economists are notoriously poor traders. However, if we are Japan from the 80’s ( where I think we are ) this would all make sense on an econmics level.
I did a comprehensive study of Gold and how it reacted historically to stock market declines in my newsletter many months ago, which conclusively shows no relationship either way between GOLD and stock market declines. It is not a safe haven, do not get suckered into that story, it is a ruse to sell coins. It’s relationship is with inflation not stock prices.
For the record I am not hawking the newsletter, I do not do it anymore, I got tired of the hassle of writing it.
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