Time to buy the stock market?

[4plexowner]

Worst January on Record for Stocks

“Historically, stocks’ January performance has been thought of as an informal indicator for the market’s direction the rest of the year. When the S&P declines in January, the index loses an average of 2.4% in the next 11 months, according to data going back to 1950 from Ned Davis Research.”

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB123331631097133089.html

[(former)FormerSanDiegan]

[quote=4plexowner]”15 months into the bear market”

and your point is what?

we just finished a 25 year bull market in US equities – the average bear market lasts 1/4 the time of the preceding bull market

let’s see, 25 over 4, carry the naught (remember Jethro Bodine doing math on Beverly Hillbillies?) – that’s 6+ years of bear market which takes us to 2013 or so

to think that a 25 year bull market can be corrected in 15 months is fairly amusing

but that’s why the average investor typically losses their ass in the equity markets – they don’t understand what they are doing and aren’t willing to take the effort to learn – instead they follow the advice of some trusted adviser who has a vested interest in separating them from their money[/quote]

Does that 25-year bull market you are referring to include the period from 2000 to 2003 ?
From what I remember that was a fairly destructive bear market. At the time it was the worst bear market since the early 1970’s. I guess that didn’t count.

[(former)FormerSanDiegan]

[quote=4plexowner]”15 months into the bear market”

and your point is what?

we just finished a 25 year bull market in US equities – the average bear market lasts 1/4 the time of the preceding bull market

let’s see, 25 over 4, carry the naught (remember Jethro Bodine doing math on Beverly Hillbillies?) – that’s 6+ years of bear market which takes us to 2013 or so

to think that a 25 year bull market can be corrected in 15 months is fairly amusing

but that’s why the average investor typically losses their ass in the equity markets – they don’t understand what they are doing and aren’t willing to take the effort to learn – instead they follow the advice of some trusted adviser who has a vested interest in separating them from their money[/quote]

Does that 25-year bull market you are referring to include the period from 2000 to 2003 ?
From what I remember that was a fairly destructive bear market. At the time it was the worst bear market since the early 1970’s. I guess that didn’t count.

[(former)FormerSanDiegan]

[quote=4plexowner]”15 months into the bear market”

and your point is what?

we just finished a 25 year bull market in US equities – the average bear market lasts 1/4 the time of the preceding bull market

let’s see, 25 over 4, carry the naught (remember Jethro Bodine doing math on Beverly Hillbillies?) – that’s 6+ years of bear market which takes us to 2013 or so

to think that a 25 year bull market can be corrected in 15 months is fairly amusing

but that’s why the average investor typically losses their ass in the equity markets – they don’t understand what they are doing and aren’t willing to take the effort to learn – instead they follow the advice of some trusted adviser who has a vested interest in separating them from their money[/quote]

Does that 25-year bull market you are referring to include the period from 2000 to 2003 ?
From what I remember that was a fairly destructive bear market. At the time it was the worst bear market since the early 1970’s. I guess that didn’t count.

[(former)FormerSanDiegan]

[quote=4plexowner]”15 months into the bear market”

and your point is what?

we just finished a 25 year bull market in US equities – the average bear market lasts 1/4 the time of the preceding bull market

let’s see, 25 over 4, carry the naught (remember Jethro Bodine doing math on Beverly Hillbillies?) – that’s 6+ years of bear market which takes us to 2013 or so

to think that a 25 year bull market can be corrected in 15 months is fairly amusing

but that’s why the average investor typically losses their ass in the equity markets – they don’t understand what they are doing and aren’t willing to take the effort to learn – instead they follow the advice of some trusted adviser who has a vested interest in separating them from their money[/quote]

Does that 25-year bull market you are referring to include the period from 2000 to 2003 ?
From what I remember that was a fairly destructive bear market. At the time it was the worst bear market since the early 1970’s. I guess that didn’t count.

[(former)FormerSanDiegan]

[quote=4plexowner]”15 months into the bear market”

and your point is what?

we just finished a 25 year bull market in US equities – the average bear market lasts 1/4 the time of the preceding bull market

let’s see, 25 over 4, carry the naught (remember Jethro Bodine doing math on Beverly Hillbillies?) – that’s 6+ years of bear market which takes us to 2013 or so

to think that a 25 year bull market can be corrected in 15 months is fairly amusing

but that’s why the average investor typically losses their ass in the equity markets – they don’t understand what they are doing and aren’t willing to take the effort to learn – instead they follow the advice of some trusted adviser who has a vested interest in separating them from their money[/quote]

Does that 25-year bull market you are referring to include the period from 2000 to 2003 ?
From what I remember that was a fairly destructive bear market. At the time it was the worst bear market since the early 1970’s. I guess that didn’t count.

[HLS]

I’m copying this from another post of mine…

Markets repeat themselves. The DOW hit 1000 for the first time around 1965 and didn’t break out above that until 1984. NINETEEN YEARS..There was opportunity in between if your timing was right.

In every market, people chase performance. It usually doesn’t work.

Corresponding to the breakout of the stock market in the 1980’s was the inception of 401K’s starting in 1980… the market didn’t break out for no reason…..

