Why the Stock Market will continue to fall…

[barnaby33]

Long term the stock market is the place to be. That doesn’t mean however there aren’t entire decades, or in some cases several decades, where its a losing proposition.

Whats your time frame? Mine tends to look out a couple of decades. If you get out of the market now and stay out till we are out of the bear market we’ve entered, you are probably better off. You can always re-enter when the smoke clears. It will be pretty obvious, as banks will stop failing, interest rates will return to more historic norms and unemployment will be abating.

Josh

[(former)FormerSanDiegan]

If you get out of the market now and stay out till we are out of the bear market we’ve entered, you are probably better off. You can always re-enter when the smoke clears. It will be pretty obvious, as banks will stop failing, interest rates will return to more historic norms and unemployment will be abating.

I disagree. In retrospect the times to buy have usually been at the points where there was the most smoke.

[(former)FormerSanDiegan]

If you get out of the market now and stay out till we are out of the bear market we’ve entered, you are probably better off. You can always re-enter when the smoke clears. It will be pretty obvious, as banks will stop failing, interest rates will return to more historic norms and unemployment will be abating.

I disagree. In retrospect the times to buy have usually been at the points where there was the most smoke.

[(former)FormerSanDiegan]

If you get out of the market now and stay out till we are out of the bear market we’ve entered, you are probably better off. You can always re-enter when the smoke clears. It will be pretty obvious, as banks will stop failing, interest rates will return to more historic norms and unemployment will be abating.

I disagree. In retrospect the times to buy have usually been at the points where there was the most smoke.

[(former)FormerSanDiegan]

If you get out of the market now and stay out till we are out of the bear market we’ve entered, you are probably better off. You can always re-enter when the smoke clears. It will be pretty obvious, as banks will stop failing, interest rates will return to more historic norms and unemployment will be abating.

I disagree. In retrospect the times to buy have usually been at the points where there was the most smoke.

[(former)FormerSanDiegan]

If you get out of the market now and stay out till we are out of the bear market we’ve entered, you are probably better off. You can always re-enter when the smoke clears. It will be pretty obvious, as banks will stop failing, interest rates will return to more historic norms and unemployment will be abating.

I disagree. In retrospect the times to buy have usually been at the points where there was the most smoke.

[TheBreeze]

My time horizon is 15 years+. That is, if everything goes well, I could be early-retired (if I choose to do so) in 15 years. If things don’t go so well, I’ll have to push it out accordingly.

I’ve tried market timing in the past and found that I’m not so good at it. Periodic investing seems to work for me. I think it would be dumb for me to pull back from my periodic investments now given that I was doing periodic investments when the DOW was at 14K. There’s no doubt that putting money into the market now is much better than doing it when the market was at 14K.

Could the DOW go to 10K? Absolutely. Could it go to 7K? Possible, but very unlikely in my opinion. In any event, as long as I continue the periodic investing, I’ll get some in at the tops of course — but I’ll also get some in near the bottom. The risk of course is that I get laid off and have to stop the periodic investing. That could happen, but it’s a risk I’m willing to take.

[TheBreeze]

My time horizon is 15 years+. That is, if everything goes well, I could be early-retired (if I choose to do so) in 15 years. If things don’t go so well, I’ll have to push it out accordingly.

I’ve tried market timing in the past and found that I’m not so good at it. Periodic investing seems to work for me. I think it would be dumb for me to pull back from my periodic investments now given that I was doing periodic investments when the DOW was at 14K. There’s no doubt that putting money into the market now is much better than doing it when the market was at 14K.

Could the DOW go to 10K? Absolutely. Could it go to 7K? Possible, but very unlikely in my opinion. In any event, as long as I continue the periodic investing, I’ll get some in at the tops of course — but I’ll also get some in near the bottom. The risk of course is that I get laid off and have to stop the periodic investing. That could happen, but it’s a risk I’m willing to take.