The fuel for igniting the stock market to DOW 15,000 was not 1500% growth in America, it was manipulation and greed combined with the explosive contributions of clueless people putting money into something that they did not understand, EXACTLY LIKE BUYING HOUSES.

Stocks have only pulled back about 40%+ from the recent peak, so far.

It’s a different world today and comparisons to peak prices in either houses or stocks are simply foolish. Neither mean ANYTHING, except what a foolish person paid EXPECTING that it would go up more…

Markets are fueled by fear and greed, nothing more. It doesn’t matter what the product is.
Without manipulation of SOME SORT, markets don’t rise by themselves.

The worst is yet to come. Buckle your seat belt, it’s going to be a rough ride.

DOW Stock Market History:
http://www.creatingwealth.co.nz/history_…

[HLS]

I’m copying this from another post of mine…

Markets repeat themselves. The DOW hit 1000 for the first time around 1965 and didn’t break out above that until 1984. NINETEEN YEARS..There was opportunity in between if your timing was right.

In every market, people chase performance. It usually doesn’t work.

Corresponding to the breakout of the stock market in the 1980’s was the inception of 401K’s starting in 1980… the market didn’t break out for no reason…..

The fuel for igniting the stock market to DOW 15,000 was not 1500% growth in America, it was manipulation and greed combined with the explosive contributions of clueless people putting money into something that they did not understand, EXACTLY LIKE BUYING HOUSES.

Stocks have only pulled back about 40%+ from the recent peak, so far.

It’s a different world today and comparisons to peak prices in either houses or stocks are simply foolish. Neither mean ANYTHING, except what a foolish person paid EXPECTING that it would go up more…

Markets are fueled by fear and greed, nothing more. It doesn’t matter what the product is.
Without manipulation of SOME SORT, markets don’t rise by themselves.

The worst is yet to come. Buckle your seat belt, it’s going to be a rough ride.

DOW Stock Market History:
http://www.creatingwealth.co.nz/history_…

[HLS]

I’m copying this from another post of mine…

Markets repeat themselves. The DOW hit 1000 for the first time around 1965 and didn’t break out above that until 1984. NINETEEN YEARS..There was opportunity in between if your timing was right.

In every market, people chase performance. It usually doesn’t work.

Corresponding to the breakout of the stock market in the 1980’s was the inception of 401K’s starting in 1980… the market didn’t break out for no reason…..

The fuel for igniting the stock market to DOW 15,000 was not 1500% growth in America, it was manipulation and greed combined with the explosive contributions of clueless people putting money into something that they did not understand, EXACTLY LIKE BUYING HOUSES.

Stocks have only pulled back about 40%+ from the recent peak, so far.

It’s a different world today and comparisons to peak prices in either houses or stocks are simply foolish. Neither mean ANYTHING, except what a foolish person paid EXPECTING that it would go up more…

Markets are fueled by fear and greed, nothing more. It doesn’t matter what the product is.
Without manipulation of SOME SORT, markets don’t rise by themselves.

The worst is yet to come. Buckle your seat belt, it’s going to be a rough ride.

DOW Stock Market History:
http://www.creatingwealth.co.nz/history_…

[HLS]

I’m copying this from another post of mine…

Markets repeat themselves. The DOW hit 1000 for the first time around 1965 and didn’t break out above that until 1984. NINETEEN YEARS..There was opportunity in between if your timing was right.

In every market, people chase performance. It usually doesn’t work.

Corresponding to the breakout of the stock market in the 1980’s was the inception of 401K’s starting in 1980… the market didn’t break out for no reason…..

The fuel for igniting the stock market to DOW 15,000 was not 1500% growth in America, it was manipulation and greed combined with the explosive contributions of clueless people putting money into something that they did not understand, EXACTLY LIKE BUYING HOUSES.

Stocks have only pulled back about 40%+ from the recent peak, so far.

It’s a different world today and comparisons to peak prices in either houses or stocks are simply foolish. Neither mean ANYTHING, except what a foolish person paid EXPECTING that it would go up more…

Markets are fueled by fear and greed, nothing more. It doesn’t matter what the product is.
Without manipulation of SOME SORT, markets don’t rise by themselves.

The worst is yet to come. Buckle your seat belt, it’s going to be a rough ride.

DOW Stock Market History:
http://www.creatingwealth.co.nz/history_…

[HLS]

I’m copying this from another post of mine…

Markets repeat themselves. The DOW hit 1000 for the first time around 1965 and didn’t break out above that until 1984. NINETEEN YEARS..There was opportunity in between if your timing was right.

In every market, people chase performance. It usually doesn’t work.

Corresponding to the breakout of the stock market in the 1980’s was the inception of 401K’s starting in 1980… the market didn’t break out for no reason…..

The fuel for igniting the stock market to DOW 15,000 was not 1500% growth in America, it was manipulation and greed combined with the explosive contributions of clueless people putting money into something that they did not understand, EXACTLY LIKE BUYING HOUSES.

Stocks have only pulled back about 40%+ from the recent peak, so far.

It’s a different world today and comparisons to peak prices in either houses or stocks are simply foolish. Neither mean ANYTHING, except what a foolish person paid EXPECTING that it would go up more…

Markets are fueled by fear and greed, nothing more. It doesn’t matter what the product is.
Without manipulation of SOME SORT, markets don’t rise by themselves.

The worst is yet to come. Buckle your seat belt, it’s going to be a rough ride.

DOW Stock Market History:
http://www.creatingwealth.co.nz/history_…

[HLS]

I’m copying this from another post of mine…

Markets repeat themselves. The DOW hit 1000 for the first time around 1965 and didn’t break out above that until 1984. NINETEEN YEARS..There was opportunity in between if your timing was right.

In every market, people chase performance. It usually doesn’t work.

Corresponding to the breakout of the stock market in the 1980’s was the inception of 401K’s starting in 1980… the market didn’t break out for no reason…..

The fuel for igniting the stock market to DOW 15,000 was not 1500% growth in America, it was manipulation and greed combined with the explosive contributions of clueless people putting money into something that they did not understand, EXACTLY LIKE BUYING HOUSES.

Stocks have only pulled back about 40%+ from the recent peak, so far.

It’s a different world today and comparisons to peak prices in either houses or stocks are simply foolish. Neither mean ANYTHING, except what a foolish person paid EXPECTING that it would go up more…

Markets are fueled by fear and greed, nothing more. It doesn’t matter what the product is.
Without manipulation of SOME SORT, markets don’t rise by themselves.

The worst is yet to come. Buckle your seat belt, it’s going to be a rough ride.

DOW Stock Market History:
http://www.creatingwealth.co.nz/history_…

[HLS]

I’m copying this from another post of mine…

Markets repeat themselves. The DOW hit 1000 for the first time around 1965 and didn’t break out above that until 1984. NINETEEN YEARS..There was opportunity in between if your timing was right.

In every market, people chase performance. It usually doesn’t work.

Corresponding to the breakout of the stock market in the 1980’s was the inception of 401K’s starting in 1980… the market didn’t break out for no reason…..

The fuel for igniting the stock market to DOW 15,000 was not 1500% growth in America, it was manipulation and greed combined with the explosive contributions of clueless people putting money into something that they did not understand, EXACTLY LIKE BUYING HOUSES.

Stocks have only pulled back about 40%+ from the recent peak, so far.

It’s a different world today and comparisons to peak prices in either houses or stocks are simply foolish. Neither mean ANYTHING, except what a foolish person paid EXPECTING that it would go up more…

Markets are fueled by fear and greed, nothing more. It doesn’t matter what the product is.
Without manipulation of SOME SORT, markets don’t rise by themselves.

The worst is yet to come. Buckle your seat belt, it’s going to be a rough ride.

DOW Stock Market History:
http://www.creatingwealth.co.nz/history_…

[HLS]

I’m copying this from another post of mine…

Markets repeat themselves. The DOW hit 1000 for the first time around 1965 and didn’t break out above that until 1984. NINETEEN YEARS..There was opportunity in between if your timing was right.

In every market, people chase performance. It usually doesn’t work.

Corresponding to the breakout of the stock market in the 1980’s was the inception of 401K’s starting in 1980… the market didn’t break out for no reason…..

The fuel for igniting the stock market to DOW 15,000 was not 1500% growth in America, it was manipulation and greed combined with the explosive contributions of clueless people putting money into something that they did not understand, EXACTLY LIKE BUYING HOUSES.

Stocks have only pulled back about 40%+ from the recent peak, so far.

It’s a different world today and comparisons to peak prices in either houses or stocks are simply foolish. Neither mean ANYTHING, except what a foolish person paid EXPECTING that it would go up more…

Markets are fueled by fear and greed, nothing more. It doesn’t matter what the product is.
Without manipulation of SOME SORT, markets don’t rise by themselves.

The worst is yet to come. Buckle your seat belt, it’s going to be a rough ride.

DOW Stock Market History:
http://www.creatingwealth.co.nz/history_…

[HLS]

I’m copying this from another post of mine…

Markets repeat themselves. The DOW hit 1000 for the first time around 1965 and didn’t break out above that until 1984. NINETEEN YEARS..There was opportunity in between if your timing was right.

In every market, people chase performance. It usually doesn’t work.

Corresponding to the breakout of the stock market in the 1980’s was the inception of 401K’s starting in 1980… the market didn’t break out for no reason…..

The fuel for igniting the stock market to DOW 15,000 was not 1500% growth in America, it was manipulation and greed combined with the explosive contributions of clueless people putting money into something that they did not understand, EXACTLY LIKE BUYING HOUSES.

Stocks have only pulled back about 40%+ from the recent peak, so far.

It’s a different world today and comparisons to peak prices in either houses or stocks are simply foolish. Neither mean ANYTHING, except what a foolish person paid EXPECTING that it would go up more…

Markets are fueled by fear and greed, nothing more. It doesn’t matter what the product is.
Without manipulation of SOME SORT, markets don’t rise by themselves.

The worst is yet to come. Buckle your seat belt, it’s going to be a rough ride.

DOW Stock Market History:
http://www.creatingwealth.co.nz/history_…

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