[TheBreeze]

My time horizon is 15 years+. That is, if everything goes well, I could be early-retired (if I choose to do so) in 15 years. If things don’t go so well, I’ll have to push it out accordingly.

I’ve tried market timing in the past and found that I’m not so good at it. Periodic investing seems to work for me. I think it would be dumb for me to pull back from my periodic investments now given that I was doing periodic investments when the DOW was at 14K. There’s no doubt that putting money into the market now is much better than doing it when the market was at 14K.

Could the DOW go to 10K? Absolutely. Could it go to 7K? Possible, but very unlikely in my opinion. In any event, as long as I continue the periodic investing, I’ll get some in at the tops of course — but I’ll also get some in near the bottom. The risk of course is that I get laid off and have to stop the periodic investing. That could happen, but it’s a risk I’m willing to take.

[TheBreeze]

My time horizon is 15 years+. That is, if everything goes well, I could be early-retired (if I choose to do so) in 15 years. If things don’t go so well, I’ll have to push it out accordingly.

I’ve tried market timing in the past and found that I’m not so good at it. Periodic investing seems to work for me. I think it would be dumb for me to pull back from my periodic investments now given that I was doing periodic investments when the DOW was at 14K. There’s no doubt that putting money into the market now is much better than doing it when the market was at 14K.

Could the DOW go to 10K? Absolutely. Could it go to 7K? Possible, but very unlikely in my opinion. In any event, as long as I continue the periodic investing, I’ll get some in at the tops of course — but I’ll also get some in near the bottom. The risk of course is that I get laid off and have to stop the periodic investing. That could happen, but it’s a risk I’m willing to take.

[TheBreeze]

My time horizon is 15 years+. That is, if everything goes well, I could be early-retired (if I choose to do so) in 15 years. If things don’t go so well, I’ll have to push it out accordingly.

I’ve tried market timing in the past and found that I’m not so good at it. Periodic investing seems to work for me. I think it would be dumb for me to pull back from my periodic investments now given that I was doing periodic investments when the DOW was at 14K. There’s no doubt that putting money into the market now is much better than doing it when the market was at 14K.

Could the DOW go to 10K? Absolutely. Could it go to 7K? Possible, but very unlikely in my opinion. In any event, as long as I continue the periodic investing, I’ll get some in at the tops of course — but I’ll also get some in near the bottom. The risk of course is that I get laid off and have to stop the periodic investing. That could happen, but it’s a risk I’m willing to take.

[kewp]

In retrospect the times to buy have usually been at the points where there was the most smoke.

Have fun catching that falling knife!

The best time to buy is at the bottom. Thats after the smoke has cleared and there is nothing but cinders left. Heck, you can even wait until some signs of new construction begin to show.

Until the credit mess sorts itself out, I’m staying out of the market other than a few small speculative investments in gold and some short ETF’s.

[kewp]

In retrospect the times to buy have usually been at the points where there was the most smoke.

Have fun catching that falling knife!

The best time to buy is at the bottom. Thats after the smoke has cleared and there is nothing but cinders left. Heck, you can even wait until some signs of new construction begin to show.

Until the credit mess sorts itself out, I’m staying out of the market other than a few small speculative investments in gold and some short ETF’s.

[kewp]

In retrospect the times to buy have usually been at the points where there was the most smoke.

Have fun catching that falling knife!

The best time to buy is at the bottom. Thats after the smoke has cleared and there is nothing but cinders left. Heck, you can even wait until some signs of new construction begin to show.

Until the credit mess sorts itself out, I’m staying out of the market other than a few small speculative investments in gold and some short ETF’s.

[kewp]

In retrospect the times to buy have usually been at the points where there was the most smoke.

Have fun catching that falling knife!

The best time to buy is at the bottom. Thats after the smoke has cleared and there is nothing but cinders left. Heck, you can even wait until some signs of new construction begin to show.

Until the credit mess sorts itself out, I’m staying out of the market other than a few small speculative investments in gold and some short ETF’s.

[Author]

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